Padres vs Phillies Game 5 Predictions, Odds, Probable Pitchers

By Robert Duff in MLB Baseball
Published:

- The Philadelphia Phillies are -140 favorites over the San Diego Padres in Game 5 of the NLCS on Sunday, October 23
- A win by the Phillies will advance them to the World Series
- All of the Padres vs Phillies Game 5predictions, odds, and probable pitchers are listed in the story belo
Leading the San Diego Padres (6-5, 3-4 away) 3-1, the Philadelphia Phillies (8-2, 4-0 home) are one win away from getting to the World Series for the first time since 2009.
And the last five times that the Phillies have been within a victory of getting to the World Series, they have gotten there each and every time. In fact, the last two times that Philadelphia won the NLCS, they did so by 4-1 margins. A win Sunday would give Philadelphia a 4-1 verdict over the Padres.
Oddsmakers are going with the Phillies to be done with San Diego. They re set as –140 home favorites to extinguish the Padres’ season in Game 5. Philadelphia is 2-0 straight up in elimination games so far in the MLB postseason.
Padres vs Phillies Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
San Diego Padres | +118 | +1.5 (-195) | O 8.5 (-120) |
Philadelphia Phillies | -140 | -1.5 (+162) | U 6.5 (+100) |
Odds as of October 23 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get a Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.
At moneyline odds of -140, a bet on either team would have an implied probability of victory of 58.33% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Philadelphia would create a payout of $17.10.

First pitch at Citizen Bank Park goes at 2:37pm ET on Sunday, October 23. The weather forecast is calling for rain with 10 mph wind and a temperature of 59 degrees. The Phillies are given -1000 odds to take this set and advance in the MLB playoff bracket.
In the World Series odds, Philadelphia is set as the +170 second betting choice in this betting line. San Diego is third at +1600.
San Diego vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers
In the MLB lineups, Padres right-hander Yu Darvish will be looking to rebound from a Game 1 setback Though he struck out seven and walked just one batter while checking the Phillies on three hits, two of the hits surrendered by Darvish were solo homers in the 2-0 loss.
Yu Darvish is asked what it is about pitching here at Citizens Bank Park that has allowed him to have so much success in the past: pic.twitter.com/Ruoup1LNk2
— 97.3 The Fan (@973TheFanSD) October 22, 2022
Darvish has proven to be a much more effective hurler on the road during his MLB playoff career. In five career postseason starts away from home, the righty is 4-1 with a 3.60 ERA.
Darvish is 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven starts against the Phillies. In four starts at Citizens Bank Park, he’s 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.87 WHIP.
Darvish vs Wheeler Stats
16-8 | Record | 12-7 |
3.10 | ERA | 2.82 |
3.49 | xERA | 3.10 |
0.95 | WHIP | 1.04 |
4.72 | SO/W Ratio | 4.79 |
Phillies right-hander Zack Wheeler will be seeking to repeat his masterful performance from Game 1 of this series. During Philadelphia’s 2-0 victory Wheeler worked seven innings of one-hit shutout ball. He struck out eight while issuing a solitary walk.
Zack Wheeler is NAILS tonight. #Postseason pic.twitter.com/rHAKGlYWqY
— MLB (@MLB) October 19, 2022
It was Wheeler’s first career win in the MLBÂ postseason, He failed to register a decision in Game 1 of the NLWS against the Cardinals and took the loss in Game 2 of the NLDS at Atlanta.
All three of his starts in these playoffs have come on the road. This will be the first time he’s toeing the slab at home. Wheeler was 6-3 with a 1.85 ERA in 13 home starts this season.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Darvish | Padres Batters | Batting Average vs Wheeler |
---|---|---|---|
Bryce Harper | ..222 | Josh Bell | .276 |
Rhys Hoskins | .316 | Wil Myers | .222 |
JP Realmuto | .200 | Jurickson Profar | .250 |
Kyle Schwarber | .364 | Juan Soto | .275 |
Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber is 4-for-11 (.364) off his old Cubs teammate Darvish, with two homers and three RBI. Rhys Hoskins is 6-for-19 (.316) with a homer and three RBI.
it's not often that the hitter is the last person in the stadium to know they got a hit but here's Josh Bell lol pic.twitter.com/BekFyJW2sv
— Céspedes Family BBQ (@CespedesBBQ) October 19, 2022
San Diego’s Josh Bell is batting .276 (8-for-29) against Wheeler with two homes and five RBI. Juan Soto is 11-for-40 (.275) two solo homers.
Padres vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies are getting it done in the years’s MLB postseason, and they are doing so in short order. The Cardinals were swept in two games in the NLWS, while the Braves managed to extend their NLDS with Philadephia to four games before succumbing.
BEST. CATCHER. IN. BASEBALL. pic.twitter.com/uOgwIqjkkP
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) October 23, 2022
Philadelphia is a perfect 4-0 straight up at home. San Diego is 3-4 SU on the road.
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML (-140)

Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.