UFC Vegas 12 Underdog Picks & Props – Greg Hardy wins by KO

• UFC Vegas 12 goes down on Halloween night (Saturday, October 31st, 2020)
• Anderson Silva headlines the card in what will be his final UFC fight
• Aside from the betting line, here are a handful of props that hold value

The UFC holds its first-ever event on Halloween night and one of the greatest of all-time, Anderson Silva fights for the final time in the UFC against Uriah Hall.

We’ve already broken down the full UFC Vegas 12 main card and found some money lines to bet. However, there are several props I like to cash on Saturday night.

Best Underdog Bet

I already was on Andre Fili as an underdog on the main card, so on the prelims, I like Cole Williams to get it done over Jason Witt.

Jason Witt vs Cole Williams Odds

All odds taken Oct. 30

Both Jason Witt and Cole Williams are 0-1 in the UFC, but the difference is, Witt was brutally knocked out in just 48 seconds at the end of June. Williams, meanwhile, was submitted by a very dangerous, Claudio Silva in August of 2019.

In the fight, I expect Witt to come out aggressive, but it will be Williams who lands the harder punches and will drop and finish Witt in the first or second round. This should really be a pick’em fight, so to get plus money on Williams is a solid bet.

Pick: Cole Williams (+115)

Total Round Odds

Bryce Mitchell vs Andre Fili is a very tough fight to call and bet. It will really come down to if Mitchell can get the fight to the ground. If that happens, he should be able to grind out a decision win or possibly a late submission. For Fili, if he can keep it standing, he should be able to pick apart Mitchell on the feet and win a decision.

Regardless, I think the over 2.5 at -159 is a really good bet. Both guys are insanely durable and both have gone the distance three times out of their last four. So, instead of betting the fight, where it truly is a 50-50 fight, taking the over 2.5 rounds at -159 should cash.

Pick: Mitchell-Fili over 2.5 (-159)

Fight Goes The Distance Odds

Bobby Green has been the king of the UFC Apex in 2020 and will continue that feat here.

The King of the Apex 👑

💢 Win vs Clay Guida at the UFC APEX
💢 Win vs Lando Vannata at the UFC APEX
💢 Win vs Alan Patrick at the UFC APEX@BobbyKGreen returns this Saturday. #UFCVegas12 pic.twitter.com/06xC7Klq8D

— UFC (@ufc) October 29, 2020

Green has gone 3-0 in 2020 and in all three wins he has they all have gone the distance. Green, is a decision machine as in his past eight fights, win or lose, they go the distance. Thiago Moises, meanwhile, is very durable as we saw him take a ton of damage against Michael Johnson in the first round. If Moises can’t get this fight to the ground and submit Green early, he will be in trouble.

Ultimately, Bobby Green has solid takedown defense. He will stuff the takedowns and pick apart Moises on the feet to win a decision. But, just in case Moises does get takedowns and holds Green down, taking the fight to go the distance at -200 is not a bad price to pay.

Pick: Bobby Green-Thiago Moises Goes The Distance (-200)

Method of Victory Odds

Greg Hardy will extend his winning streak to two and will do so by knockout.

Before he got into the UFC, Hardy was knocking everyone out quickly. He then had two knockouts in his first three UFC fights, but has gone three straight fights without one. Ben Sosoli and Yorgan De Castro have insane chins, while Alexander Volkov is very technical and hard to hit.

1️⃣& done for @GregHardyJr!!#UFCFtLauderdale on ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/E8gesBMrER

— UFC (@ufc) April 28, 2019

However, against Maurice Greene that shouldn’t be a problem. We’ve seen Greene get knocked out by Sergey Pavlovich in the first round just last year. So, I expect Hardy in the first or second round to go out there and land something big that drops Greene and he finishes him off via ground and pound.

Pick: Greg Hardy by KO/TKO (-134)