Northwest Division Odds: We Got the Jazz, We Got the Jazz

By Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball
Updated: March 31, 2020 at 4:20 pm EDTPublished:

- Thunder, Jazz open as co-favorites to win the Northwest
- Blazers, Nuggets, Timberwolves also fielding competitive teams
- Dissecting the toughest division in the NBA
If last year was any indication, the Northwest Division is going to be a fierce battleground.
All five teams were separated by just three games.
They were also the only division that had every team finish with a winning record within the brutal Western conference – though only one team reached double digit wins within division play.
Four of the five teams punched their ticket into the postseason, and the ninth-seeded Nuggets’ 46-36 record would have earned them sixth in the West.
With training camps set to go later this month, online sportsbooks have released odds on who will take the division.
Odds to win 2018 Northwest Division
Team | 2017 Record | Odds |
---|---|---|
Oklahoma City Thunder | 48-34 | +225 |
Utah Jazz | 48-34 | +225 |
Denver Nuggets | 46-36 | +450 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 47-35 | +500 |
Portland Trail Blazers | 49-33 | +600 |
Will the Jazz or Thunder take the division?
It’s a toss-up between two teams that went at it in a spirited, yet one-sided opening round series.
We can look at stats and facts all day, but I’ll make it easy as to why you’ll want to take the Jazz.
Russell Westbrook underwent arthroscopic surgery on his right knee today after feeling some stiffness in the last week. It's a preemptive "maintenance" procedure. He'll be re-evaluated in four weeks, which could force him to miss the preseason.
— Royce Young (@royceyoung) September 12, 2018
There’s no way OKC rushes their MVP into the lineup until he’s fully ready to go. This is now the fourth procedure on his right knee. Those few missed games are going to be enough to give Utah the edge.

Still, these are the two to beat, and man the match-up is intriguing. Russell Westbrook is relentless getting to the rim, and electric finishing, only the Jazz want him to do that. Big man Rudy Gobert anchors a defense that limited teams to under 100 points a game all season.
A healthy Andre Roberson is a world class defender, but Donovan Mitchell is Russ Lite, and can break down any scheme with his athleticism.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=5&v=Znv8lz4iOEU
And also, we need more Paul George vs. Joe Ingles, who somehow turned into the best player in basketball and owned that playoff head-to-head.
https://twitter.com/SheaSerrano/status/988631816184659968
Now, freed from the shackles of Carmelo Anthony, OKC does have massive upside – buoyed by an A+ offseason that netted them Dennis Schroder, Nerlens Noel and locking down George long term.
Past 5 Northwest Division Winners
Year | Team | Record |
---|---|---|
2017 | Trail Blazers | 49-33 |
2016 | Jazz | 51-31 |
2015 | Thunder | 55-27 |
2014 | Trail Blazers | 51-31 |
2013 | Thunder | 59-23 |
Seeking out value in the Northwest
How tough is it to be the Blazers right now? Forty-nine wins and a division crown were reduced to dust by Anthony Davis and a crushing first round sweep.

Portland didn’t add any significant pieces this offseason, and now they’re left in the scrap heap, their window considered closed.
Sure, they have some demons to shake, but Dame Lillard and CJ McCollum are still great, and, if you believe McCollum, they’re doing their best.
Im trying Jennifer
— CJ McCollum (@CJMcCollum) August 15, 2018
+600 for a squad that’s virtually the same (minus energy big Ed Davis)? This was a team that was top-5 in defense and tied for third in total rebounding. They didn’t outscore teams, they used defense and rebounding to rise to the top. I don’t see the effort waning. You could do much worse.
#Nuggets starters have all ranked in the top-100 of @TheCrossover’s league-wide rankings:
Will Barton – 70
Jamal Murray – 55
Gary Harris – 44
Paul Millsap – 37
Nikola Jokic – 18That is one hell of a starting unit. https://t.co/OwPbfRzvM3
— T.J. McBride (@TJMcBrideNBA) September 12, 2018
If you’re into wild cards, the Nuggets may be your team. Nikola Jokic is the real deal, and a healthy Paul Millsap does everything well. Jamal Murray and Gary Harris are a nice backcourt, and Isiah Thomas off the bench could be a magnificent closer in that rare air.
Their defense, however, may not be able to hold up – and outscoring your problems for wins (they surrendered 108.5 points a game last year) is a tough road to a division crown.
The Pick
Russ’s knee and playing well heading into the playoffs is more important than the division crown, which is why Utah takes the Northwest.

Sports Writer & Editor
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.