Warriors vs Rockets Odds, Player Props & Predictions (Game 2)
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The Golden State Warriors can take a 2-0 lead on the Houston Rockets in Game 2 on Wednesday night
- But after opening as a pick’em, the Warriors vs Rockets odds now favor Houston by 3.5 points
- See the Game 2 Warriors vs Rockets predictions, player props, and latest odds on April 23
The Golden State Warriors (48-34, 24-17 away) came out victorious in a defensive slugfest on Sunday, beating the Houston Rockets (52-30, 29-12 home) by a score of 95-85 to take a 1-0 lead in the best-of-seven series. On Wednesday, the teams will meet again at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Game 2 Warriors vs Rockets odds opened as a pick’em but that’s ancient history. On the morning of gameday, the Warriors vs Rockets odds favor Houston by 3.5 points.
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Odds
On the moneyline, Houston has shortened from -110 to -165 over the past two days, giving the Rockets a 62.26% implied win probability. The Warriors have faded from -110 to +140 (41.67% implied win probability). The game total, which opened at 208.5, has plummeted all the way to 204.5 with the under favored at -115.
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The Warriors/Rockets series price moved from -180/+140 in Golden State’s favor ahead of Game 1 to -400/+320 thereafter. That line has also moved slightly in Houston’s favor over the last couple days. Golden State is currently -380 to advance to the second round of the NBA playoff bracket while Houston is +300.
Houston was undone by one bad quarter in Game 1. After Houston took a 21-18 lead after one, the Warriors outscored the Rockets 29-13 in the second quarter, taking a lead they would never relinquish. The closest Houston would come in the second half was 76-73 with 6:49 remaining.
The Warriors are now the +1400 fourth-favorite in the NBA championship odds
GSW vs HOU Game 2 Player Props
NBA player props from DraftKings on April 23.
Curry (24.5 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 6.0 APG) once again has the highest point total of the night but after dropping a game-high 31 on Sunday, his total has dropped from 25.5 to 24.5. Butler (17.5 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 5.4 APG) is again second at 22.5, the same number as Game 1 which he eclipsed by half a point.
Sengun (19.1 PPG, 10.3 RPG, 4.9 APG) has the highest total among Houston players, again at 20.5. He had a team-high 26 in Game 1. No other Rocket scored more than 11.
Warriors vs Rockets & Picks
- Warriors moneyline (+140) at Caesars
- Butler over 22.5 points (-125) at DraftKings
- Sengun over 20.5 points (-110) at bet365
It is immensely difficult to win two road games to start a series. It happened twice in the 2024 playoffs (Minnesota at Denver in the West semifinals, and Dallas at Minnesota in the West finals), once in 2023 (Miami at Boston in the East finals), and zero times in 2022. That’s just three of the last 45 series (6.7%).
But if you’re looking for a series tailormade to be the exception, this is it. It’s hard to find two more-proven playoff performers than Curry and Butler, while the Rockets are extremely thin on postseason experience. It showed in Game 1 when Houston shot just 39.1% from the field an an ugly 20.7% from three (6-of-29) while committing 16 turnovers against just 19 assists. Golden State had a 20-to-11 assist-to-turnover ratio.
What’s perhaps most concerning for the Rockets is that they lost by double-digits while winning the rebound battle by a huge margin (52-36), including a 20-6 edge on the offensive glass. It’s not unlike the Rockets to win the board battle; they finished with the best REB% in the league during the regular season (53.9%).
But it is unlike the Warriors to get dominated so badly on the glass. Golden State was seventh in the NBA in REB% at 50.9%. It’s reasonable to assume Houston will out-rebound Golden State again but I don’t expect it to be a +16 margin.
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Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
