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Mavericks vs Grizzlies Odds – Spread, Total, Moneyline for West Play-In Tournament Final

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Dallas Mavericks center Daniel Gafford dunking against the Memphis Grizzlies
Apr 13, 2025; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Dallas Mavericks center Daniel Gafford (21) dunks as Memphis Grizzlies forward Marvin Bagley III (35) defends during the first quarter at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
  • The Dallas Mavericks visit the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday for the #8 seed in the west
  • The Mavericks obliterated Sacramento in the 9-vs-10 game while Memphis lost to the Warriors in the 7-vs-8 matchup
  • See the opening Mavericks vs Grizzlies odds, including spread, total, and moneyline for April 18

The shorthanded Dallas Mavericks (39-43, 17-25 away, 38-42-2 ATS) got the job done in Sacramento on Wednesday night in the 9-vs-10 Western Conference play-in game. On Friday, the Mavs travel to Tennessee to face the Memphis Grizzlies (48-34, 22-19 home, 42-40-1 ATS) in the final play-in game. The winner will earn the #8 seed and book a date with the NBA-best OKC Thunder in the first round of the NBA playoff bracket.

Despite Dallas’ impressive performance on Wednesday, the opening Mavericks vs Grizzlies odds heavily favor Memphis moving on. The Mavs and Grizzlies will tip-off from FedExForum in Memphis at 9:40 pm ET on April 18th.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Odds

Bet TypeMavericksGrizzlies
Spread+6.5 (-110)-6.5 (-110)
ML+220-270
TotalO 222.5 (-110)U 222.5 (-110)

The opening Mavericks vs Grizzlies spread favors Memphis by 6.5. On the moneyline, the Grizzlies are -270 favorites, which amounts to a 72.97% implied win probability. The Mavericks come back as +220 underdogs (31.25% implied win probability). The game total has opened at 222.5 with -110 odds each way in Friday’s NBA odds.

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Dallas advanced to Friday’s final play-in game with a lopsided road win over Sacramento, led by 27 points and nine rebounds from Anthony Davis. The Grizzlies fell 121-116 at Golden State, almost clawing all the way back form a 20-point deficit. Desmond Bane had a team-high 30 points in a losing effort.

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Both teams remain massive longshots in the NBA championship odds. Memphis is priced at +40000 (0.25% implied win probability), while the Mavs are a make-sure-you-count-the-zeroes +200000, which is just a 0.05% implied win probability.

DAL vs MEM Advanced Stats

DALSTATMEM
-1.3 (18th)Net Rating+4.7 (6th)
113.7 (18th)O-Rating117.2 (6th)
115.0 (20th)D-Rating112.6 (11th)
48.8 (24th)REB%51.8% (3rd)
58.3 (14th)TS%58.8 (12th)
100.15 (12th)Pace103.69 (1st)

It’s hard to find a statistical category where the Mavericks have an edge over the Grizzlies. Memphis is more efficient on offense, stingier on defense, shoots at a higher percentage, and grabs more rebounds.

And some of Dallas’ overall numbers stem from the 22 games they got out of Luka Doncic before the trade that rocked the foundations of the NBA.

Dallas has shown a fairly high ceiling – higher than some (e.g. this writer) imagined they could have without Doncic and Kyrie Irving, who suffered a season-ending injury in early March – but there is a horrendous lack of consistency. The last ten games are a microcosm of that: Dallas is 5-5 SU with quality road wins over Orlando, Chicago, and Memphis, but their average margin of defeat in the five losses was an embarrassing 21.6 PPG.

Dallas vs Memphis Regular-Season Results

Date (Location)Score/WinnerATS WinnerO/U Result
Dec. 3 (DAL)121-116 DALDAL -4.5Un 244.5
Jan. 6 (MEM)119-104 MEMMEM -4.5Un 232.0
Mar. 7 (DAL)122-111 MEMMEM -10.0Un 238.0
Apr. 13 (HOU)132-97 MEMMEM +2.0Ov 228.0

The Grizzlies have won three straight against the Mavericks, and took all three meetings this season in which the Mavericks didn’t have Luka Doncic on the court. On the final day of the regular season, a Memphis skeleton crew put the boots to a considerably-more-intact Dallas roster (132-97), making oddsmakers look preposterous for establishing Dallas as a two-point road favorite.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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