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The Best Home Run Props to Target Today – Get a +56024 HR Parlay on Tuesday, April 29th

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in MLB Baseball

Published:


Apr 28, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals outfielder James Wood (29) rounds the bases after hitting a home run against the New York Mets during the eighth inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
  • We’re looking at a giant MLB Slate that we all deserve on Tuesday, April 29
  • Dinger Tuesday is a day that is near and dear to our hearts so we need to go all out
  • See below for my +56024 home run parlay today

The Home Run game is the hardest game in the world. There is no other market in all of sports where fortunes can change faster. Look it up. While that is great and all, a byproduct of that fact is the mental anguish each and every one of us goes through on a daily basis. It’s brutal, and in the end, only the strong will survive. We just have to keep in mind that winning just one of these three-leggers will net us 30+ units. And that’s not even counting the cash from playing all three guys straight. By my calculations, if we hit just two of these three-leg parlays this entire season, we will have profited. The only question we need to answer right now is, which guys are going yard tonight. Lucky for us, I have the answer.

(Remember, we’re playing a 1/4 unit on each guy straight as well as a 1/4 unit on the three-leg parlay. It works out to 1 unit risked per day.)

MLB Home Run Parlay Today (April 29)

PickOdds
James Wood HR+470
Corbin Carroll HR+630
Manny Machado HR+800
Three-Leg Parlay+56024 (With Boost)

MLB odds as of April 29 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s list of the top sports gambling apps.

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CLAIM OFFER

Tuesday HR Parlay Leg #1 – James Wood to Hit a Home Run

We’re all going to be so rich when this thing hits, and it starts with James Wood. I don’t know of a better guy to lead off such a move. For starters, he’s demolishing baseballs at the moment. Just yesterday he hit his ninth dinger of the season so we know he’s in good form.

Fast forward to tonight and we get to see Wood against his favorite pitch mix.

PitchWood Hard Hit Rate vs Pitch from LHP (2025)Wheeler Hard Hit Rate vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball89%44%
Cutter75%39%

I know the haters are going to say that Wood will be seeing Zack Wheeler tonight and they’re right. The guy is an ace but he has given up six home runs so far this season. Wood himself has put one in the seats off of Wheeler already once in his career. And not for nothing, if Wood can’t get Wheeler, he could easily get the Philly bullpen that sports an 11% barrel rate over the last two weeks. This feels free.

  • The Bet: James Wood to Hit a Home Run (+470) – FanDuel
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Monday HR Parlay Leg #2 – Corbin Carroll to Hit a Home Run

The idea that Corbin Carroll is +630 to hit a home run tonight is sickening. Like who came up with that? I get that Corbin will be seeing a left-handed pitcher but lefty-lefty doesn’t equate to automatic +630 type pricing. That’s insane.

Especially when we know what Corbin does to left-handed pitching.

PitchCarroll Hard Hit Rate vs Pitch from LHP (2025)Peterson Hard Hit Rate vs LHB (2025)
Sinker50%60%
Slider88%33%

I know the haters are going to fixate on the lefty-lefty matchup but keep in mind, Corbin has 13 dingers off southpaws in his career. The man only has 60 total home runs so its not like this is a one-sided thing. Plus, even if he can’t get to Peterson, Corbin will see a Mets bullpen that has given up 10 barrels in the last two weeks. We just need one tonight. Feels easy.

  • The Bet: Corbin Carroll to Hit a Home Run (+630) – FanDuel

Monday HR Parlay Leg #3 – Manny Machado to Hit a Home Run

Every now and then, we see a line that legit looks like a mistake. That happened this morning when I saw the number for Manny Machado. The idea that FanDuel is hanging +800 for a Circle of Trust guy is insulting. Manny Machado should never be +800 to do anything.

Don’t even get me started on the pitch mix he’s likely to see tonight.

PitchMachado Hard Hit Rate vs Pitch from RHP (2024-2025)Webb Hard Hit Rate vs RHB (2025)
Sinker59%50%
Changeup63%67%

The only thing standing in Machado’s way tonight is Logan Webb. If I’m being honest (I am), Webb is a guy I usually avoid. He just doesn’t give up many dingers. The guy only allowed 11 last season. But as with anything, we can find a silver lining and that’s the fact that eight of those 11 dingers were to right-handed batters. Manny is right-handed, and he’s smashing balls at the moment. I think he can hit one over the fence tonight. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Manny Machado to Hit a Home Run (+800) – FanDuel
  • SBD 3-Man HR Strategy Results – (- 2.575 Units)
John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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