Marlins vs Rays Picks and Odds (May 24)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Rays are -167 home favorites over the Marlins on Tuesday night
- Lefty Shane McClanahan (3-2, 2.33) will start for Tampa Bay against Pablo Lopez (4-1, 1.57)
- A look at the Marlins vs Rays odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The Citrus Series returns when the Miami Marlins visit the Tampa Bay Rays at 6:40 p.m. ET Tuesday in the opener of a two-game set at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg.
The Marlins (18-22/8-10 road) snapped a three-game losing streak Sunday with a 4-3 victory over the visiting Atlanta Braves. The Rays (24-17/13-9) lost two of three to the Orioles in Baltimore over the weekend, including 7-6 in 11 innings on Sunday.
Both teams were off Monday.
Marlins vs Rays Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | +140 | +1.5 (-180) | Over 6.5 (-103) |
| Tampa Bay Rays | -167 | -1.5 (+143) | Under -6.5 (-117) |
Odds as of May 23rd at Barstool Sportsbook.
The Rays are -167 favorites on the moneyline, giving them an implied win probability of 62.55%. Tampa Bay has +2200 World Series odds while Miami’s are +11000.
Miami vs Tampa Bay Probable Pitchers
Pablo Lopez (4-1, 1.57) will start for the Marlins against left-hander Shane McClanahan (3-2, 2.33). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.
Lopez vs McClanahan
| 4-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| 1.57 | ERA | 2.33 |
| 2.65 | xERA | 2.44 |
| 0.91 | WHIP | 0.86 |
| 4.36 | SO/W | 6.50 |
Lopez had his worst outing of the season last Wednesday when he lasted just three innings in a no-decision against the Washington Nationals at home. He gave up three runs, four hits and three walks while striking out two.
Lopez was having an outstanding season to that point.
2022 NL Pitching WAR Leaders
Pablo Lopez (2.3)
Merrill Kelly (1.8)
Keegan Thompson (1.7)
Zac Gallen (1.7)All Leaders: https://t.co/DZq65OxcoN
— Baseball Reference (@baseball_ref) May 17, 2022
Lopez has a 1-2 record against the Rays in his career with a 3.27 ERA in four starts. He has split two starts at Tropicana Field, where he has a 5.40 ERA.
On the road, Lopez has been dominant this season, going 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA. He is 4-1 with a 1.54 ERA in seven starts at night.
Ji-Man Choi is just 1 for 8 against Lopez with four strikeouts.
McClanahan is 2-0 in his last three starts, including beating the Detroit Tigers last Wednesday at home. He allowed one run on four hits in seven innings while striking out seven and walking none.
Shane McClanahan has been the best pitcher in baseball since this happened pic.twitter.com/9sniXewKds
— ¹ (@CamineroCrush) May 17, 2022
In his lone career start against the Marlins, McClanahan got the win last season when he pitched one-run ball over five innings at The Trop.
McClanahan is 2-2 with a 2.89 ERA in five starts at home in 2022. He has a 2-1 record and 2.74 ERA in four starts in night games. In the Cy Young odds, McClanahan is at +1000 in the American League and Lopez at +1200 in the National League.
Marlins vs Rays Betting Outlook
Jesus Aguilar, Brian Anderson and Jacob Stallings each had two hits, including a double, in Sunday’s win over the Braves.
Second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. left the game with left hamstring tightness after exiting the previous night’s game when he was spiked in the same leg. He is questionable for Tuesday along with shortstop Miguel Rojas, who did not play Sunday because of left calf tightness.
SPEED ⚡️
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is leading the league in triples!
(via @BallyMarlins)pic.twitter.com/wZGHXWfah7
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) May 18, 2022
Left fielder Jorge Soler should be back in the lineup after being rested Sunday.
Choi and Brett Phillips had three hits each for the Rays in a losing effort Sunday and Isaac Paredes hit a three-run home run.
Third baseman Yandy Diaz was removed from the game with a strained left shoulder and shortstop Wander Franco sat out the last two games in Baltimore with a tight right quadriceps. Both are questionable for the series opener.
The Rays also placed key reliever Andrew Kittridge on the injured list Sunday with low back tightness.
Andrew Kittredge, K'ing the Side with a White Castle Special. 🤮🍔🍔🍔 pic.twitter.com/YDDdNOmjt9
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) March 24, 2022
This marks the first meeting of the season between the teams. The Rays went 5-1 against the Marlins last season and are 14-2 in the series since the start of the 2019 season.
Marlins vs Rays Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/26/21 | Rays | Marlins | TB, 3-2 |
| 9/25/21 | Rays | Marlins | TB, 7-3 |
| 9/24/21 | Rays | Marlins | TB, 8-0 |
| 4/3/21 | Marlins | Rays | MIA, 12-7 |
| 4/2/21 | Marlins | Rays | TB, 6-4 |
| 4/1/21 | Marlins | Rays | TB, 1-0 |
| 9/6/20 | Rays | Marlins | TB, 5-4 |
| 9/5/20 | Rays | Marlins | MIA, 7-3 |
| 9/4/20 | Rays | Marlins | TB, 5-4 |
| 8/30/20 | Marlins | Rays | TB, 12-7 |
Marlins vs Rays Pick
This should be a low-scoring games as evidenced by the 6.5-run over/under. McClanahan’s stuff is just about as good as anyone in the major leagues and it’s hard to bet against him at home.
Prediction: Rays ML (-167)
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
