Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Odds, Predictions, Player Props & Injury Reports (May 26)

• The Dallas Mavericks can take a 3-0 stranglehold on the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight in the Western Conference Final
• The Mavericks are 4-2 at home in the playoffs while the T-Wolves are 4-1 on the road
• Below, see the Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks odds, predictions, and player props for Game 3

The 2024 Western Conference Final between the Minnesota Timberwolves (64-31, 30-16 away, 48-45-2 ATS) and Dallas Mavericks (60-36, 29-18 home, 56-40 ATS) has the potential to turn into a runaway tonight when the best-of-seven series moves to Dallas for Game 3. The Mavericks pulled off a pair of road upsets in Minnesota in Games 1 and 2 and can now take a 3-0 stranglehold on the series with a win at American Airlines Center on Sunday night (7:40 pm CT/8:40 pm ET).

The Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 3 odds favor Dallas making it three straight, but the margin is slim.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

Dallas is a slim 2.5-point home favorite in Game 3 and -142 on the moneyline. The Timberwolves come back at +120 to win straight-up while the game total is at 207.5.

The first two games of the series both went over their totals of 207. Game 1 saw 213 points scored (108-105) while Game 2 saw 217 (109-108).

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Odds as of May 26. Claim a Fanatics Sportsbook promo to bet on Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 3. 

On the opposite side of the NBA playoff bracket, the Boston Celtics took a 3-0 lead on the shorthanded Indiana Pacers last night and are now -230 favorites in the NBA championship odds.

Dallas Defense Holding Ant-man in Check

The biggest difference between the teams in Games 1 and 2 was the performance of the star players. Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving combined for 115 points in the first two games of the series on 46.7% shooting from the floor (42-for-90). Anthony Edwards, on the other hand, had just 40 total points on an ugly 33.3% clip from the field.

Minnesota is currently a -10 with Edwards on the court in the series.

Dallas has also owned a significant and unexpected edge on the glass (+12 through two games).

The T-Wolves were poised to even the series at one game apiece, holding a 108-106 lead with the shot clock off in Game 2. But a go-ahead three from Doncic with under five seconds to play stood-up as the game-winner.

Luka Doncic scored the game-winning three-pointer over Rudy Gobert 😱

pic.twitter.com/WME4AROd9c

— Eurohoops (@Eurohoopsnet) May 25, 2024

The T-Wolves have been nearly perfect on the road in the postseason, though. After sweeping Phoenix is four games in round one, Minnesota took a stunning 2-0 lead on the defending-champion Nuggets in round two by winning a pair of games in Denver. (The Nuggets didn’t lose a home game en route to the Western Conference championship last year.)

The Mavericks are currently 4-2 at home in the playoffs, going 2-1 against both the LA Clippers in round one and OKC Thunder in round two. They had identical 25-16 home and away records during the regular season.

MIN vs DAL Game 3 Player Props

DAL vs MIN NBA player props from DraftKings on May 26.

The player props for Game 3 show Doncic with a game-high total of 30.5, which is up two full points from this totals for Game 1 and 2 (both of which he went over). Edwards’ total has dropped to just 25.5.

Rudy Gobert has the highest rebound total on the board at 11.5 but the under is favored (+114o/-135u).

The injury reports for Game 3 remain nearly identical to Game 2. On the Dallas side, Doncic is once again questionable with a right-knee sprain, but he’s also now suffering from left-ankle soreness as well.

For the T-Wolves, starting point guard Mike Conley is again questionable with a lingering Achilles issue. The veteran was rock solid in Game 2, finishing with 18 points, five rebounds, and five assists in 33 minutes, shooting 50% from the field.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Game 3 Prediction

Despite a couple disappointing performances at home, I remain a firm believer in the Timberwolves as a group. Their defense was less than its best in the first two games of the series and their go-to scorer was dreadfully inefficient. But they’ve shown an excellent ability to respond to setbacks all season: Minnesota only lost back-to-back games four times this year and has yet to suffer a three-game losing streak.

I expect a big performance in what is effectively a do-or-die spot for Minnesota. (No NBA team has ever come back from 3-0 down.)

MIN vs DEN Game 3 picks:

• Timberwolves moneyline (+120)
• Edwards over 25.5 points (-135)