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DEN Nuggets vs LA Clippers Picks, Player Props & Odds for Game 4

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in NBA Basketball

Published:


Apr 24, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Clippers forward Kawhi Leonard (2) shoots against Denver Nuggets guard Christian Braun (0) during the second half of game three in the first round for the 2024 NBA Playoffs at Intuit Dome. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
  • The Los Angeles Clippers are 6-point home favorites to go up 3-1 in their series against the Denver Nuggets
  • Denver is coming off a demoralizing 34-point loss in Thursday’s Game 3
  • See my Nuggets vs Clippers Game 4 predictions and odds on April 26

After winning Game 1 112-110 in overtime, the Denver Nuggets (38-46-1 ATS) couldn’t keep the momentum going in their first-round NBA Playoff series against the Los Angeles Clippers (50-35 ATS). The following two outings saw a modest 3-point victory for LA, and Thursday, they laid a 117-83 beating on the Nuggets.

Unsurprisingly, the books are leaning towards the home team in Game 4, which goes Saturday at 6pm ET/3pm PT from Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California, with TNT carrying the broadcast in the United States and TSN in Canada.

Nuggets vs Clippers Odds Game 4 Odds

Bet TypeDEN NuggetsLA Clippers
Spread+6 (-110)-6 (-110)
Moneyline+190-230
TotalO 212.5 (-114)U 212.5 (-106)

The Clippers are 6-point home favorites in the NBA odds, including a -230 on the moneyline, which is an implied win probability of 69.70%. The Nuggets are +190 underdogs, with the total checking in at 212.5 points. A $100 bet would profit $190 if they’re victorious. Conversely, a $230 wager on the Clippers would return $100.

In this Nuggets vs Clippers matchup, our SBD formula indicates it’ll be a tight tilt, won 116.4-115.4 by the Clippers. That points to Denver covering the 6-point spread and the over 212.5 point total hitting.

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Odds as of April 25 at FanDuel. Be sure to check out the best FanDuel promo code before placing a bet on any NBA game on Saturday.

Denver faced two significant injuries that affected how Game 3 played out, with Russell Westbrook dealing with left foot inflammation. He turned his foot while warming up before the game and attempted to play through the injury before being taken out midway through the second quarter.

Michael Porter Jr. injured his left, non-shooting shoulder while diving for a ball near the end of Game 2, suffering a Grade 2 sprain of a joint in his shoulder. He fought through it in Game 3, but shot just 2-for-9 from the field in 35 minutes, and he’s unsure if he can play Saturday.

The Clippers are the fifth choice in the NBA Championship odds with their best price of +2000 found at DraftKings, while the Nuggets are well behind them at +10000 on BetMGM.

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers Pick

  • Nuggets vs Clippers pick: Clippers -6 (-110)

In Game 3, Nikola Jokic became the first player in NBA playoff history to have consecutive 20-point triple doubles and lose both games, as he put up 23 points, 13 rebounds, and 13 assists in Game 3. With Westbrook missing most of the contest, and Porter Jr. attempting to battle through his injuries, the 3-point field goal discrepancy was stark – LA was 18-for-39 (46%), while their counterparts were just 7-for-26 from downtown (27%).

The Clippers have been rolling, having taken 20 of their last 24 games. The 34-point triumph in Game 3 was their third-largest margin of victory ever in a playoff contest, and they’re 17-3 in the last 20 with Kawhi Leonard suiting up. He’s been excellent in the series, with at least 21 points in all three outings, and in Game 2, was otherworldly, going 15-for-19 from the field. He racked up 39 points for a 92.0 true-shooting percentage, the seventh-highest true-shooting percentage in a 35-point game in NBA playoff history.

Something to keep in mind, – it’s the tenth time the Clippers have held a 2-1 lead in a best-of-7 series. They’ve won just four of those previous nine series, the only team in NBA history with a losing series record in that scenario. However, I’m still selecting the Clippers to cover the 6-point spread, since they’re the fourth-best team covering (50-35), and are 30-20 ATS as a favorite, compared to Denver 11-11 as the underdog.

Nuggets vs Clippers Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsThrees Made
Nikola Jokic (DEN)26.5 (O -130 | U -102)12.5 (O -102 | U -130)9.5 (O -136 | U +102)1.5 (O -166 | U +124)
Jamal Murray (DEN)20.5 (O -128 | U -104)4.5 (O +122 | U -162)5.5 (O -112 | U -118)2.5 (O +130 | U -174)
Aaron Gordon (DEN)15.5 (O -125 | U -106)5.5 (O -130 | U -102)OFF1.5 (O +178 | U -245)
Christian Braun (DEN)11.5 (O -130 | U -102)5.5 (O +118 | U -158)OFFOFF
Kawhi Leonard (LAC)25.5 (O -108 | U -122)6.5 (O -114 | U -114)3.5 (O -172 | U +128)2.5 (O +154 | U -210)
James Harden (LAC)22.5 (O -130 | U -102)5.5 (O -108 | U -122)9.5 (O +104 | U -138)2.5 (O -160 | U +120)
Ivica Zubac (LAC)17.5 (O -132 | U +100)12.5 (O -112 | U -118)OFFOFF
Norman Powell (LAC)16.5 (O -132 | U +100)OFFOFF2.5 (O +102 | U -136)
Kris Dunn (LAC)7.5 (O -110 | U -120)OFFOFF1.5 (O +154 | U -210)
Nicolas Batum (LAC)5.5 (O -118 | U -112)OFFOFFOFF

For a player prop to select, I’m going back to the well that is the incredible Nikola Jokic, with two consecutive triple-doubles. He has 35 assists in the series, and has had ten or more dimes in six of his last seven overall contests, and six of his last eight against the Clippers.

DEN-LAC Props Pick:

  • Nikola Jokic over 9.5 assists (-136)

 

Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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