Guardians vs Yankees Game 2 Odds, Picks & Predictions (Oct. 15)

• The Guardians try to even their best-of-seven ALCS with the Yankees on Tuesday night
• Reigning AL Cy Young-winner Gerrit Cole starts for NYY opposite Tanner Bibee for CLE
• See the Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees odds, picks, and predictions on Oct. 15

After falling 5-2 in the series opener last night, the Cleveland Guardians (92-69, 42-39 away) face a difficult road as they try to even their best-of-seven ALCS with the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium (7:38 pm ET). The Yankees send ace Gerrit Cole, the 2023 AL Cy Young-winner, to the mound, coming one off his best start of the year. The Guardians counter with their #1 starter, Tanner Bibee, but the Guardians vs Yankees odds are an extension of the fact that not all aces are created equal.

Guardians vs Yankees Game 2 Odds

The Yankees are priced as -175 moneyline favorites, giving them a 63.64% implied win probability. The Guardians come back as +145 road underdogs (40.82%) in Tuesday’s MLB odds. Most sportsbooks have the run total at 7.0 but ESPN Bet, which refused to post whole numbers for MLB games, has it at 7.5 with the under favored at -135.

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The Yankees moved back to the top of the 2024 World Series odds last night following their Game 1 victory (and LAD’s Game 2 loss to the Mets). New York is currently priced as short as +125 to win their first championship since 2009.

CLE vs NYY Game 2 Starting Pitchers: Bibee vs Cole

Bibee has made two starts in the postseason to date, both against the Tigers. He went 4.2 scoreless in the first, allowing just four hits and a walk with six strikeouts. The second was less impressive: two runs on four hits and two walks over 4.0 innings with just three Ks. Cleveland won both games.

His history against the Yankees is limited, but also concerning. In just 17 ABs, the Yankee lineup has a .353 average and 1.038 OPS against Bibee with three walks and only two strikeouts. Anthony Volpe is the only Yankee hitter to have a home run against Bibee. Aaron Judge has never faced the 25-year-old righty.

Cole’s track record against the Guardian hitters is stronger, and the sample size is big. In 127 ABs, the Guardian bats have a .236 average and .759 OPS off of the Yankee ace.

Optimistically for the Guardians, Jose Ramirez is 12-for-34 (.353 average) with a 1.129 OPS, including two homers and three doubles. Josh Naylor is only 6-for-25 (.240 average) but has a team-high three long balls off of Cole.

CLE vs NYY Public Betting Splits

Roughly five hours before first pitch, the MLB public betting splits were all over the Yankees. The public had placed 93% of moneyline handle on New York to win, and 79% of runline handle on the Yankees to win by multiple runs at plus-money.

With respect to the run total, the public favored the over, but not so emphatically. As of 11:45 am ET, 65% of run-total handle and 66% of tickets were on over 7.0.

Guardians vs Yankees Predictions for Game 2

Cole isn’t on the same level that he was last season (yet) but it also doesn’t take perfection to contain this Cleveland lineup. They managed the sixth-best record in all of baseball while sitting below the median in slugging percentage (.395, 16th), wOBA (.306, 17th), and wRC+ (100, 17th). And the situation hasn’t improved in the postseason, where Cleveland is averaging just 3.5 runs per game and has already been shutout twice.

At the same time, I don’t have a lot of faith that the Yankees are going to rough up Bibee or the Guardians’ MLB-best bullpen. New York’s stats against Bibee are eye-popping, but he didn’t start against them at all in the regular season. They won’t be facing the same pitcher they saw in early 2023 when Bibee was making just his second career MLB appearance.

CLE vs NYY Game 2 picks: 

• Under 7.5 runs (-135) at ESPN Bet
• Bibee over 12.5 outs recorded (-140) at DraftKings