15 NFL Teams Trends You MUST KNOW Before Betting on Week 3

• Week 3 in the NFL continues Sunday and there are a bevy of actionable trends for the slate
• The key trends in the Chiefs-Dolphins game point to fading KC
• See below for the top 15 NFL teams trends you must know before betting on Week 3

As the early-season NFL dust settles, oddsmakers and bettors alike are scrambling to separate the real contenders from the pretenders. Week 3 is loaded with heavy-hitting matchups drawing massive action. We have an AFC showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins, a prime-time Monday night battle featuring the Philadelphia Eagles at the Chicago Bears, and a massive international spectacle as the Baltimore Ravens take on the Dallas Cowboys at Maracanã Stadium in Rio de Janeiro.

While marquee names draw public money, blindly betting on star power is a quick way to drain your bankroll. Whether you want to exploit a matchup, fade a public darling, or find hidden value on the NFL odds board, these data-driven team trends below will give you a sharp edge. Let’s dive into the 15 NFL teams trends you must know before betting on Week 3

Week 3 NFL Teams Trends

Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins

The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS (.200) over their last 10 games.

Despite the Chiefs boasting a high-scoring air raid offense, their ability to cover numbers has fallen off a cliff. The offense of the Dolphins has stumbled, but taking double-digit points with a home underdog against a squad failing to cover 80% of the time is my preferred sharp angle.

Action: Back the Dolphins +11 (-108) at BetMGM. Claim SBD’s BetMGM promo code to get a bonus ahead of Week 3.

Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns

The Browns are 2-0 O/U this season.

The Panthers score an explosive 35.5 points per game with 70.0% red zone efficiency. The Browns average 16.5 PPG, but Carolina possesses a high-powered attack well-equipped to push this total over a relatively low number. Both squads move the chains effectively.

Action: Take the Over 41.5 (-111) at BetMGM.

Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants

The over hit in 11 of the Giants’ last 14 games.

Both of these teams like early locks to fall short of their NFL win totals, but the Giants convert 48.0% of their third downs and find immense success inside the 20 at 66.7%. The Titans average 15.0 PPG, but New York utilizes a potent situational offense that gives this a strong lean toward an over, cashing beyond expectation recently. Grab the Bet365 bonus code to tail this pick.

Action: Bet the Over 40.5 (-111) at Bet365.

New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are 8-2 SU (.800) over their last 10 games.

The Jaguars are elite in situational football, boasting a 75.0% red zone efficiency. With the Patriots managing just 15.0 PPG, holding a negative turnover differential, and struggling in the red zone, Jacksonville should handle business easily at home.

Action: Take the Jaguars -3 (-111) at Caesars Sportsbook.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills

The Bills are 9-2 SU (.818) and 7-4 ATS (.636) in their last 11 regular-season home games.

The Bills are a top-2 Super Bowl 61 odds favorite and an offensive juggernaut, averaging 38.5 points and 427.5 total yards per game. Elite pocket presence and execution fuel this scoring machine. The Chargers manage just 14.0 PPG with a -4 turnover differential. It is incredibly difficult to imagine Los Angeles keeping pace. Use the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to lock in this line.

Action: Lay the points with the Bills -7 (-108) at Caesars Sportsbook.

New York Jets @ Detroit Lions

The Lions are 5-1 (.833) ATS when favored by fewer than seven points over their last 6 games.

The offense of the Lions scores 31.0 PPG while converting a stellar 77.8% of their red zone opportunities. While the Jets hold a positive turnover differential, their offense lacks the firepower to keep this within a touchdown. Detroit executes efficiently when laying short numbers.

Action: Back the Lions -6.5 (-115) at theScore Bet.

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts

The over is 7-2 in the Colts’ last nine games.

The Colts average 26.5 PPG and come away with touchdowns on a massive 83.3% of their red zone trips. The Texans put up 18.5 PPG, but both squads showcase the ability to consistently move the ball, making this divisional over highly appealing.

Action: Play the Over 43.5 (-111) at Bet365.

Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders

The over is 6-2 in the Commanders’ last seven games as an underdog of a touchdown or more.

The Seahawks bring a solid offensive attack averaging 22.0 PPG, while the Commanders manage 21.0 PPG on 44.8% third-down efficiency. Washington consistently finds themselves in pass-heavy game scripts when catching big points, tilting this field position battle toward a high-scoring affair. Claim theScore Bet promo code and get in on the action.

Action: Take the Over 40 (-111) at theScore Bet.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers are 3-1 (.750) ATS at home over their last four games.

The offense of the Steelers has struggled early, hitting just 20.0% on third down, but they have a strong recent history of covering the spread at Acrisure Stadium. Grabbing the hook with a resilient home underdog in a classic AFC North rock fight is my sharpest angle.

Action: Back the Steelers +3.5 (-108) at Caesars Sportsbook.

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are 8-2 (.800) ATS over their last 10 games.

NFL MVP odds candidate Brock Purdy and the 49ers operate at an elite level, putting up 31.0 PPG with an 87.5% red zone conversion rate. The Cardinals simply lack the offensive output or defensive schemes to hang here. San Francisco covers large numbers because they ruthlessly finish drives.

Action: Lay the points with the 49ers -8.5 (-108) at BetMGM.

Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Vikings are 4-1 (.800) ATS over their last five games as a favorite.

The offense of the Vikings is firing on all cylinders with an 80.0% conversion rate in the red zone. The Buccaneers score 23.0 PPG but bleed turnovers constantly. Minnesota is the cleaner squad, making them an excellent bet to lay the short road number.

Action: Back the Vikings -1.5 (-108) at Bet365.

Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints

The Saints are 7-1 (.875) ATS over their last eight games (2-0 this season).

The Saints put up 26.0 points per game, highlighted by 71.4% efficiency in the red zone. The Raiders are equally potent, but New Orleans has been flawless against the number early in the campaign. I trust the squad playing excellent situational football at home.

Action: Lay the field goal with the Saints -3 (-118) at theScore Bet.

Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys

The Ravens are 2-0 ATS in their last two vs the Cowboys.

Both offenses are explosive, with the Ravens averaging 29.0 PPG and the Cowboys scoring 28.5 PPG. However, Baltimore’s physical ground and pound style matches up incredibly well against Dallas. The Cowboys convert an elite 68.2% of their third downs, but Baltimore historically owns this head-to-head dynamic.

Action: Back the Ravens -3 (-114) at BetMGM.

Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos

The Broncos are 4-1 (.800) SU in primetime over their last 5 games.

The Broncos thrive under the prime-time lights despite offensive struggles that limit them to 15.0 PPG. The Rams convert 66.7% in the red zone, but Denver’s defense and situational resilience give them tremendous value. Mile High is a brutal environment for road teams.

Action: Take the Broncos on the moneyline (+110) at Caesars Sportsbook.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

The Eagles are 7-3 SU as a favorite over their last 10 (2-0 this season).

The Eagles are extremely efficient, converting 53.1% of their third downs and scoring on 71.4% of their red zone trips. The offense of the Bears is dangerous, generating 31.0 PPG, but Philadelphia possesses the methodical offense built to win tight games.

Action: Bet the Eagles moneyline (-182) at Bet365.