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Closing Hawks vs Magic Odds, H2H Trends & Betting Picks

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Orlando Magic forward Franz Wagner lays the ball in against the Atlanta Hawks
Apr 8, 2025; Orlando, Florida, USA; Orlando Magic forward Franz Wagner (22) goes to the basket in front of Atlanta Hawks guard Dyson Daniels (5) during the second half at Kia Center. Mandatory Credit: Mike Watters-Imagn Images
  • The Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic meet in the 7-vs-8 Play-In Game in the East tonight
  • The Magic went 3-0 at home in the postseason last year, while the Hawks lost the 9-vs-10 game at the Bulls
  • See the closing Hawks vs Magic odds, including spread, moneyline and total, plus predictions for April 15

The Orlando Magic (41-41, 22-19 home) hope to stay hot at home in the postseason when they host the Atlanta Hawks (40-42, 19-22 away) in the 7-vs-8 game in the Eastern Conference Play-In Tournament on Tuesday night (7:40 pm ET) at the Kia Center.

The Magic opened as five-point home favorites and -205 on the moneyline with the total at 219.5 on Sunday night. As tip-off draws nearer on gameday, the spread has moved up half a point while the total has come down.

Closing Hawks vs Magic Odds

Bet TypeHawksMagic
Spread+5.5 (-110)-5.5 (-110)
ML+180-223
TotalO 218.5 (-115)U 218.5 (-105)

Roughly two hours before tipoff, the Hawks vs Magic spread has increased to Orlando -5.5 while the Orlando moneyline had shortened from -205 to -223. Atlanta, which opened as a +170 underdog, is now a +180 bet to tin straight-up in Tuesday’s NBA odds. The current moneyline prices give the Magic a 69.04% implied win probability and the Hawks just 35.71%.

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The game total has moved down a full point from the opening number of 219.5 to 218.5. That’s actually up from yesterday, though, when it had dropped as low as 216.5 at some sportsbooks.

The run-and-gun Hawks, who finished the regular season with the third-fastest tempo in the NBA, will want to play this game at a faster pace, while the Magic – who played at the single slowest tempo in the league – will try to make it a grind.

ATL Hawks vs ORL Magic Regular-Season Results

Date/LocationScore/WinnerATS ResultO/U Result
Feb. 10 (Orlando)112-106 ATLATL +6.5Un 222.0
Feb. 20 (Atlanta)114-108 ORLORL -1.0Un 223.0
Apr. 8 (Orlando)119-112 ORLORL -5.5Ov 225.5
Apr. 13 (Atlanta)117-105 ATLATL +3.5 Ov 216.0

In reality, only the first three games between these teams have any bearing on handicapping tonight’s matchup; the April 13th meeting (i.e. the last day of the regular season) saw both teams playing glorified G-League rosters. The Hawks won the first meeting of the season in Orlando by six (thus covering by 12.5 points as 6.5-point road underdogs). But the next week, the Magic would return the favor with a 114-108 road win in Atlanta as one-point favorites. Each of the first two games narrowly stayed under, the first by four points and the second by just one point.

The third meeting of the season on April 8, which was the last time these NBA rosters actually faced each other, ended in a comfortable 119-112 Magic victory in Orlando. Jamahl Mosley’s team narrowly covered as 5.5-point home chalk while the game total went over the number (225.5) by 5.5 points.

NBA assist leader Trae Young (24.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 11.6 APG) was held under his season average in the first three games against Orlando (8, 6, 10) and didn’t play in the fourth. But my colleague Chris Amberley included Young over 9.5 assists as one of his best Hawks vs Magic player props to bet tonight.

Hawks vs Magic Picks

  • Magic 1H -3.5 (-104) at FanDuel
  • Franz Wagner over 24.5 points (-135) at DraftKings

The Magic went 3-0 at home against the favored Cavaliers in the postseason last year (but lost all games on the road and fell 4-3 in the best-of-seven series) and they had a penchant for fast starts. They led by four and 16 points in Games 4 and 6, respectively, and they also jumped out to an 11-point halftime lead in the decisive Game 7 before a furious second-half comeback by the Cavs.

The Hawks, meanwhile, were run out of the building in the first quarter by the Bulls in last year’s 9-vs-10 game, trailing 40-22 by the end of 12 minutes. They made a push in the second quarter but still trailed by six at the break. It was a similar story the season prior against Boston in the first round: Boston led by 30 at halftime in Game 1 and 12 at halftime in Game 2.

The absences of Jalen Suggs (16.2 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.7 APG) and Mo Wagner (12.9 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 1.4 APG) will inevitably be felt on the Orlando side, but they are also absences that they’ve had ample time to adjust to. In a one-game, win-and-in scenario, I have a lot of faith in Paolo Banchero and company coming out fast.

But it’s not Banchero’s point total I’m targeting tonight; it’s Franz Wagner (24.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 4.7 APG). The younger Wagner brother, who increased his scoring average from 19.7 PPG last year to 24.2 PPG this season, went over 24.5 points in two of three home playoff games last year. He’s also coming into the 2025 playoffs scoring 20-plus points in 12 straight games. While he only went over 24.5 in three of those, he averaged 28.0 PPG in his three games against Atlanta this season.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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