Best Bengals vs Chiefs Player Props for Week 2 – Over/Under Picks

• Joe Burrow has a passing yards O/U of just 238.5 in the Bengals vs Chiefs props
• Isiah Pacheco could be in for a big day against a suspect Cincinnati front seven
• See the best Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs player props to bet on Sunday, Sep. 15

The early-season gauntlet continues for the two-time defending Super Bowl-champion Kansas City Chiefs (1-0, 1-0 home, 1-0 ATS). In Week 2, Patrick Mahomes and company face the Cincinnati Bengals (0-1, 0-0 away, 0-1 ATS), the team that’s given KC the most trouble during its five-year dynasty. The Chiefs and Bengals meet at 4:25 pm ET at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, Sep. 15.

Cincinnati was the last team to hand the Chiefs a playoff loss (27-24 OT win in the 2021-22 AFC Championship Game) and Bengals starter Joe Burrow is 3-1 head-to-head against Kansas City. But after Cincinnati’s disastrous Week 1 loss to the Patriots as 8.5-point home favorites, KC is a six-point favorite in the Bengals vs Chiefs odds, and I expect another ugly setback for Cincinnati.

The table below lists the main Bengals vs Chiefs player props available for Week 2. Under the table, find my Chiefs-heavy player-prop picks for Cincinnati vs Kansas City.

Bengals vs Chiefs Player Props

After passing for 291 yards in KC’s Week 1 victory over Baltimore (27-20), Patrick Mahomes’ passing-yards over/under has increased from 269.5 to 272.5 in the Week 2 NFL player props.

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CIN vs KC Player Prop Pick #1: Pacheco Over 79.5 Rushing Yards

If you watched any of Cincinnati’s Week 1 debacle against the Patriots, you know that New England manhandled the Bengals at the line of scrimmage. Their defensive line held up against a solid Cincy pass rush and their offensive line bullied Cincy at the point of attack.

Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson piled up 120 yards on 25 carries (4.8 YPC) and, even when New England was telegraphing run plays while nursing a late lead, the Bengals still couldn’t stop him.

Excellent block from #Patriots rookie WR Ja’Lynn Polk.

Rhamondre Stevenson jump cut and makes an unblocked defender miss. 118 of his 120 rushing yards came after contact, per PFF. pic.twitter.com/aKHNg8mE0o

— Kendell Hollowell (@KHollowell_) September 10, 2024

And lest you think that the Pats are a paragon of offensive line play, PFF ranks them literally dead-last in its 2024 O-line power rankings. Kansas City, on the other hand, is seventh.

The Chiefs didn’t put up big numbers on the ground against Baltimore last week (72 total rushing yards on 20 carries) but keep in mind that the Ravens defense ranked first in Defensive DVOA last season. Cincinnati was 23rd and, if Week 1 was any indication, has trended down over the offseason.

I don’t see the Chiefs having much trouble moving the ball against Cincinnati and fully expect them to control the scoreboard from the outset. That should mean a similar game script as we saw from New England last week: run-heavy in the second half against a suspect Bengal front seven.

Pacheco should easily exceed his rushing total of 68.5 yards and I love the value on him to hit 80 yards at +140.

Pick: Pacheco over 79.5 rushing yards (+140)

Bengals vs Chiefs Player Prop #2: Joe Burrow Over 238.5 Passing Yards

My second pick goes hand in hand with the first. As the Chiefs play with the lead, the Bengals will be chasing the game, which means a lot of attempts for Joe Burrow. I have some concern about betting the over on his passing total with WR#2 Tee Higgins (hamstring) doubtful to play. But the Bengals still have Ja’Marr Chase and a handful of other competent receivers.

Burrow also has a strong history against the Chiefs, and not just in the wins column. In his four previous games against KC, he’s passed for 270, 286, 250, and 446 yards (in reverse chronological order). Kansas City lost some key pieces from its secondary over the offseason, most notably L’Jarius Sneed, and it was evident in Week 1. Lamar Jackson piled up 273 yards through the air on 28/41 passing (68.2%) and was only sacked once.

I don’t expect Cincinnati to put up a huge number on the scoreboard but I do expect plenty of garbage-time yards from Burrow, more than enough to exceed this fairly low passing-yards total of 238.5, a number he’s never failed to hit against Kansas City.

Pick: Burrow over 238.5 passing yards (-115)