Mets vs Nationals Starting Pitchers, Odds & Predictions (July 1)

• The Washington Nationals host the New York Mets on Monday for the first in a 4-game series. First Pitch is set for 6:45 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
• The Mets swept the Nationals in their last series, scoring at least 6 runs in all 3 contests at the start of June.
• See the odds, starting pitchers and a prediction for Monday’s game below.

The No. 3 and No. 4 teams in the NL East face off Monday for the first in a 4-game series, one that could decide the pecking order for the next few weeks. The Mets, after dropping their series against the Astros, now face perhaps their tamest stretch all season with the Nationals, Pirates, Rockies and Marlins through to the 2nd half of the season.

The Nationals have lost 5 of their last 6 heading into Monday’s matchup against the Mets, who are on an upwards trajectory as of late. The Nats finally return home after 3 straight away series against the Padres, Rockies and Rays.

Monday’s matchup is sure to be a good one. Take a look at the best odds, starting pitchers with a prediction at the end of this piece.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Odds above via Fanatics Sportsbook. Check out our Fanatics Promo Code for more information on a fantastic welcome offer!

As you can see above, the Mets are considered road favorites for tonight’s matchup against the sliding Nationals. New York sits at -120 ML while the Nationals are an even +100 to win outright.

The Nationals have the runline advantage, given -170 odds to keep things within 1 run. The Mets, on the other hand, are given +140 odds to win by 2 runs or more.

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The Mets have nearly single-handily eclipsed the posted total for this game in past games against the Nationals this season. Fanatics set the total at 8, with the over slightly favored at -115.

David Peterson vs MacKenzie Gore

Monday’s matchup pits a pair of lefties against the other, with the Mets starting David Peterson and the Nationals starting MacKenzie Gore.

They may both be lefties, but that’s about where the similarities end. For one, Peterson is just now getting into a groove this season after returning from a thigh injury that made him miss the start of the year. Peterson has a 3-0 record, but a much lower strikeout rate than Gore and draws many more walks.

Gore averages just over 1 strikeout per inning, sitting at 99 on the year – tied for 20th across all of Major League Baseball. He’s the Nationals most effective pitcher behind Jake Irvin and is the Nats’ top strikeout thrower. Naturally, Gore gives up more hits than Peterson on average, which plays in the Mets favor as they see the ball better than most teams throughout the majors.

As stated, Peterson is likely to throw less Ks than Gore tonight and forces a ton of ground balls (44 through 27 innings this season, to be exact).

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction (July 1)

The Mets match up well against Gore and have simply been the better team across the past month. At the same time, the total of 8 set by Fanatics is simply too low for this matchup.

The Mets offense is operating at a higher efficiency than Washington’s right now, and even though the Mets bullpen has some question marks after being taxed against Houston, Washington’s struggles are still the bigger story.

James Wood is making his Major League debut Monday, which will give Nats fans plenty to be excited about even if this matchup may not go their way.

NYM vs. WAS Pick: Mets ML (-120), Over 8 (-115)