Villanova vs Kansas Player Props – Best Picks for Final Four
By Chris Amberley in College Basketball
Published:
- The Final Four at the NCAA Tournament tips-off on Saturday (April 2nd)
- Player props are available for the Villanova vs Kansas matchup
- See below to find out where the betting value lies in the Wildcats vs Jayhawks March Madness player props
After an incredible couple weeks at the NCAA Tournament we’ve arrived at College Basketball’s biggest weekend. The Final Four tips-off on Saturday in New Orleans, and despite the plethora of upsets we’ve seen so far, the right side of the March Madness bracket finished up fairly chalky.
The Midwest Region’s top seed Kansas will face the South Region’s second seed Villanova in Saturday’s first Final Four game, and a full menu of player props have already been released.
Villanova vs Kansas Player Props
| Villanova vs Kansas | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Daniels (VILL) | 12.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | OFF | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -200 / Un +150) |
| Collin Gillespie (VILL) | 14.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 4.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | 3.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125) | 2.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) |
| Eric Dixon (VILL) | 8.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 6.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | OFF | OFF |
| Jermaine Samuels (VILL) | 14.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | 7.5 (Ov -120 / Un -110) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +170 / Un -235) |
| Christian Braun (KU) | 12.5 (Ov +100 / Un -130) | 6.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 1.5 (Ov -175 / Un +130) | 1.5 (Ov +150 / Un -205) |
| David McCormack (KU) | 9.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105) | 6.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120) | OFF | OFF |
| Jalen Wilson (KU) | 11.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100) | 7.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105) | OFF | 0.5 (Ov -255 / Un +185) |
| Ochai Agbaji (KU) | 16.5 (Ov -105 / Un -125) | 5.5 (Ov +120 / Un -160) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -190 / Un +140) |
| Remy Martin (KU) | 11.5 (Ov -140 / Un +105) | OFF | 2.5 (Ov -165 / Un +125) | 1.5 (Ov +175 / Un -240) |
Odds as of March 31st at DraftKings Sportsbook.
The Wildcats sported +425 Final Four odds to come out of their Region prior to their first March Madness game, and much of their success so far can be attributed to their suffocating defense.
That unit will be put to the test versus a Jayhawks team than ranked top-16 in the nation in points per game, but that doesn’t mean we can’t find Kansas shooters to fade in the player props market.
Pick #1: Christian Braun Under 12.5 Points
Villanova has held each of its four tournament opponents to 61 points or less. They saved their most impressive defensive performance for the Elite Eight, limiting Houston to 44 points. They yielded a minuscule 29.8% shooting percentage, and completely neutralized the Cougars’ starters.
That spells trouble on Saturday for Kansas wing Christian Braun, who’s seen his shooting volume decrease recently. Braun has taken fewer than 10 shots in seven of his past nine outings, and has failed to clear 12 points in all but one March Madness contest.
Kansas' Christian Braun vs Miami (FL) in Elite Eight play:
🏀12 PTS (4/9 FG, 1/2 3P, 3/5 FT)
🏀6 REBS
🏀4 ASTS
🏀1 BLK#MarchMadness #FinalFour pic.twitter.com/guV6IS8Ll3— No Ceilings (@NoCeilingsNBA) March 27, 2022
His efficiency has dipped in his last two performances, shooting only 40% from the field. Typically an excellent three-point shooter, he’s made one or fewer threes in every game but one since the Big 12 regular season ended.
The Wildcats meanwhile, are tenacious defenders ranking 33rd in the country in opponent shooting percentage and 18th in scoring defense.
Braun’s difficult matchup, plus decrease in volume and efficiency make him a clear candidate to score under 12.5 points.
Pick #2: Eric Dixon Over 8.5 Points
While Villanova are rock starts at the defensive end, its offense isn’t nearly as impressive. The Wildcats rank 122nd in points per game this season, and don’t feature a contender in the Wooden Award odds . Four players average double-digit points per game, but it looks like there should be more opportunity to go around on Saturday.
Cool story: Jay Wright said he reached out to Kevin Durant (@KDTrey5) when he found out Justin Moore (@YooJustoo) tore his Achilles and Durant immediately got in touch with Moore to let him know he can come back from this. pic.twitter.com/HgZR5nLEpa
— Sully Engels (@sullyengels) March 31, 2022
That’s because second leading scorer Justin Moore is out indefinitely after suffering an Achilles Tendon injury against Houston. His absence should increase Eric Dixon’s role in the offense, brining the over on his point total into play. The sophomore has had two straight down games, in large part due to a lack of volume, but he should now see an uptick.
https://twitter.com/Blacketologist/status/1507852300727070726
Moore missed one game this season and Dixon went bonkers. He scored a career-high 24 points against a very good UConn team, while logging 33 minutes. He’s played 30 or more minutes just 10 this times this season and in all but two instances he exceeded 8 points.
If Villanova wants to pull of the upset of the NCAA Tournament odds favorite, they’d be wise to give Dixon plenty of touches. Villanova is 9-0 since January 19th when Dixon scores at least 10 points.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
