Guardians vs Yankees Game 1 Odds & Predictions
By Robert Duff in MLB Baseball
Published:
- In the Guardians vs Yankees Game 1 odds, New York is a -220 home favorite on Tuesday, October 11
- Cleveland is 0-5 straight up in the past five MLB postseason games against New York’s AL club
- The Yankees are 7-3 SU in 10 home playoff games facing the Guardians
As the New York Yankees (0-0, 0-0 home) square off with the Cleveland Guardians (2-0, 0-0 away) in Game 1 of the ALDS, this set could be billed as the old guard vs the Guardians.
The Yankees are a star-studded bunch assembled with the sole purpose of winning a World Series. For the vast majority of the young Guardians roster, this is their first taste of MLB postseason action.
So far, it’s going quite well for them. Cleveland comes to the Bronx off an AL Wild Card sweep of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Still, oddsmakers are staking the Yankees as heavy home favorites in Game 1. New York is the -220 chalk. Cleveland has won three of five previous postseason series against the Yankees.
Guardians vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | +180 | +1.5 (-125) | O 7 (-105) |
| New York Yankees | -220 | -1.5 (+105) | U 7 (-115) |
Odds as of October 10 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code and see the latest on Ohio sports betting.
At moneyline odds of -220, The Yankees have an implied probability of victory of 68.75% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on New York would create a payout of $14.50.
First pitch at Yankee Stadium goes at 7:37pm ET on Tuesday, October 11. The weather forecast is calling for cloudy skies with 4 mph wind and a temperature of 70 degrees. New York is a -220 favorite to take this set and advance in the MLB playoff bracket.
MLB betting trends are displaying that both moneyline and runline bettors are solidly with the Yankees. New York is drawing 74% of handle and 77% of bets in runline wagering. Meanwhile, in moneyline wagering, the Yankees are getting the backing of 79% of handle and 76% of bets. The public is hitting the over on the total of 7 runs at a rate of 67% of handle and 56% of bets.
The Guardians are the +1800 longest choice in the World Series odds, while The Yankees are at third at +525. As far as the MLB pennant odds are concerned, Cleveland is the fourth pick in this betting market at +600 and New York is second in the odds at +210.
Cleveland vs New York Yankees Probable Pitchers
In the MLB lineups, Cleveland is opting to give the ball for Game 1 to Canadian right-hander Cal Quantrill. He’s the son of rubber-armed ex-MLB reliever Paul Quantrill, who twice led the AL in games while pitching for the Yankees.
The younger Quantrill was tied for second in winning percentage (.750) and tied for fourth in wins (15) in the AL this season. His 186.1 innings pitched were good for eighth in the league. Quantrill was also tied for third in games started (32).
The pitching staff held it down in the Wild Card round.
Cal Quantrill takes the ball tomorrow night.#ForTheLand pic.twitter.com/bXE5oknxPn
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) October 10, 2022
The Cleveland righty was 4-5 on July 5 after taking the loss in an 11-4 setback to the Detroit Tigers. Since that game Quantrill has gone 11-0 over 17 starts. Cleveland is 16-1 SU in Quantrill’s past 17 trips to the mound.
He faced New York just once this season. Quantrill allowed three earned runs over 6.1 innings on April 23. He wasn’t factored into the decision of a 5-4 Yankees victory. In four career appearances against his dad’s old team Quantrill is 0-0 with 3.38 ERA.
Quantrill vs Cole Stats
| 15-5 | Record | 13-8 |
| 3.38 | ERA | 3.50 |
| 4.31 | xERA | 3.31 |
| 1.21 | WHIP | 1.02 |
| 2.72 | SO/W Ratio | 5.14 |
Were he a normal human being, the season posted by Yankees right-hander Gerrit Cole might not look so pedestrian. But Cole isn’t average when it comes to being a MLB pitcher. His career trajectory has always been above average.
Through 5.
And Gerrit Cole ties Ron Guidry for most strikeouts by a Yankee in a season with #248pic.twitter.com/oZpeLcgHNE
— Yankees Videos (@snyyankees) September 29, 2022
His 13 wins were Cole’s lowest total in a full season since he won 12 for the Pirates in 2017. Cole did lead AL hurlers in games started (33) and strikeouts (257), shattering Ron Guidry’s club record in the latter category. He was among the top 8% of AL pitchers in strikeout percentage (32.4). At the same time, he served up the most home runs (33) of any of the league’s pitchers.
Cole was 6-1 on the season on June 14. He’s gone 7-7 since then. He’s allowed 4+ earned runs in seven of his last 17 starts. In two starts against Cleveland, Cole was 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 12.1 innings.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Yankees Batters | Batting Average vs Quantrill | Guardians Batters | Batting Average vs Cole |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bader | 1.000 | Andres Gimenez | .222 |
| Andrew Benintendi | .400 | Austin Hedges | .200 |
| Josh Donaldson | .412 | Luke Maile | .500 |
| Aaron Hicks | .333 | Owen Miller | .333 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 1.00 | Josh Naylor | .333 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | .500 | Jose Ramirez | .273 |
Cleveland’s Josh Naylor is 4-for-12 (.333) with two solo homers off of Cole. Jose Ramirez is 6-for-22 (.273) with a double, triple, homer and six RBI. Luke Maile is 1-for-2 (.500) and Owen Miller is 1-for-3 (.333).
There is not a single player in the game with more Swag than Jose Ramirez. One of one pic.twitter.com/oikFglgydZ
— Barstool Cleveland (@BS_Cleveland) October 7, 2022
Yankees third baseman Josh Donaldson is 7-for-17 (.412) against Quantrill with two homers and five RBI. Andrew Benintendi is 6-for-15 (.400) and has a homer and three RBI. Kyle Higashioka is 2-for-2 (1.000) with a homer and two RBI. Harrison Bader is 3-for-3 (1.000) with a solo homer.
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction
Cleveland is all about quality pitching. The Guardians allowed Tampa Bay one run over 24 innings in the ALWC series, posting an 0.38 staff ERA.
Harrison Bader gives props to the Guardians ahead of the ALDS. On how the Yankees could beat them in the series:
"We got nowhere else to be, I've got nothing to do after the game. If it takes 5 hours to beat them, so be it." pic.twitter.com/NhHyS6cHlW
— Yankees Videos (@snyyankees) October 10, 2022
The Yankees traditionally hit Quantrill had (22-for-68, .324, 5 HR). But they haven’t faced him since April.
Pick: Cleveland Guardians ML (+184)
Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
