MLB Home Run Picks & Predictions for Dinger Tuesday (April 1)

• The first Dinger Tuesday of the 2025 MLB season is upon us
• Multiple sportsbooks are offering home run promotions for today’s games
• Keep reading to see the three players I am betting on to hit a home run on April 1 and how I am using the bonuses

We have made it to the first Dinger Tuesday of the MLB season, and I have three home run bets that I love. Sportsbooks are offering bonuses for home run props today to give us even more bang for our buck.

FanDuel is offering a 50% profit boost to use on any player to hit a home run today, and DraftKings is offering a no sweat home run bet where you get a bonus bet back if your player does not hit a home run today.

See below for my three home run picks for tonight’s games

1. Paul Goldschmidt, Yankees (+600 at DraftKings)

The Yankees have been mashing to start the season, so on the first Dinger Tuesday of the year, I have to look at someone in this lineup. Plenty of Yankees are using the new torpedo bat, and they have produced 15 home runs in three games played. After scoring four runs on Opening Day, New York scored 12 runs and then 20 before having the day off yesterday.

Goldschmidt is one of the players in this lineup using the torpedo bat, and he knows Corbin Burnes very well from his time in St. Louis when Burnes was on the Brewers. In 31 at-bats vs Burnes, Goldy has hit .323 with a home run and a double.

He has had a strong start with the Yankees as Goldschmidt is hitting .417 and already has a home run on the year. The Yankees are still at home today, so I like Goldy to go yard vs Burnes.

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At +600 odds, we are getting a great value on Goldschmidt, so I am using my no-sweat home run bet at DraftKings on him. I love the matchup, and even if he somehow does not hit a home run today, I get a bonus bet back.

2. Nolan Arenado, Cardinals (+1320 at FanDuel with 50% Boost)

Nolan Arenado is another batter who is going against a familiar foe. Kyle Hendricks is on the Angels after being a Cub for 11 years, and Arenado has had success against him. Arenado has homered off Hendricks three times in his career on 31 at-bats.

Even without the boost, Arenado is +870 to hit a home run at FanDuel, but by using FanDuel’s Dinger Tuesday 50% profit boost, Arenado is now +1320 to hit a home run.

Hendricks is making his first start of the season, and if this is anything like last year, he will not have a great first outing. Last season, Hendricks allowed two home runs in his first start and gave up eight total in his first five starts.

He also struggles much more on the road. In 2024, Hendricks had a 7.08 ERA away from home, and 14 of his 21 home runs allowed were on the road.

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Arenado hit a home run on Opening Day and is batting .400 to start the 2025 season. This matchup with Hendricks gives him a great chance to hit his second homer of the year.

3. James Wood, Nationals (+700 at DraftKings)

Jose Berrios struggled mightily in his first start of the year. In five innings pitched vs the Orioles on Opening Day, Berrios gave up three home runs.

Out of all the Nationals players to choose from to go yard today, I like James Wood the best. He is normally batting second in Washington’s lineup, so he will have plenty of at-bats tonight.

Wood hit a home run yesterday and has two two-hit games so far this season. Wood’s exit velocity, hard hit rate, and barrel percentage have been great in his games played this season.

He is one of the top prospects in the game, and he is playing like it, so I am betting on him today against a struggling Jose Berrios and a not-so-great Toronto bullpen.