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Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Player Props (Mar. 5)

Nick Holz

By Nick Holz in NBA Basketball

Published:


Thunder vs Grizzlies Odds
Feb 8, 2025; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) drives to the basket as Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant (12) defends during the first quarter at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder go to war with the Memphis Grizzlies in Wednesday NBA action
  • The Thunder are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games
  • Check out our Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction, odds, & player props, below

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder meet Ja Morant and the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday, March 5. OKC became the first Western Conference team to hit 50 wins on Monday night with a 137-128 win over the Houston Rockets. While the Grizzlies will be fighting to keep a top-three seed in the Western Conference as the Lakers and Nuggets look to capitalize on a Grizzlies team that’s won just three of their past 10 games. This intriguing Thunder vs Grizzlies matchup gets underway from FedEx Forum on at 9:30 pm ET. Look for our Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction, with the odds and our favorite player props, below.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction

The red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Memphis as winners of eight of their past 10 games. In fact, across their past 15 contests, the Thunder lead the NBA in offensive rating (126) while going 13-2 SU. Marc Daigneault’s squad lead the NBA in net rating (+12.5), and assist to turnover ratio (2.26). Leading NBA MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped 51 points in his last game.

Across that same time frame, Memphis has gone 7-8 SU with a negative net rating. The Grizzlies have struggled to find any sort of rhythm post All-Star break. With Ja Morant missing the last two games, Memphis’ offensive efficiency has taken a nose dive. On top of that, Defensive Player of the Year Contender Jaren Jackson Jr. will miss this game after being diagnosed with a Grade 2 ankle sprain.

To top it all off, Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Memphis. On the flip side, Memphis are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight contests. All of the trends point towards the Thunder winning this game by a significant margin.

  • Pick: Oklahoma City -9 (-110)
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Thunder vs Grizzlies Odds

Bet TypeOklahoma City ThunderMemphis Grizzlies
Spread-9 (-112)+9 (-108)
Moneyline-380+300
TotalO 251.5 (-110)U 251.5 (-110)

The Thunder enter Wednesday’s contest as 9-point favorites against the Memphis Grizzlies, who are +300 moneyline underdogs in today’s NBA odds. Odds as of March 2nd, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Look for a Draftkings promo code for all your NBA betting action. 

Thunder vs Grizzlies Player Prop Picks

Player PropOdds
Luguentz Dort Under 9.5 Points-110
Zach Edey Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds-120
Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Rebounds-125

Luguentz Dort has failed to surpass 9.5 points in four of his last five games on the road. In those contests, the Montreal native has averaged just 8.4 points a game, while shooting 41% from the floor. Dort has averaged just 28 minutes per game across his last 10. While he is a competent scorer at times, most of Dort’s focus will be on the defensive end. Head coach Mark Daigneault relies on Dort to be his primary defensive stopper, and he’ll have his hands full containing the likes of Ja Morant and Desmond Bane tonight.

Grizzlies rookie Zach Edey steps into the limelight as he replaced Jaren Jackson Jr. in the starting lineup tonight. Unfortunately, Edey has yet to play 30 or more minutes in a game this season. Moreover, he’ll be guarded by veteran Isaiah Hartenstein, who understands the nuances on both the offensive and defensive end to help his team win. The former Purdue standout has scored 15-plus points in back-to-back games against the terrible defenses of San Antonio and Atlanta. However, he won’t find space nearly as easy to come by against the swarming Thunder defense. Fade Edey against Oklahoma City.

Thunder swingman Jalen Williams has surpassed 4.5 rebounds in seven of his last 10 games. Crucially, he’s exceeded this rebounding prop line in four of his last five on the road, while averaging 5.6 boards a night. Williams has played a ton of small ball center for the Thunder when Daigneault decides to go small. On top of that, with Jackson hurt and Santi Aldama also ailing, the Grizzlies have few big men to crash the boards when Edey sits. Williams is a high energy rebounded on both ends of the floor, who’s averaged 9.3 rebounding chances per game across his last 10 contests. Bet on Jalen Williams to surpass 4.5 rebounds again tonight at -125 odds.

Nick Holz
Nick Holz

Sports Content Writer

A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.

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