2025 NFL Draft Position Over/Unders & Early Value

• 2025 NFL Draft Position odds have been released ahead of draft night on Apr. 23
• Jaxson Dart, Colston Loveland, and Jalon Walker are my top value plays based on opening projections
• Read below for our analysis on these NFL prospects and where to find the best draft position values

The 2025 NFL Draft is less than three weeks away, and while most of the attention remains focused on Miami quarterback Cameron Ward (-2000 to go first overall), smart bettors are already finding value in the draft position props now available at sportsbooks.

DraftKings Sportsbook has released an extensive menu of draft position over/unders, offering plenty of opportunities to put your player evaluation skills to the test. Let’s break down some of the best values on the board.

NFL Draft Position Odds

Odds as of April 4th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Jalon Walker odds currently only available at Bet365 Sportsboook.

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Jaxson Dart Draft Position Odds & Value

If you’re searching for a bet with solid value, look no further than Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart’s draft position.

The current odds suggest he’s likely (66.7% implied probability) to be picked in the first round, but there are real reasons to question this.

The most concerning issue appears in his game film. Per PFF, when Dart threw to his initial read, his 92.9 PFF passing grade was the second-highest in the FBS. When he was forced to get off that initial read and flip to the other side of the field, his PFF passing grade dropped to 60.3, ranking 63rd. This processing limitation could seriously hinder his NFL transition.

One report even named Dart among “Players Most Likely to Be Overdrafted,” noting that “an NFC executive agreed that first-round talk is misguided,” citing Lane Kiffin’s system at Ole Miss as “a ‘mess’ for incoming NFL quarterbacks” that “doesn’t translate” well to the NFL.

Teams picking late in round one usually aren’t QB desperate, and second-tier quarterbacks often slide to day two. With Ward, Sanders, and others ahead of him, Dart falling out of round one looks like a real possibility.

• Pick: Jaxson Dart Over 24.5 (+160)

Colston Loveland Draft Position Odds & Value

Michigan tight end Colston Loveland offers another opportunity to capitalize on positional tendencies in the draft.

Loveland’s talent isn’t the issue. At 6’5″ and 245 pounds, he’s a fluid athlete with great hands who creates mismatches from multiple spots. He grabbed 56 catches for 582 yards and five TDs in just 10 games last season.

But two big factors work against Loveland going in the top 19: positional value and blocking concerns.

Tight ends rarely go early in round one unless they’re truly special. Even Brock Bowers, called a generational talent, fell to pick 13 last year. Loveland’s blocking is his most notable weakness according to multiple scouts. He got below-average PFF grades as both a pass and run blocker, struggling with pad level and leverage.

The +120 odds on the over 19.5 suggest just a 45.5% chance of this happening. Given how tight ends typically fall and Loveland’s specific issues, this bet looks like solid value.

• Pick: Colston Loveland Over 19.5 (+120)

Jalon Walker NFL Draft Over/Under Prediction

Georgia linebacker/edge defender Jalon Walker might be the most interesting bet on the board.

The heavy juice on the under 8.5 (-250) suggests a 71.4% chance Walker goes in the top 8. This matches his elite talent – Walker won the Butkus Award as college football’s top linebacker while showing he can play multiple positions.

But several factors could push Walker down draft boards. The top of this draft has multiple QB-needy teams, and offensive tackles are in high demand. If Ward, Sanders, and top OTs like Will Campbell and Armand Membou dominate early picks, a talented defender like Walker could slide.

Also, some scouts view Walker as a tweener – not quite the traditional size for an edge rusher, which might worry teams looking for a pure pass rush specialist.

At +200 (33.3% implied probability), the over 8.5 offers great value for a player who could easily get pushed down by position value concerns and team needs.

• Pick: Jalon Walker Over 8.5 (+200)

Mykel Williams NFL Draft Positon Prediction

Georgia defensive end Mykel Williams gives us a chance to hit the Under at a plus-money price.

At 6’5″ and 260 pounds with impressive 34.5-inch arms, Williams brings an explosive first step and versatility. Despite fighting injuries in 2024, he showed up big late in the season, racking up two sacks against Texas and another pair in the SEC Championship game.

While the -130 for Over 15.5 suggests he might slip past the mid-first, teams like the Steelers (12th) or Ravens (15th) could easily grab Williams earlier than expected. His upside and position value point toward the Under, making it a strong play at plus money.

• Pick: Mykel Williams Under 15.5 (+100)

As draft night gets closer, these lines will keep moving. The smart play is to jump on these values now, while oddsmakers are still sorting through all the noise and finalizing their boards.