NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets for Week 4: Predictions for TD Props

• Touchdown scorer props are now available for Week 4 of the NFL season
• I have gone through all the NFL anytime TD scorer props available and found eight I think present the best value
• See my eight anytime TD scorer picks for NFL Week 4 below

Coming off a successful week, I’m back with more NFL touchdown scorer picks for Week 4. I went 5-5 on my Week 3 NFL TD picks, winning 0.98 units off half-unit bets and bringing my season tally up to +0.72 units. Here’s to keeping that winning going in Week 4!

Even though I do feel some offenses are starting to find their groove, I only have eight anytime TD scorer picks for Week 4, and a couple of them are a little chalkier than I had been betting in previous weeks. But I see a lot of value in these TD predictions. As usual, I am sticking with anytime TD picks instead of dabbling in the first TD scorer market. As I have said in the past, the first TD scorer props are too unpredictable.

Here are the players I am betting to score a touchdown in Week 4.

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 4

I am betting a half-unit on each of the eight players above, with Zack Moss being the lone exception. I have a full unit on Moss. I also plan on adding a play for the Seahawks at Lions MNF matchup, but just want to get a clearer picture of whether Kenneth Walker III will play or not. Follow me on Twitter/X to see what I go with.

If you are looking for more than NFL TD props, check out our NFL props page, where you’ll find all the passing, rushing, and receiving over/unders for every player.

You’ll find some brief analysis on each of my eight TD picks below:

Malik Nabers

The New York Giants’ offense runs through Malik Nabers. The rookie wide receiver has seen 12 and 18 targets over his last two games, respectively, finding the endzone three times in across those two games. While Devin Singletary may seem like the more obvious play against a Cowboys team who has given up the most rushing TDs in the league and an NFL-worst 5.4 YPC, I don’t think the Giants have the offensive line to push Dallas around the way New Orleans and Baltimore did the past two weeks – I know the Ravens offensive line had played awful the first two weeks, but they did make some changes ahead of Week 3.

With that in mind, I think Brian Daboll will have to be a little more creative in running the ball. We saw Nabers get two carries last week, and wouldn’t be surprised if he got another couple on Thursday night. Though, I do not think Nabers needs those carries to score. I do not think anyone from the Cowboys secondary, and maybe no one in the league, can cover Nabers.

• Pick: Malik Nabers Anytime TD (+137 at bet365)

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Aaron Jones

There’s nothing like a good revenge game! Aaron Jones will travel back to Green Bay for the first time as a member of the opposing team as his Vikings take on the Packers in Week 3. Jones has been a big part of Minnesota’s offense in spite of not being an every-down back. When he has been on the field, the Vikings have used him, though.

Jones has at least 14 touches in all three games and upwards of 24 in their most recent win over the Texans, and has scored a touchdown in two of three games. Facing a Packers defense that has allowed 4.7 YPC (24th), I like Minnesota to keep Jones involved, especially when they get down to the red zone.

• Pick: Aaron Jones Anytime TD (+130 at DraftKings)

Zack Moss

Zack Moss has been the clear leader of the Bengals backfield so far, and though Chase Brown has been very good when given his touches, I don’t think the team believes Brown can handle too big of a workload. So, I’m not concerned with Moss losing touches.

Cincinnati especially leans on Moss in the red zone, and I think they’ll be down there a handful of times against the Panthers in Week 4. Carolina has given up four rushing touchdowns on the ground, the most points in the league, as well as 4.7 YPC.

I was hesitant on betting Moss when I saw his -135 odds at DraftKings, but was able to find +100 at Caesars when shopping.

• Pick: Zack Moss Anytime TD (+100 at Caesars)

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Nico Collins

In my opinion, Houston’s offense is best when the ball is headed Nico Collins’ direction. He’s a big target who is creating lots of separation from his defender, and is also very good after the catch. After being blown out by the Vikings last week, I think Houston unleashes a lot of frustrations on Jacksonville in Week 4.

The result will be plenty of targets for Collins, who has already seen 28 targets through three games, and the Texans not taking their foot off the gas until really late in the game. Collins only has one touchdown to his name this season, but with Joe Mixon likely out, I feel good about Houston being more willing to put the ball in the air when down in the red zone.

• Pick: Nico Collins Anytime TD (+120 at bet365)

Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin has now scored a touchdown in each of the first three games of the 2024-25 NFL season. Yet, we’re still getting +185 odds on him in Week 4 against an Eagles that has been pretty bad against the pass in two of three games.

I’m not sure yet whether Philadelphia shutting down the Saints offense last week was more about them or Derek Carr crumbling. But at +185 odds, I think Godwin is well worth the gamble here. The wide receiver has seen at least eight targets in each game, and he’ll likely see a lot of Avonte Maddox in the slot, which I think is a great matchup for Godwin.

• Pick: Chris Godwin Anytime TD (+185 at DraftKings)

Saquon Barkley

I can’t believe we’re still getting -135 odds on Saquon Barkley to score a touchdown. I think this will be the last week he’s this long, likely moving himself to the -180 range moving forward. So, I’m going to take advantage of the price while it lasts.

Barkley has scored five touchdowns this season and has at least one in two of three games. The Eagles new RB has been the focal point of their offense this season, seeing more than 20 touches in every game. With the potential of both DeVonta Smith and AJ Brown missing their Week 4 matchup with the Bucs, I wouldn’t be surprised if Barkley handles 30+ touches.

With plenty of expected volume and a defense giving up 4.9 YPC, I love Barkley to add at least one more TD to his season total.

• Pick: Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-135 at DraftKings)

Marvin Harrison Jr

The Marvin Harrison Jr takeover of the Cardinals offense has officially begun. After seeing just three targets in Week 1, MHJ has seen eight and 11 targets over the last two weeks, respectively. All those targets have led to the rookie scoring three TDs in the past two games, and he’s now going to see a Commanders defense that is simply bad.

Washington is allowing 7.7 net passing yards per attempt, the second-worst mark in the league, and they have given up a league-worst nine touchdowns through the air.

I was split between betting James Conner or Marvin Harrison Jr, but the difference in price is what has me leaning MHJ.

• Pick: Marvin Harrison Jr Anytime TD (+120 at bet365)

Derrick Henry

Though I’m not sure if the Ravens offensive line shuffling ahead of Week 3 was the cause for their 274 rushing yards last week, or if that was just the Cowboys defense. Regardless, the Bills defense they will see in Week 4 hasn’t been a whole lot better against the run than Dallas has been. Buffalo is allowing 4.7 YPC this season and they haven’t really had to deal with a team pounding the ball against them since they have typically had big leads each game, outside of the Cardinals game in Week 1.

I like Baltimore to try and control the pace of this game with their offense and keep Josh Allen on the sideline for lengthy stretches. We have already seen Derrick Henry’s carries go from 13, to 18, to 25 over the first three games, respectively. I think the Ravens keep feeding the big back and try to wear down a Buffalo defense who hasn’t been tested in a while.

• Pick: Derrick Henry Anytime TD (-138 at bet365)

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