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The Best Home Run Props to Bet Today – Get a +12259 HR Parlay on Wednesday, April 23

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in MLB Baseball

Published:


Apr 20, 2025; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Minnesota Twins center fielder Byron Buxton (25) reacts after hitting a home run against the Atlanta Braves during the seventh inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
  • There is another giant, glorious MLB slate for Wednesday, April 23
  • My favorite thing to do with a slate like this is find multiple home run props to bet
  • See below for my +12259 home run parlay for Wednesday

We’re moving on to Wednesday, which is my favorite day of the week for baseball. It might be the most underrated, too. We get multiple day games, followed by multiple night games, which makes it all feel like two separate slates. It’s a classic two-for-one situation. Usually, we have to pay extra for that sort of thing, but not when it comes to the MLB. On top of all that, we get to build off of yesterday’s momentum. The entire slate came down to one final Brent Rooker at bat, and he came through like the champion he is. It turned a losing day into a winning one and that’s literally why we bet dingers in the first place. Lucky for us, today should be even better because we’ve got three sluggers in prime position to stuff cash into our pockets. Feels good.

Just a reminder, we’re betting each guy straight for a 1/4 unit as well as parlaying all three for 1/4 unit.

MLB Home Run Parlay for Wednesday, April 23

PickOdds
Byron Buxton HR+340
Corbin Carroll HR+430
Tyler Soderstrom HR+430
Three-Leg Parlay+12259

MLB odds as of April 23 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s list of the top sports gambling apps.

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Wednesday HR Parlay Leg #1 – Byron Buxton to Hit a Home Run

The haters are going to be in shambles tonight when Byron Buxton puts a ball into orbit. We took him yesterday, and he let us down, but he tried his best, which is all we can ask for. And in his defense, the man hit a ball 372 feet, so it wasn’t like he was out there bunting.

In a situation like this, I think it’s best to stick with a guy who’s stroking. Especially when he slaps the pitch mix he’ll see tonight.

PitchBuxton Hard Hit Rate vs Pitch (2024-2025)Wilson ISO on pitch to LHB (2024)
Curveball42%.750
Cutter52%.800

Buxton has only seen Bryse Wilson once in his life, and he struck out that time. If we cared about batter vs pitcher, that would matter, but it doesn’t. What we should care about is the fact that Wilson has a 19% barrel rate to righties over the last 30 days. That’s pure insanity. On top of that, the White Sox bullpen has a 13% barrel rate over the last week, so when Wilson leaves, another pinata will appear. This feels easy.

  • The Bet: Byron Buxton to Hit a Home Run (+340) – FanDuel
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Wednesday HR Parlay Leg #2 – Corbin Carroll to Hit a Home Run

There’s nothing like having a Corbin Carroll bet hanging around in our pending wagers. It’s like having a security blanket. While we’re watching the early games play out, we can rest easy knowing that we have an ace in the hole with Corbin. It’s a classic, “help is on the way” situation.

I mean, look at what he does to the two fastballs Taj Bradley throws the most.

PitchCarroll Barrel Rate vs RHP (2025)Bradley Hard Hit Rate vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball43%47%
Splitter100%50%

Here’s the thing: I love Taj Bradley. I’m a Taj Bradley guy. But he’s a bulldog. An absolute beast. He likes to throw his fastball, and he’s going to throw it to whoever comes to the plate. Because of that, he gets himself into trouble sometimes. My guess is that it happens on Corbin’s first at-bat of the night. He’ll get a four-seamer, and that ball will get taken home by a lucky fan in the right-field bleachers. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Corbin Carroll to Hit a Home Run (+430) – FanDuel

Wednesday HR Parlay Leg #3 – Tyler Soderstrom to Hit a Home Run

Finally, we’re going to need someone to tuck us in, and that somebody is Tyler Soderstrom. If we’re being honest, I just want someone playing at Sutter Health Park. It’s a great home run spot and the wind is blowing out tonight. It doesn’t get much better.

On top of all that, Tyler Soderstrom is set up nicely from a pitch mix perspective.

PitchSoderstrom Barrel Rate vs RHP (2025)Rocker Hard Hit Rate vs LHB (2024)
Slider25%40%
Four-seam Fastball23%65%

Tyler is going to see Kumar Rocker tonight, and that should mean fireworks. Our guy Kumar has what we call on the streets, a “barrel problem”. It’s bad. Especially to lefties. We’re talking 10+% over the last month. We just saw Tyler hit an absolute rocket last night and even though it didn’t clear a fence, it was a clear sign that he could put one into space at any moment. I think he does it tonight. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Tyler Soderstrom to Hit a Home Run (+430) – FanDuel
  • SBD 3-Man HR Strategy Results – 1-7 (-1 Unit)

John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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