Nuggets vs Mavericks Odds, Predictions & Props to Bet (Jan. 12)

• The Denver Nuggets (22-15) tangle with the Dallas Mavericks (22-16) Sunday at 3:10 pm ET
• Dallas is 5.5-point underdogs and will be without stars Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving
• Check out the Nuggets vs Mavericks betting odds, player prop bets, and prediction

It’s Big D vs Big D when the Dallas Mavericks (22-16, 19-18-1 ATS) host the Denver Nuggets (17-19-1) Sunday at American Airlines Arena, the first of a Texas two-step for these teams, who meet again in Dallas on Tuesday. The Mavericks will be without superstars Luka Doncic (calf) and Kyrie Irving (back). Denver is feeling the injury pinch, too, with Jamal Murray (questionable, knee) and Aaron Gordon (out, calf) dealing with issues. We have a full preview of Sunday’s Mavericks vs Nuggets clash, including a special look at the best prop bets.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

The Nuggets are 5.5-point favorites everywhere as of Sunday morning. The total is 228 at DraftKings and FanDuel, but again, BetMGM has an extra half point at 228.5. The best value on the Denver moneyline is FanDuel with a -198 price on the Nuggets, while Dallas is +170 most places, including BetMGM.

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Denver has won four of the last six meetings straight up, but Dallas has won two of the last three against the spread. Trend wise, Dallas is 1-6 against the number in its last seven games – this corresponds to the Doncic injury. Denver is 3-1 against the spread in its last four games. We love to look at recent history between the two teams, but there’s not a lot of guidance here. The games are 5-5 over/under.

NIKOLA JOKIĆ FROM JUST INSIDE HALFCOURT.

25 AT HALFTIME AFTER 56 LAST NIGHT 🚨 pic.twitter.com/XjIqHYHx0o

— NBA (@NBA) December 9, 2024

DEN vs DAL Player Prop Bet #1: Jokic under 30.5 points (-125) at BetMGM

Denver start Nikola Jokic missed two games with an injury, but returned Friday and put up 41 points in a win over Brooklyn. He is probably as of Sunday morning.

The reason why we like the under is that we think Dallas won’t be able to match Denver’s firepower and Jokic may have a big three quarters and then duck out for the fourth. Admittedly, this is a hard call. Jokic has scored 35, 46 and 41 points in his last three outings. He’s the toughest person to guard in the NBA the way he plays.

Spencer Dinwiddie SLAMS IT DOWN right before the half 💥pic.twitter.com/C0AiLEF6dt

— Mavs Nation (@MavsNationCP) January 8, 2025

DEN vs DAL Player Prop Bet #2: Spencer Dinwiddie over 16.5 points -105 at BetMGM

The 11-year NBA vet can still hoop. He’s been the Mavericks instant offense player coming off the bench this season, but without Irving and Doncic, they need to get offense from someone.

Dinwiddie has played 35 minutes in each of the last two Mavericks games. He plays well off the ball. He gets to the free throw line (he was 6-8 from the stripe last time out in a win over Portland). Also, Denver doesn’t exactly play great defense. The Nuggets rank 24th in the NBA in points allowed at 116.5 a game. Dinwiddie has had 17 and 19 points in each of the last two Mavs games. This is a good bet.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Predictions

• Nuggets -5.5 at BetMGM
• Over 228.5 at BetMGM

We’re going to take the extra point and extra value at BetMGM today, because we think the Mavericks are just not healthy enough to match up with the Nuggets. Jokic will get his and then rest, and it’s hard to see how the Mavericks keep this one close. Denver has won six of its last eight and is finally playing quality basketball. When the schedule comes out, this is a big game, because of the Jokic-Doncic match-up, but it’s not happening today. Nuggets should have no problem.