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Alabama vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Player Props – College Football Week 3

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in College Football

Updated Sep 14, 2024 · 9:10 AM PDT

Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe looks for a pass
Sep 7, 2024; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) looks for a pass against the South Florida Bulls during the second quarter at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mandatory Credit: William McLelland-Imagn Images
  • Alabama vs Wisconsin headlines the Week 3 college football slate
  • The latest Bama vs Wisconsin odds favor the Crimson Tide by 16 points
  • Read below for Alabama vs Wisconsin prediction, odds and player props

The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0) head north to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (2-0) at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison on Saturday, September 14. This rare SEC-Big Ten clash marks just the third meeting ever between the storied programs.

Alabama looks to prove it remains a national title contender in its first major test of the season under Kalen DeBoer. Wisconsin, meanwhile, aims to make a statement and pull the upset in Luke Fickell’s second year at the helm.

Here is our Alabama vs Wisconsin prediction, along with betting odds and player props.

Jump To: Alabama vs Wisconsin Prediction | Alabama vs Wisconsin Odds | Alabama vs Wisconsin Player Props |

Alabama vs Wisconsin Prediction

Alabama’s offense has been rolling through the first two games of the season, averaging 52.5 points in wins over Middle Tennessee and South Florida. However, Bama struggled with turnovers and penalties in a closer-than-expected 42-16 win over the Bulls last weekend.

Wisconsin, meanwhile, is also 2-0, but the Badgers have looked shaky in narrow victories over Western Michigan and FCS foe South Dakota. Their heavy underdog price in the CFB odds speaks to their lack of roster talent compared to Bama.

The Badgers’ passing game, in particular, has sputtered, as Miami transfer QB Tyler Van Dyke has yet to connect on any big plays downfield. UW’s normally dominant run game and ball-control style has also been lacking.

The Badgers’ best hope is to ugly up the game, lean on their defense, and force Alabama into more mistakes. Camp Randall will be rocking for this rare visit from a top-5 non-conference opponent, UW’s first such home game in 35 years.

While the home environment is a nice edge, Bama has too much talent to bet against them here. Jalen Milroe and the passing game get rolling against a suspect UW secondary allowing 6.1 yards per attempt.

Wisconsin ranks a dismal 133rd out of 134 teams in terms of explosive play rate this season. As mentioned, Van Dyke continues to struggle, averaging just 6.4 yards per attempt. It’s hard to envision them keeping pace Saturday.

Alabama’s offense has shown flashes of explosiveness, ranking 15th in the nation in explosive play rate. Their ability to hit big plays could prove pivotal in this matchup, especially against a Wisconsin defense that has allowed an explosive play rate of 12.62% (95th).

Moreover, UW’s loss of DL James Thompson and LB Jake Chaney (due to targeting) are key blows to their defense. The Badgers have given up 120 yards on the ground to each of their first two lesser opponents, and now Alabama comes in with talent to make them pay both through the air and on the ground.

Bama vs WISC Pick:

  • Crimson Tide to Cover 16 (-105)
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Alabama vs Wisconsin Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Alabama -16 (-105) -750 O 49 (-110)
Wisconsin +16 (-115) +525 U 49 (-110)

Odds as of September 14, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out the DraftKings promo code to bet on Bama vs Wisconsin.

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Crimson Tide Favored in CFB Week 3 Odds

The Crimson Tide are unsurprisingly the favorites over the Badgers in the Week 3 college football odds. Kalen Deboer’s Tide enter Saturday’s matchup against the Wisconsin Badgers as heavy 16-point favorites.

These odds mean that oddsmakers expect Alabama to win by more than 16 points. For a bet on Alabama to cash, they must prevail by 17 or more. Conversely, Wisconsin is a 16-point underdog, so a wager on the Badgers pays out if they lose by 16 or fewer points or pull the outright upset.

On the moneyline, Alabama is a massive -752 to -800 favorite, implying an 88.7% win probability. Wisconsin ranges from +525 to +540 as heavy underdogs. Bettors must risk $7.52 to $8 on the Tide to win $1, while a $1 wager on the Badgers returns $5.25 to $5.40.

Alabama is favored due to their high-powered offense led by Milroe and their stifling defense that has allowed only eight points per game so far in 2024. Starting left tackle Kadyn Proctor is also expected to return after missing the first two games of the season with a shoulder injury.

The over/under total of 49 points is a bet on whether the teams will combine to score more or less than that amount. With Bama’s high-powered offense and two solid defenses, the total could go either way.

Alabama vs Wisconsin Player Props

Here is a look at the available college football player props for Alabama vs Wisconsin. Jalen Milroe has the higher passing yards total of the two quarterbacks, although neither is projected to light up the scoreboard Saturday afternoon.

Quarterback Passing Yards Passing TD Interceptions
Tyler Van Dyke (WIS) 182.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 0.5 (Ov -172 | Un +128) OFF
Jalen Milroe (BAMA) 222.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 1.5 (Ov -132 | Un +100) OFF
Running Backs Attempts Rush Yards Rush TD
Jalen Milroe (BAMA) OFF 42.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) OFF
Jam Miller (BAMA) OFF 68.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) OFF
Justice Haynes (BAMA) OFF 47.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) OFF
Wide Receivers + Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Receiving TD
Kobe Prentice (BAMA) 2.5 (Ov +108 | Un -140) 28.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) OFF
Germie Bernard (BAMA) 3.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 47.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) OFF
Will Pauling (WIS) 4.5 (Ov -128 | Un -102) 47.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) OFF
Bryson Green (WIS) 2.5 (Ov -128 | Un -102) 31.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) OFF

Alabama vs Wisconsin player prop odds as of Sept. 13 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out the available FanDuel promos for Alabama vs Wisconsin. 

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Here is one prop bet I’ve locked in for Saturday’s non-conference tilt:

Prop Pick: Jam Miller Rushing Yards

My colleague gave out Jam Miller O 68.5 rushing yards in his Week 3 college football player props, and I also love the value on this play. Miller should do some major damage following a dominant 140-yard rushing performance against South Florida, where he averaged an impressive 9.7 yards per carry.

YouTube video

Alabama’s ground game has virtually been unstoppable through the first two weeks, racking up 549 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. With Wisconsin’s linebackers struggling to fit the run, Miller should have plenty of room to operate.

The Badgers have surrendered 245 rushing yards and three touchdowns in 2024, ranking a miserable 66th nationally in run defense. I expect Bama to rely on Miller’s bruising running style and big-play ability heavily on Saturday, cashing the over on his rushing props in the process.

  • Prop Bet: Jam Miller Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
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