4 Bets That Sportsbooks DON’T Want You to Make on the 2025 Super Bowl

• The 2025 Super Bowl is just six hours away
• The exposure of a certain sportsbook has them cheering very hard for an Eagles victory over the Chiefs
• See the four bets that sportsbooks don’t want you to make before kickoff at Super Bowl 59

It’s no secret that the goal of every sportsbook is to make money. With that in mind, there is always a better/worse outcome for every sportsbook with respect to every market/prop they offer. The folks at BetMGM shared their current Super Bowl splits with SBD and noted which markets carry the most liability for their bottom line. Below, see BetMGM Super Bowl splits and the four wagers that they do not want you to bet (more) money on ahead of the 2025 Super Bowl.

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#1: Chiefs to Win Super Bowl 2025

The first bet that the folks at BetMGM really want to hit is the Eagles to win/Chiefs to lose. In other words, they don’t want any more money coming in on the Kansas City moneyline.

Based on the splits shown above, you would think that BetMGM would want the Chiefs to win: after all, 57% of moneyline handle is currently on the Eagles.

But those splits omit a massive part of Super Bowl betting: the future markets.

BetMGM’s exposure on Kansas City is due to bettors wagering on KC to win over the last 12 months, combined. The two-time defending champions attracted a lot of money from the time the 2025 Super Bowl odds first opened after last year’s championship game. KC was priced at +700 at that juncture, meaning a $100 bet would profit $700 if the Chiefs win an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl crown this Sunday night.

#2: Chiefs vs Eagles Game Total Over 48.5 Points

When you take into account all North American sportsbooks, the NFL public betting splits show the majority of money on the under (48.5 points) for Super Bowl 59. But BetMGM is seeing the opposite roughly six hours from kickoff.

The betting splits at BetMGM 62% of wagers and 54% of handle on over 48.5 points.

The teams combined for 73 points when they met two seasons ago in Super Bowl 57, a narrow 38-35 Kansas City victory. But that was the only Super Bowl in the last six years to go over its total. It was also the only Super Bowl in the last four years to exceed 48.5 points.

#3: Saquon Barkley to Score a Touchdown

The anytime TD markets for Chiefs vs Eagles currently list Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley at a short -200 price to find the end zone. That’s a short price, too short to feature in Matt McEwan’s Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets for Super Bowl 59. Barkley always had the shortest odds to score a TD in the Chiefs vs Eagles player props, but he wasn’t always this short, opening at -175.

BetMGM (and, obviously, many other books) have taken a boat-load of cash on Barkley to score at least one touchdown, motivating moving his line all the way to -200. Barkley scored 15 TDs in 16 regular-season games (13 rushing, two receiving) but has found paydirt five times in three postseason games. After being held out of the end zone in the Eagles’ 22-10 Wild Card win over Green Bay, he scored two touchdowns in their 28-22 win over the Rams and three in their 55-23 rout of the Commanders.

#4: Yellow/Green Gatorade Bath on Winning Coach

The last prop that BetMG is pulling for is from a market that’s unique to the Super Bowl: the Super Bowl 2025 Gatorade color predictions. BetMGM opened the Gatorade odds with red/pink as the +250 favorite, but they have taken just 7% of handle on red/pink and it’s faded all the way to +700 as a result.

The color that’s getting half the Gatorade color betting handle is yellow/green. The color that the Eagles dumped on Nick Sirianni after their NFC Championship win has moved all the way from +300 second-favorite to -165 chalk.

Looking for other Super Bowl 59 picks and predictions? Check out the following:

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• Eagles vs Chiefs Player Props to Target for Super Bowl 59
• Current Gatorade Color Odds, Expert Picks & Betting Splits – Yellow Favored
• Super Bowl 59 Broadcast Props
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