Buccaneers vs Falcons Player Props – Best Bets for Week 5 TNF

• The Buccaneers and Falcons meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 5 on October 3
• Baker Mayfield should have all day in the pocket versus an Atlanta defense that can’t generate pressure
• Keep reading for the Buccaneers vs Falcons player prop odds, and best bets below

NFC South rivals clash on Thursday Night Football, as the Buccaneers visit the Falcons in Week 5. Both teams feature plenty of big name talent, and players like Bijan Robinson, Drake London, Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans are sure to be very popular targets in the NFL player props market.

Our Buccaneers vs Falcons player props card starts with Mayfield, but not in a category you might expect.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Player Props

Mayfield’s completions prop sits at 21.5, which is one more than counterpart Kirk Cousins. His passing yardage prop is 13 yards higher than Cousins, but his rushing attempts is the prop that looks the most enticing.

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Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop #1: Baker Mayfield Rush Attempts

The Buccaneers are listed as 1.5-point underdogs in the Week 5 NFL odds, which suggests a neutral game script for the bulk of the night. Mayfield is extremely mobile and capable of big plays with his legs, but he wants to drop back and pass.

Baker Mayfield.
Sam Darnold.
Geno Smith.

I’m not saying this is the case 100% of the time, but how much more evidence do we need that some QB busts were only busts because they went to bad organizations.

— Brett Kollmann (@BrettKollmann) September 29, 2024

With weapons like Evans and Godwin, who can blame him. Baker’s rushing production comes when he’s flushed from the pocket, but the Atlanta defense is immune to generating pressure.

The Falcons rank fourth worst in pass rush win rate per Pro Football Focus. They blitz at a bottom-10 clip, and have only produced a 4.3% QB hurry rate. Mayfield should have all day in the pocket, which will likely translate to plenty of passing success. Play the under on his rushing attempts, and give serious consideration to the over on his passing completions.

• Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop Picks: Baker Mayfield Under 3.5 Rush Attempts (-165); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop #2: Chris Godwin Receptions

Speaking of Mayfield completions, we’re expecting him to target Godwin early and often in this matchup. Atlanta has been strong against boundary wide receivers, but has bled production to the slot.

Chris Godwin 2024 Receiving Stats

Tampa’s number one priority on offense this season was getting Godwin lined up more in the slot, and the results have paid dividends. Godwin is averaging seven catches per game so far, drawing at least eight targets each week. He’s out snapped Evans in every outing this season, establishing himself as Mayfield’s number one option and helping the Bucs creep up the Super Bowl 59 odds board.

• Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop Picks: Chris Godwin Over 6.5 Receptions (+110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Buccaneers vs Falcons Touchdown Scorer Props

Shifting to the touchdown props, where we’re going to take a very chalky approach. The Bucs defense has allowed a league-low one passing touchdown this season, but has been gashed for 7 TD on the ground.

That’s music to Bijan Robinson’s ears, who boasts the shortest anytime TD odds at -125. Robinson has earned twice as many rush attempts as backfield mate Tyler Allgeier, and is the only Falcon to earn carries inside the 5-yard line. He’s also exceptional in the pass game giving him more outs for this prop, but when he does find the end zone it will likely be on the ground.

• Buccaneers vs Falcons Prop Picks: Bijan Robinson Anytime TD (-125); risk 1 unit at DraftKings