Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Player Props (Friday, Mar. 7)

• The Memphis Grizzlies visit the Dallas Mavericks on Friday night
• The Grizzlies are 10.5-point road favorites and -525 on the moneyline
• See below for Grizzlies vs Mavs predictions, latest odds and Over/Under pick for Mar. 7

The Memphis Grizzlies (38-24) head to the Big D to face the struggling Dallas Mavericks (32-31) at American Airlines Center on Friday at 7:30 pm ET. It’s a Southwest Division clash between a Grizzlies squad looking to snap a four-game skid and an injury-ravaged Mavs team just trying to stay afloat.

Memphis aims to get back on track after falling 120-103 to the Thunder on Wednesday, while Dallas looks to avoid a fourth straight loss after getting pummeled 137-107 by the Bucks. Oddsmakers heavily favor Ja Morant, Desmond Bane and the Grizz on the road.

Here’s a look at our Grizzlies vs Mavericks prediction for Friday night.

Grizzlies vs Mavericks Picks & Prediction

• Grizzlies -10.5 (-105) at Bet365
• Over 239.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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The Grizzlies enter this matchup as big road favorites despite their recent slide. They still own the second-best record in the West at 38-24 and boast one of the deepest rosters in the NBA. Getting back All-Star wing Desmond Bane, who dropped a 35-point triple-double on Monday, is a big boost.

On the other side, the Mavericks are in a world of hurt right now. They’ve dropped five of six and are coming off a 30-point loss to the Bucks. Injuries have decimated them, with stars Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis headlining a list of seven rotation players who are out. Dallas is running out of bodies fast.

This shapes up as a huge mismatch on paper. Even without Jaren Jackson Jr., the Grizzlies’ deep stable of playmakers led by Ja Morant and Bane should feast against a thinned-out Mavs defense surrendering nearly 130 points per game in their last three. Memphis leads the NBA in scoring, rebounding, steals and blocks.

The extra rest since their last game on Wednesday should especially benefit the Grizzlies, who love to push the pace. They lead the league in possessions per game at 104.3. That uptempo attack spells trouble for an undermanned and deflated Mavs squad coming home after a blowout loss.

The matchup also sets up well for an over in a game with a whopping 239.5 point total. Memphis has the firepower to put up a massive number against this shorthanded Dallas defense, while the Mavs will have to rely on a perimeter-oriented attack that should at least help them reach 110-115.

Ultimately, the Grizzlies simply have too much talent and depth for the depleted Mavs to handle, even on the road. Lay the big number with Memphis and ride the over in what could be a high-scoring affair if Dallas can do its part.

Grizzlies vs Mavericks Odds

The Grizzlies are hefty 10.5-point road favorites at Bet365 Sportsbook, with their -525 moneyline price giving them a 84% implied probability of winning straight up. Memphis crushed Dallas 119-104 in their last meeting on Jan. 6.

Both teams are shorthanded, with Jaren Jackson Jr. (ankle) out for the Grizz and Kyrie Irving (ACL), Anthony Davis (thigh), P.J. Washington (ankle) and others sidelined for the Mavs. But Memphis still has a massive star power edge with Ja Morant and Desmond Bane.

The total is set at a sky-high 239.5 points. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas and 4-1 in the Mavs’ last 5 home games overall.

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MEM vs DAL Player Props

MEM vs DAL Player Props

Here are a couple player props that I’m taking for this Grizzlies-Mavs matchup:

Zach Edey over 9.5 rebounds (+110):

Edey has a golden opportunity to crash the glass against a Mavs frontcourt missing its top rebounders in Anthony Davis and Daniel Gafford. The 7-foot-4 rookie is averaging a healthy 7.8 boards on the season but has kicked it up a notch to 8.5 per game since the All-Star break.

Edey snared 10+ boards in 12 contests this year, with seven of those coming on the road. Against a Dallas squad surrendering the 7th-most rebounds in the NBA, I like the plus odds on Edey to haul in double-digit boards.

Klay Thompson over 3.5 threes (-130):

With both Kyrie Irving and Davis sidelined, Thompson becomes the alpha scorer for Dallas. The veteran sharpshooter will be given the ultimate green light to fire away from deep. Klay has already hoisted up at least nine triples in seven of his last nine games, including 14 attempts in his most recent outing.

Klay has drilled 4+ threes in 23 games on the season. Facing a Memphis defense that has struggled containing the arc lately, Thompson should get plenty of clean looks to cash this over.

Naji Marshall over 17.5 points (-115):

Marshall has taken full advantage of his increased opportunity amidst the Mavs’ injury crisis. The versatile forward is averaging 20 points on sizzling 54.8% shooting over his last two games in an expanded role.

He previously scored 22 points against the Grizzlies earlier this season even in a more limited role. With Memphis potentially focusing its defensive attention on slowing Klay, I expect Marshall to continue his strong play on the offensive end.

Odds via a variety of NBA Betting apps of Mar 7 at 12 pm ET