Upcoming Match-ups

Marlins vs Phillies Picks, Odds & Props to Target on June 28

Ethan Stone

by Ethan Stone in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 28, 2024 · 6:58 AM PDT

Jun 27, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Miami Marlins outfielder Nick Gordon (1) hits a double against the Philadelphia Phillies in the eighth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Philadelphia Phillies (53-28, 31-13 Home) look to even the series against the upset-minded Miami Marlins (29-52, 13-25 Away) Friday evening at 6:20 p.m.
  • The Phillies’ loss was not the story of the game Thursday evening. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper both exited late from Game 1 and their status is unknown for Game 2.
  • See the best picks, odds and a prediction for Friday’s game below.

The Philadelphia Phillies look to right the ship after falling to the Miami Marlins 7-4 Thursday evening. Miami, which has a 29-52 record on the season and has mightily struggled, sits at 2-2 on the season against the dominant Phillies.

And things just get worse for Philly following Game 1. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are day-to-day, both appearing to suffer strains in the 9th inning of last night’s loss.

Keep scrolling for more on Friday’s upcoming game:

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

  • PHI vs. MIA pick: Over 8.5 (-115)

Full disclosure: I think the Phillies bounce back and win this game. If you want to play completely safe, Phillies ML is unlikely to go wrong but the odds are just not attractive at all. Marlins moneyline isn’t a terrible play either at +105, especially with Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper’s status unknown as of Friday morning.

Cristopher Sanchez is on the bump today and he’s given up some success to Marlins batters, who averaged around .263 against him. Philadelphia is 7-2 in his last starts and has hit the under in 5 of his last 7 starts.

Sanchez is building some strong momentum after struggling to kick off the season. He’s gone 7 innings in both his prior starts, earning the win in both of them.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Miami Marlins +1.5 (+105) +210 O 8.5 (-105)
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-125) -267 U 8.5 (-115)

Odds above via Caesars Sportsbook. Check out our Caesars Promo Code for a look at one of the best welcome offers in the business. 

As you can see above and alluded to in the above section, the Phillies are heavy, heavy favorites for Friday’s matchup. Philadelphia sits at a commanding -267 on the moneyline and is -125 to win by 2 or more runs.

Miami is given +105 odds to keep the game within a run and sits at +210 on the moneyline.

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The over/under for this game is set at 8.5. All 4 games played between Miami and Philadelphia this season have been over this number. Philadelphia is 35-41-5 against the over this season across all games while Miami is 42-38-1.

Phillies vs. Marlins Best Value Player Props (June 28)

Player Props (Miami vs. Philadelphia) Odds
Cristopher Sanchez under 18.5 outs -170
Kyle Tyler under 2.5 Ks +130
Garrett Stubbs over 0.5 hits -135

All odds above via DraftKings Sportsbook. 

Sanchez has thrown 7 innings in both his past 2 starts. And while he didn’t throw a lot of pitches in those outings, he has yet to throw 3 straight games of 7+ innings yet this season. Not to mention, Miami has seen success off him in the past.

Tyler has yet to see more than a pair of strikeouts yet this season. He doesn’t throw many per 9 innings (4.5) and I am willing to bet he’s run fairly early tonight.

Stubbs recorded a hit over the Marlins last night and has also recorded a hit in 7 of his last 8 games.

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