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Lakers vs Timberwolves Odds, Player Props & Predictions (Game 3)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic passing against the Minnesota Timberwolves
Apr 22, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77) pass is deflected by Minnesota Timberwolves center Rudy Gobert (27) during the third quarter of game two of first round for the 2024 NBA Playoffs at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images
  • The Los Angeles Lakers visit the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 on Friday night
  • The Lakers were three games under .500 on the road this season (6-7 SU with Luka Doncic)
  • Below, see the Lakers vs Timberwolves odds, player props, and predictions for Game 3

A pivotal Game 3 between the Los Angeles Lakers (50-32, 19-22 away, 45-35-2 ATS) and Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33, 25-16 home, 39-42-1 ATS) takes place on Friday night at the Target Center in Minneapolis as both teams look to take the lead in the best-of-seven first-round series. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:40 pm CT/9:40 pm ET and Minnesota is currently a three-point home favorite in Friday’s NBA odds.

LA Lakers vs MIN Timberwolves Odds

Bet TypeLakersTimberwolves
Spread+3.0 (-110)-3.0 (-110)
Moneyline+130-155
TotalO 206.0 (-110)U 206.0 (-110)

Minnesota is listed as a three-point favorite and -155 on the moneyline (60.78% implied win probability) with the Lakers coming back as +130 road underdogs (43.48% implied win probability). The game total is sitting at 206.0 with -110 odds each way.

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The Lakers are currently slight -115 favorites to win the series with Minnesota at -105. The winner of this series will face the winner of Warriors/Rockets in the second round of the NBA playoff bracket.

DateScoreO/U Result
Apr. 22, 202594-85 LALUn 211.5
Apr. 19, 2025117-95 MINUn 215.5
Feb/ 27, 2025111-102 LALUn 228.5
Dec. 13, 202497-87 MINUn 213.5
Dec. 2, 2024109-80 MINUn 219.5
Oct. 22, 2024111-103 LALUn 224.0
Apr. 7, 2024127-117 MINOv 218.5
Mar. 10, 2024120-109 LALOv 226.5
Dec. 30, 2023108-106 MINUn 227.5
Dec. 21, 2023118-111 MINOv 222.5

All six meetings between the Twolves and Lakers this season have stayed under their total and that hasn’t been lost on oddsmakers. Game 1 had a total of 215.5 while Game 2 had a total of 211.5. After LA’s 94-85 win on Tuesday stayed 32.5 points shy, the O/U for Game 3 has been lowered another 5.5 points.

Dating back to last season, seven of the last ten Lakers/Timberwolves games have hit the under but, as mentioned, that includes six straight and every game this season.

MIN vs LAL Player Props

PLAYERPOINTSREBOUNDSASSISTS
Luka Doncic (LAL)30.5 (O -120 | U -110)9.5 (O +110 | U -140)7.5 (O +124 | U -160)
Anthony Edwards (MIN)26.5 (O -110 | U -120)5.5 (O -140 | U +110)4.5 (O -135 | U +105)
LeBron James (LAL)22.5 (O -130 | U -100)7.5 (O -140 | U +110)6.5 (O +114 | U -145)
Austin Reaves (LAL)18.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -105 | U -125)4.5 (O +120 | U -154)
Julius Randle (MIN)18.5 (O -105 | U -125)OFF4.5 (O -145 | U +114)
Jaden McDaniels (MIN)12.5 (O -105 | U -125)5.5 (O +120 | U -150)OFF
Rui Hachimura (LAL)11.5 (O -105 | U -125)5.5 (O +130 | U -166)OFF
Rudy Gobert (MIN)9.5 (O -130 | U -100)9.5 (O -115 | U -115)OFF
Mike Conley (MIN)6.5 (O -115 | U -115)OFF3.5 (O -125 | U -105)

After dropping 37 points in Game 1 and another 31 in Game 2, Luka Doncic (28.2 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 7.7 APG) leads the LAL/MIN point totals at 30.5. Doncic has shot exactly 50% from the field in the first two games of the series. Anthony Edwards (27.6 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 4.5 APG) has the highest total on the Minnesota side at 26.5 in Friday’s NBA player props. Ant had 22 points in Game 1 and 25 in Game 2 but is shooting just 40.9% from the floor.

Rudy Gobert (12.0 PPG, 10.9 RPG, 1.8 APG), who had a double-digit rebound total in each of the first two games, has been dropped ot 9.5 O/U in Game 3. Gobert has just 12 total rebounds through two games (six in each of Games 1 and 2) and has seen his minutes decline in favor of floor-spacing Naz Reid.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions

  • LAL vs MIN Pick #1: Gobert under 9.5 rebounds (-115) at DraftKings
  • LAL vs MIN Pick #2: Timberwolves moneyline (-155)

The Lakers have been a mediocre-at-best road team all season and that continued even after Doncic joined the lineup. Los Angeles is under .500 (6-7) on the road with Doncic on the floor.

Minnesota was a solid 25-16 on its home court, though just 17-23-1 ATS. Last season, they were an even-better 30-11 at home straight-up but, again, just 21-26-2 ATS. The three-point spread isn’t huge, obviously, but Minnesota’s penchant to win-but-not-cover at the Target Center has me scared enough to target the Twolves’ moneyline instead.

I’m also betting Gobert to go under his rebound total again. Head coach Chris Finch found something that worked really well in Game 1 with Naz Reid playing more than Gobert, and I don’t expect the three-time NBA DPOY to be on the floor enough to hit double-digit rebounds.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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