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Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Predictions, Picks & Props to Target (July 11)

Ethan Stone

by Ethan Stone in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 11, 2024 · 8:00 AM PDT

Cubs vs. Orioles.
Jul 10, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Chicago Cubs third baseman Christopher Morel (5) rounds the bases following his solo home run in the first inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Baltimore Orioles look to avoid the sweep against the Chicago Cubs Thursday, July 11 from Camden Yards.
  • The Cubs are trying their best to turn a corner, clinching one of their top series wins of the season last night. Chicago has outscored Baltimore 13-2 across the last 2 games.
  • See the best picks, odds and a prediction for Thursday’s game below.

The Chicago Cubs are making quite the statement this week against the AL-leading Baltimore Orioles, leading their series 2-0. The Cubs look to complete the sweep Thursday night at 6:35 p.m. ET from Baltimore.

The Cubs will be starting Justin Steele while Baltimore is set to roll out Albert Suarez, who owns a solid 2.48 ERA with a 5-2 record. Suarez has not faced most of the Cubs order while the Orioles are fairly familiar with Steele. Baltimore is hitting just .270 against Steele throughout his career, with 10 hits across 37 at-bats.

Keep scrolling for a prediction for Thursday’s game, as well as the best odds and player prop picks to be aware of for Baltimore vs. Chicago.

Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

  • CHI vs. BAL pick: CHI+1.5 (-190)

Chicago is moving different lately, and Steele has a strong record against the Orioles throughout his career. Did we mention it’s his birthday today?

There’s a reason Cubs +1.5 is a popular play. The Orioles have yet to be swept this season at home, and one of the best batting teams in the country is unlikely to go down without a fight. However, the Cubs have thoroughly dominated this series from the mound and more importantly, from the plate.

This one will be closer than Games 1 and 2, and with the pitchers both facing favorable matchups tonight I’d also lean towards the under.

Orioles vs. Cubs Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Chicago Cubs +1.5 (-190) +110 O 9 (+100)
Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+158) -130 U 9 (-120)

Odds above via Caesars Sportsbook. Check out our Caesars Promo Code for a look at one of the best welcome offers in the business. 

The Orioles are favorites to avoid the sweep on Thursday, sitting at -130 ML with +158 odds to win by 2 or more runs. Chicago sits at +110 ML with -190 odds to keep the game within a run.

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The Over/Under for this matchup was set at 9 by Caesars, with the under favored at -120. Game 1 for this series went over this total while Game 2 went well under.

Cubs vs. Orioles Best Value Player Props (July 11)

Player Props (Chicago vs. Baltimore) Odds
Justin Steele O 5.5 Ks -105
Nico Hoerner O 1.5 hits +145
Albert Suarez U 15.5 outs recorded -140

All odds above via DraftKings Sportsbook. 

It’s hard to bet against Steele on his birthday, folks. Not to mention he’s performed well against the Orioles in the past and has been over this total in 3 of his last 4 starts.

Hoerner has had a strong series against the Orioles and recorded a pair of hits last night. This is the longshot pick, but it’s best to ride the hot hand.

Suarez has pitched 6 innings in each of his last 2 starts, but they came against teams faring much worse than the Cubs have looked in recent weeks. He’s recorded more than 15 outs just 3 times since the start of May.

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