Arizona State vs Texas State Odds, Pick & Prediction (Thursday, Sep. 12)

• Arizona State battles Texas State in Thursday CFB action
• The latest college football betting odds favor the Bulldogs
• Read below for Arizona State vs Texas State prediction, odds, and spread

Before the NFL takes over Thursday night, a college football cross-conference showdown kicks off in the Lone Star State. The Arizona State Sun Devils of the Big 12 travel to face the Texas State Bobcats of the Sun Belt, with kickoff set for 7:30 ET on September 12.

The Thursday night college football odds now favor Texas State after Arizona State opened as the favorite. The game total, meanwhile, is hinting at a potential shootout.

Let’s further examine the ASU vs TXST odds and provide our Thursday college football prediction.

Arizona State vs Texas State Odds

The Thursday night college football odds show Texas State as a -145 moneyline favorite, which is 59.2% implied probability. This betting line has shifted after ASU opened as slim favorites.

Thursday’s game will be broadcast on ESPN from Jim Wacker Field at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX.

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Odds as of September 12, 2024, at ESPN Sportsbook. Register with the ESPN Bet promo code to bet on Arizona State vs Texas State.

Sun Devils Betting Analysis

The Sun Devils are off to a surprising 2-0 start under second-year head coach Kenny Dillingham. Arizona State dominated Wyoming 48-7 in Week 1 before dethroning Mississippi State 30-23 in Week 2. ASU has covered the spread in both games.

Arizona State’s offense has been powered by a strong rushing attack led by RB Cam Skattebo. The workhorse back has 311 rushing yards on 44 carries (7.1 YPC) and 1 TD through two games. He had a monster performance against Mississippi State with 262 yards on 33 carries.

Week 2⃣ #Big12FB Offensive Player of the Week

Cam Skattebo | @ASUFootball pic.twitter.com/0pDPOyDoTy

— Big 12 Conference (@Big12Conference) September 9, 2024

QB Sam Leavitt, a Michigan State transfer, has been solid, if unspectacular, so far. He’s completed 57.1% of his passes for 327 yards, 2 TDs, and 0 INTs. Leavitt has also added 115 rushing yards and 2 TDs on the ground.

The Sun Devils’ defense has allowed just 15.0 PPG (48th nationally) and forced four turnovers (18th) in two games. DL Clayton Smith (3 tackles, 1 TFL, 1 sack), DL Elijah O’Neal (2 tackles, 2 TFL, 2 sacks), and LB Keyshaun Elliott (1 tackle, 1 TFL, 1 sack, 1 INT) have been playmakers.

Texas State Betting Analysis

The Bobcats have been a bit inconsistent to start the year but appear on the right track. Texas State narrowly beat FCS Lamar 34-27 in Week 1 before blowing out UTSA 49-10 in Week 2. The Bobcats are 1-1 ATS and 1-1 to the over/under so far.

Fifth-year starting QB Jordan McCloud, the reigning Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year, leads a high-powered Bobcats offense. McCloud has thrown for 547 yards, 5 TDs, and 2 INTs on 68.4% passing. He’s added 39 rushing yards and 2 TDs.

Texas State uses a run-and-gun offensive style under head coach G.J. Kinne and OC Mack Leftwich. RB Ismail Mahdi has rushed for 204 yards (5.4 YPC) and 2 TDs in two games. Texas State is ranked 38th in plays per minute and will look to keep things moving quickly.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Bobcats are allowing 18.5 points per contest (64th) and 244.5 passing yards per game (100th). DL Tunmise Adeleye has 1.5 sacks, 1 TFL, and three tackles. DB Jordan Polk has eight tackles and 1 TFL.

Arizona State vs Texas State Prediction

This game is going to come down to which team can implement their style the best. ASU has significantly slowed down their game tempo, ranking 123rd in pace this season compared to Texas State’s up-tempo style ranked in the top 25.

The Sun Devils will look to control the clock with their ground game, which means Cam Skattebo could be in for another big game against a suspect Texas State run defense. However, the Bobcats’ offense is explosive and will test an ASU defense that hasn’t faced a passing attack like this yet.

Cam Skattebo for President! pic.twitter.com/TUjZ4TlYHp

— Anthony Totri (@Anthony_Totri) September 8, 2024

I’m looking at the total in this game for my best Thursday night college football bet. It’s already climbed up to 59.5 at some sportsbooks, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s in the 60s by kickoff. The over has cashed in five of Arizona State’s last seven games and in four of Texas State’s last five.

With Texas State at home and running a fast-paced offense, look for the Sun Devils to rely a bit more on the passing game to keep up. Star WR Jordan Tyson has been the focal point of the passing game, with a 32.5% target share, and I’m expecting him to play a big role in this score getting over the number.

ASU vs TXST Picks:

• Over 58.5 (-110 at ESPN Bet)