Brewers vs Reds Odds, Picks & Starting Pitchers (June 2)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Brewers are -170 road favorites over the Reds on Friday night
- Corbin Burnes (4-4, 3.68) will pitch for the Brewers against lefty Brandon Williamson (0-0, 5.02)
- A look at the Brewers vs Reds odds and prediction can be found belowÂ
The Milwaukee Brewers and host Cincinnati Reds meet in the opener of a four-game series at 5:10 p.m. ET Friday at Great American Ball Park.
The National League Central-leading Brewers (29-27, 13-15 road) fell to the Blue Jays 3-1 on Thursday in Toronto for their fifth loss in their last seven games. The Reds (26-30, 14-14 home) had their five-game winning streak ended Thursday night with an 8-2 loss to the Red Sox in Boston.
The game will be streamed on AppleTV+.
Brewers vs Reds Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | -170 | -1.5 (-115) | Over 9.5 (-115) |
| Cincinnati Reds | +150 | +1.5 (-105) | Under 9.5 (-1095) |
The Brewers are -170 moneyline favorites over the Reds on Friday night in the MLB odds, giving them an implied win probability of 62.96%. Milwaukee has +2500 World Series championship odds and Cincinnati is listed at +80000.
Odds as of June 1st at Bet365. Read SBD’s Bet365 review.Â
Brewers vs Reds Probable Pitchers
It should be a hot night in Cincinnati with a forecasted high temperature of 92 degrees at first pitch with a low of 65 along with clear skies and northeast wind at 3-6 mph.
Corbin Burnes (4-4, 3.68) is scheduled to start for the Brewers against rookie left-hander Brandon Williamson (0-1, 5.02). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.
Burnes vs Williamson
| 4-4 | Record | 0-0 |
| 3.68 | ERA | 5.02 |
| 3.80 | xERA | 7.56 |
| 1.19 | WHIP | 1.47 |
| 2.46 | SO/W | 1.33 |
Burnes has struggled lately, going 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in his last three starts. However, he did pitch well in a no-decision last Saturday against the San Francisco Giants when he gave up only one run and four hits in seven innings with eight strikeouts and three walks.
Burnes, whose NL Cy Young odds are +4500, has pitched well in his career against the Reds with a 2-1 record and 2.53 ERA in 14 games (four starts).
In five road starts this year, Burnes is 2-3 with a 3.26 ERA. He has a 4-3 record and a 2.76 ERA in seven starts at night. Burnes has notched six quality starts this season, but the Brewers are just 5-6 when the 2021 NL Cy Young Award pitches.
Corbin Burnes, 3Ks in the 4th. pic.twitter.com/6b1gD5slk1
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 27, 2023
Williamson will be seeking his first win in his fourth career start as he faces the Brewers for the first time.
In Williamson’s last outing, he allowed four runs in 4.1 innings in a no-decision against the Cubs last Saturday at Chicago. He yielded six hits while striking out three and walking three.
All three of Williamson’s starts have come at night. In his lone start at Great American Ball Park, he was touched for four runs (three earned) in 4.1 innings while not factoring in the decision against the St. Louis Cardinals on May 22.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Reds Batters | Batting Average vs Corbin Burnes |
|---|---|
| Stuart Fairchild | .500 |
| Nick Senzel | .500 |
| Jonathan India | .200 |
| Kevin Newman | .143 |
| Curt Casali | .125 |
| Jake Fraley | .000 |
| TJ Friedl | .000 |
| Spencer Steer | .000 |
| Jose Barrero | .000 |
| Tyler Stephenson | .000 |
No Brewers’ hitters have ever faced Williamson. Reds infielder Kevin Newman has struggled with Burnes, going 3 for 21 (.143).
Brewers vs Reds Betting Trends
Newman had three of the Reds’ seven hits in their loss to the Red Sox on Thursday night. Two of Newman’s hits were doubles.
Kevin Newman is hitting .500 (12-for-24) over his last 7 games 🔥@OfficialKBN pic.twitter.com/CdGqaWNKNE
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) June 1, 2023
The Brewers were held to just six hits, including a triple by Tellez, in their loss to the Blue Jays on Thursday.
Brewers vs Reds Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/22 | Reds | Brewers | CIN, 2-1 |
| 9/24/22 | Reds | Brewers | MIL, 10-2 |
| 9/23/22 | Reds | Brewers | MIL, 5-3 |
| 9/22/22 | Reds | Brewers | MIL, 5-1 |
| 9/11/22 | Brewers | Reds | MIL, 7-6 |
| 9/10/22 | Brewers | Reds | MIL, 5-1 |
| 9/9/22 | Brewers | Reds | CIN, 8-2 |
| 8/7/22 | Brewers | Reds | CIN, 4-2 |
| 8/6/22 | Brewers | Reds | CIN, 7-5 |
| 8/5/22 | Brewers | Reds | MIL, 5-1 |
This is the first matchup of the season between the NL Central rivals. The Brewers won last season’s series 13-6 as first baseman Rowdy Tellez hit .302 (19 for 63) with six doubles and seven home runs.
The Brewers are 62-43 versus the Reds since the start of the 2017 season.
Brewers vs Reds Prediction
Though the Reds have won all three of Williamson’s starts, the rookie hasn’t had a lot to do with the outcomes. The Brewers and Burnes, who was sharper his last time out, are the way to go even with high odds on the road.
Pick: Brewers ML (-170)Â
Season Record: 23-10 (+11.0 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 1-0 (+2.0) player props; 28-14 (+13.0 units) overall
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
