NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets for Super Bowl 59: Predictions for TD Props

• NFL TD props for the 2025 Super Bowl are widely available at all sportsbooks
• I have taken a deep dive into the Chiefs and Eagles to find the best NFL touchdown scorer picks for the Super Bowl
• See the four players I am betting to score a TD in Super Bowl 59

Super Bowl 59 is upon us, and that means there is only one game to choose from when betting NFL anytime touchdowns on Sunday. The good news is the Eagles scored the seventh-most touchdowns in the regular season, and are averaging 4.33 TDs per game in the playoffs, while the Chiefs were tied for 13th in touchdowns during the regular season, but are averaging 3.25 TDs in games their starters play since the return of Marquise Brown. So, we’re at least dealing with a couple offenses who are capable of scoring some touchdowns.

I have found four NFL anytime TD picks I am betting for the Super Bowl. Before I dive into those NFL TD predictions, I want to note I went 3-3 on my TD picks last time out, winning 0.65 units. Here’s how I plan on making some money betting Super Bowl TD scorers.

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for 2025 Super Bowl

I am betting four players to score a touchdown in Super Bowl 59, with two from each team. Jalen Hurts and Xavier Worthy are both full-unit bets, while the other two are half-unit bets. This works out to be one more probable TD scorer from each team, and one longshot TD scorer from each side.

As usual, I am sticking with anytime TD scorers for the Super Bowl in this article. However, I have put together a resource on Super Bowl First TD Scorer Odds, which includes the first TD scorers from every Super Bowl with some trends on which positions we typically see in the big game, as well as from the Chiefs and Eagles this season.

Xavier Worthy

Betting Xavier Worthy to score a touchdown over his last five games (excluding Week 18, when Chiefs starters didn’t actually play) has been one of the most profitable bets you could have been making in that span. The rookie has scored a touchdown in four of his last five (again, excluding Week 18), and has consistently been getting odds longer than +200 to find the endzone.

While I cannot get odds longer than +200 on Worthy to score a touchdown in the Super Bowl, I am still happy with the +165 DraftKings is offering, because these touchdowns haven’t been a fluke or just the result of big plays. Kansas City has been deliberately using Worthy’s speed in the red zone over the second half of the season.

Since Week 13, Worthy leads the Chiefs in red zone looks with 18, which averages out to 2.6 per game (continuing to remove Week 18) and is five more than the next-best. Just for context, he’s actually tied with Jalen Hurts in red zone looks since Week 13. Breaking those down, 14 of those red zone looks have been targets, while the other four were rushing attempts. So, Andy Reid is not only relying on Worthy in the red zone, but also getting creative with his speedster.

The 14 red zone targets account for a 32.6% share in that span, which is good for the team-lead – the next-best is Travis Kelce with 27.9%. If we just look to playoffs, Worthy still leads the Chiefs in red zone looks with six, but has an even bigger red zone target share at 45.5%. He has also seen one of their five goal line looks in the playoffs, while no player has seen more than him.

Worthy has become a massive part of the Kansas City offense, but especially so down in the red zone. I think the +165 odds on him to score a touchdown is maybe the best value you will find in this game.

• Pick: Xavier Worthy Anytime TD (+165 at DraftKings)

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Jalen Hurts

Basically every week of the season, I have found myself surprised by the discrepancy in touchdown odds for Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley. I suppose it’s fitting that I am surprised yet again by the difference in their TD odds for the Super Bowl. Hurts finished the regular season with just one less touchdown than Barkley, but did average more TDs per game since he played one fewer than his RB, and he has one less TD than Barkley in the playoffs so far. Yet, Barkley’s odds to score a touchdown are -200, while Hurts can be found at -110. I’m not going to complain too much about this, since I have been profiting from it.

Hurts has scored a touchdown in 12 of 18 games, including playoffs, and has a total of four over Philadelphia’s last two games. The Eagles QB has seen five red zone looks over those two games, and three goal line looks. Hurts has seen a ton of usage in goal line situations (within five yards of the endzone) this season, totaling 22 looks in 18 games, which is good for a team-high 1.22 per game. I think he gets at least one more of those Tush-Push opportunities in Super Bowl 59.

• Pick: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-110 at DraftKings)

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes has only scored four touchdowns this season, with two of them coming last week, but this is quite typical of him.

Mahomes averaged just 3.6 rushes per game, and never carried the ball more than six times, in the regular season. He has recorded more than six rushing attempts in both of their playoff games, carrying the ball seven and 11 times, respectively. The uptick in rushes is pretty standard for Mahomes. The Chiefs QB averages 3.9 rushing attempts per game throughout his career in the regular season, but averages 5.4 attempts per game in the playoffs. If we just isolate Super Bowls, Mahomes averages 7.3 rushing attempts per game.

We see the same increase when looking at rushing touchdowns for Mahomes too. He has only scored 14 touchdowns across 112 regular season games, which is one every eight games (or 0.13 TDs per game), but has seven touchdowns across 20 playoff games, which is one TD every 2.9 games (or 0.35 TDs per game).

Looking to the 18 rushing attempts Mahomes has recorded in these playoffs, five of them have come in the red zone and one was a goal line carry. He has the second-most red zone looks among Chiefs players this postseason. When you consider how good the Eagles defensive front is, especially their interior, I don’t believe Andy Reid is going to opt to run the ball up the gut, or risk a sack by leaving Mahomes in the pocket, when they get into scoring position. I think he will opt to use Mahomes’ athleticism and get his QB out of the pocket, which I think will result in Mahomes running one in himself.

• Pick: Patrick Mahomes Anytime TD (+400 at BetMGM)

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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert scored a career-low two touchdowns in the regular season this year. It’s not that much lower than his past regular seasons, as his high for a season is just five. Goedert did only play in ten games this season, though, and one of those games was when he got hurt after three plays, while another was Week 18 when they were just trying to get him some work after returning from injury – he only played 13 snaps before being pulled with the rest of the starters. So, two touchdowns in eight games isn’t that bad.

However, the Eagles TE has three touchdowns in nine playoff starts and four TDs in his 11 playoff games. He’s also been a very consistent contributor in Philadelphia’s three playoff games this postseason. Goedert is averaging six targets and 62.7 receiving yards per game, and has one touchdown.

I would argue the only thing holding Goedert back from having even more yards and touchdowns in the postseason is the Eagles’ reliance upon the run, especially in the red zone. The team has only thrown the ball five times in the red zone across their three playoff games, one of which went to Goedert. But up against a tough Chiefs defense, which I suspect will sellout to stop the run, I suspect Goedert will remain heavily involved and likely more involved in the red zone – he had six receptions for 60 yards in Super Bowl 57 against the Chiefs (same DC).

• Pick: Dallas Goedert Anytime TD (+350 at bet365)

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