Oregon vs Boise State Odds, Lines & Predictions (Sep. 7)

• #7 Oregon hosts Boise State on Saturday night
• Boise State is 3-0 all time vs Oregon
• Read below for the latest Oregon vs Boise State odds, lines, and predictions on September 7

Boise State travels to Eugene to face #7 Oregon on Saturday night at 10 pm ET. This late-night matchup between programs will be broadcast on Peacock.

Both of these teams won close games, but they tell different stories. Oregon was a 44.5-point favorite over FCS Idaho and only won 24-14. The Ducks had just a three-point lead at one point in the fourth quarter, but they were able to escape with a win. Boise State was a 13-point favorite over Georgia Southern and won by 11 in a high-scoring contest.

One of the more interesting stats in this game is that Oregon has never beaten Boise State. These two programs have played each other three times, and the Broncos have won every time. They last played in 2017, where Boise State won 38-28 in the Las Vegas Bowl. Will that play a factor on Saturday night, even though Boise State is a 19.5-point underdog?

Let’s look into my prediction to see.

Boise State vs Oregon Odds

The college football odds list Oregon as a 19.5-point favorite over Boise State, and their -1000 moneyline odds give them an implied win probability of 90.91%. This line has been on the move since opening. Oregon opened as an 18.5-point favorite, then they moved all the way to -21 before going back down to -19.5.

This is expected to be a high-scoring affair with the O/U set at 61.5. The total dropped to 59.5 for a little but is now where it opened at 61.5.

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Odds as of September 6 at Fanatics Sportsbook.

Boise State Betting Trends

Boise State failed to cover against Georgia Southern, but there was a lot to be excited about for the Mountain West favorite, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Running back Ashton Jeanty scored six touchdowns in their first game against Georgia Southern. He finished the game with 267 yards and averaged over 13 yards per carry.

RB1 doing RB1 things.

Ashton Jeanty in 1st half today: 12/146/4 pic.twitter.com/H6H1RK1ECX

— Dane Brugler (@dpbrugler) August 31, 2024

Quarterback Maddux Madsen played well too. He was 22 of 31 for 280 yards and a touchdown. Boise State will try to take advantage of Oregon’s defensive front which has a lot of new faces.

Boise State returned seven starters on the defensive side of the ball, so they have experience, but they still struggled against Georgia Southern’s offense. They allowed over 300 yards through the air, and now play an explosive offense in Oregon. Their defense will need to step up if they want to stay in this one.

Oregon Betting Trends

Oregon really disappointed in their opener against Idaho. They were great in between the 20s but could not convert that production into points. Despite that, their stars still showed up on the stat sheet. Dillon Gabriel threw for 380 yards and two touchdowns, and Tez Johnson had 12 receptions. Johnson caught both of Gabriel’s touchdown passes.

Their defense did look good against Idaho. They gave up 14 points, but one of the touchdowns that they allowed was because of a short field. They will have a tougher task on Saturday night with Jeanty and co.

Even though it was a scare, the Ducks escaped with the win, so no harm no foul. It is now on Dan Lanning to get his team ready to execute on both sides of the ball.

Oregon vs Boise State Prediction

This point total is high for a reason. Both teams can score, and I expect a lot of points to be scored on Saturday night. Boise State just scored 56 points in Week 1, and while Oregon’s defense is a big step up from Georgia Southern, they still have the talent to get the ball into the endzone. Boise State is a program that will not be afraid of a Power 5 team, and with their eyes on the extended college football playoff bracket, they know how big this game is for them.

Boise State has been an over team of late. The over has hit in each of their last four games and in seven of their last ten. Even though Oregon scored just 24 points against Idaho, I believe they will come out firing this game. I trust Dan Lanning getting his team ready to go after their disappointing performance in Week 1.

Last week could have easily been a combination of first-game nerves or just taking time for all the new pieces to gel. They might not have scored many points, but their offense still moved the ball well, and now they face a vulnerable Boise State defense. I expect this game to have closer to 70 points scored than 60.

Oregon vs Boise State Pick: Over 61.5 (-110)