NBA Play-In Tournament Public-Betting Trends & Money Percentages – Hawks vs Magic & Grizzlies vs Warriors
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic will decide the #7 seed in the East tonight
- The Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors battle for the #7 seed in the West in the late game
- See the NBA Play-In Tournament public betting trends and money percentages on April 15
Starkly different prizes are on the line in the East and West Play-In Tournaments. The winner of the 7-vs-8 game in the Western Conference between Memphis and Golden State will face the overachieving #2 Houston Rockets in the first round. The winner of the 7-vs-8 game in the East between Atlanta and Orlando will have to contend with the reigning champion Boston Celtics.
The Play-In Tournament matchups were set on Sunday night, meaning the public has had nearly 48 hours to take sides and move Tuesday’s NBA odds. The tables below set out the Play-In Tournament public-betting trends and money percentages for Hawks vs Magic and Grizzlies vs Warriors.
Play-In Tournament Public-Betting Trends
Odds and percentages from SBD’s NBA public betting splits page as of 2:41 pm ET, April 15.
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Hawks vs Magic Public-Betting Splits
The Atlanta vs Orlando public-betting splits show an interesting divide. The public, as it often does, is favoring the home favorite on the moneyline, putting 57% of ML handle and 74% of ML bets on Orlando to win straight-up. But when it comes to the ATS trends, it’s the Hawks who are getting 56% of handle and 55% of wagers as 5.5-point road underdogs.
The teams had nearly identical ATS records during the regular season, with Atlanta batting exactly .500 (41-41 ATS) and Orlando half a game behind (40-41-1 ATS).
When it comes to the game total splits, the public is all over the over. Indeed, over 218.5 is the public’s favorite side in this game both in terms of handle (91%) and tickets (91%), meaning just 9% of game-total money and 9% of game-total wagers are on the under roughly four hours before tip-off.
Atlanta, which plays at the third-fastest pace in the NBA, had the second-best over record in the NBA this season (50-31-1 O/U). Only the Cavs hit the over at a higher rate (51-31 O/U). Orlando, though, was one of just six teams in the NBA this season which hit more unders than overs (35-47 O/U) and only Charlotte (33-49) hit the under at a higher rate than the Magic.
Check out SBD’s Hawks vs Magic picks:
- Hawks vs Magic Picks, Betting Predictions & Best Odds
- Hawks vs Magic Player Props to Target for Play-In Tournament
Grizzlies vs Warriors Public-Betting Splits
The Grizzlies vs Warriors betting splits show similar trends as Hawks/Magic when it comes to the moneyline and spread. The public loves the home favorite to win outright, putting 62% of moneyline handle and a massive 86% of moneyline bets on Golden State. But, against the spread, the splits are almost even. Currently, the Warriors are getting 51% of ATS handle on exactly 50% of the ATS tickets, leaving Memphis with 49% of ATS handle on the other 50% of wagers.
Golden State covered 51.9% of its games this season against the spread (41-38-3 ATS), slightly better than Memphis at 50.6% (41-40 ATS).
Where the two games differ drastically is on the total. While the public loves the over in Hawks/Magic, the under is getting all the attention in Grizzlies/Warriors. So far, 86% of game-total handle and 89% of game-total tickets are on under 228.0.
Grizzlies vs Warriors was dead-even with a 41-41 O/U record. Memphis hit the over a profitable 56.1%, going 46-35 O/U.
Check out SBD’s Grizzlies vs Warriors picks:
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
