San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants: Preview & Prediction
By Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball
Published:
The San Francisco Giants have a great chance to get their offense in gear tonight when they visit Bryan Mitchell and the San Diego Padres at Petco Park (10:10 PM ET). Bruce Bochy will send righty Chris Stratton to the mound for his third start of the year.
The opening odds, key stats, betting trends, weather forecast, and score prediction are below.
Opening Odds
| MONEYLINE | RUNLINE | O/U RUNS |
|---|---|---|
| GIANTS (-134) | GIANTS –1.5 (+120) | OVER 8.0 (-120) |
| PADRES (+124) | PADRES +1.5 (+100) | UNDER 8.0 (+100) |
The Giants tried to revamp their offense in the offseason after finishing second-last in the NL in runs scored last year. Adding the likes of Andrew McCutchen and Evan Longoria hasn’t helped so far and the team is currently dead-last in the NL in scoring (33 runs; 3.0 runs/game).
They did manage seven runs last time Stratton was on the bump though, edging the Dodgers 7-5 in extra innings. Stratton went five innings, giving up four hits, four walks, and two earned runs, lowering his ERA to 4.35 on the year.
[Mitchell] has fanned just one batter [in 10.2 innings] while walking nine.
The Padres’ bats haven’t been much more potent, averaging a meager 3.5 runs/game, and with Mitchell on the hill, that could be an issue. The former Yankee has a 1.88 WHIP through 10.2 innings of work and has fanned just one batter while walking nine.
Somehow he didn’t surrender a run in 5.2 innings of work last time out in Houston, despite giving up three hits and six walks. That followed an eight-run, three-walk, five-earned run performance at home against Colorado in his first start.
Team Stats
| 4-9 (1-6 Home) | RECORD | 5-6 (2-2 Away) |
| Bryan Mitchell: 0-1, 4.22 ERA | PROBABLE STARTER | Chris Stratton: 0-1, 4.35 ERA |
| .350 BA, .809 OPS (in 20 at-bats) | LINEUP VS OPPONENT STARTER | .333 BA, .667 OPS (in 3 at-bats) |
| 2.41 (6th in MLB) | BULLPEN ERA | 2.86 (10th in MLB) |
| .697 (18th in MLB) | TEAM OPS | .646 (22nd in MLB) |
| 12-7 (6-3 Home) | 2017 HEAD-TO-HEAD | 7-12 (3-6 Away) |
Betting Results & Trends
| PADRES | TREND | GIANTS |
|---|---|---|
| Lost 1 | WIN/LOSS STREAK | Lost 1 |
| 2-3 | LAST 5 | 2-3 |
| 6-7 | RUNLINE RECORD | 6-5 |
| 5-7-1 | OVER/UNDER SPLIT | 6-5 |
| Under 2 | OVER/UNDER STREAK | Over 2 |
The Giants lost the rubber match of their series with Arizona last night (7-3), but the last time Stratton was on the hill, they put on one of their better offensive performances of the season against the Dodgers.
On the San Diego side of things, all anyone wants to talk about after last night’s Padres vs Rockies game — which ended 6-4 for Colorado — is the haymakers that followed when Luis Perdomo tossed at Nolan Arenado.
Weather Forecast at Opening Pitch
| TEMPERATURE | 64° |
| HUMIDITY | 53% |
| WIND SPEED | NW 13 MPH (in from left field) |
| P.O.P. | 1% |
Score Prediction
| GIANTS | 6 |
| PADRES | 5 |
The Padres are, once again, languishing in the NL West basement, a spot they’re expected to occupy all season, precisely because they rely on guys like Mitchell in their rotation. With a 1.64 career WHIP and just 65 strikeouts in 109 innings of work, Mitchell is a good bet to get touched up every time he’s on the mound.
It’s understandable to be wary of this San Francisco offense, especially in a pitcher’s park like Petco, but McCutchen (.231 BA) is trending in the right direction, Posey (.345 BA, .424 OBP) is having a great season, and the team as a whole mustered a respectable 14 hits in its last two games. This won’t be the worst offense in the NL all year, and it should start its ascension from the basement tonight.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
