Updated 2019 WGC-Mexico Odds Entering the Weekend

By Michael Harrison in Golf
Updated: March 25, 2020 at 12:04 pm EDTPublished:

- Dustin Johnson takes a two-shot lead into the weekend
- Tiger Woods lurking just six back of DJ
- See the updated live odds entering Saturday of the 2019 WGC-Mexico
The 2017 WGC-Mexico champion, Dustin Johnson, is in search of his second win in three years at this event. He’s been putting on a clinic with stress free golf through 36 bogey-free holes to take a two shot lead into the weekend.
There are a host of big names behind him, not the least of which is four-time major champ Rory McIlroy, who has been playing some great golf of late, although he had some uncharacteristic missed putts from short range to stall his round Friday.
Live 2019 WGC-Mexico Championship Odds
Golfer | Position | Score | Rounds | Odds to Win |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dustin Johnson | 1st | -11 | 64, 67 | +140 |
Rory McIlroy | T-2nd | -9 | 63, 70 | +350 |
Matt Kuchar | T-2nd | -9 | 66, 67 | +700 |
Tommy Fleetwood | T-4th | -7 | 70, 65 | +800 |
Sergio Garcia | T-4th | -7 | 69, 66 | +1400 |
Ian Poulter | T-6th | -6 | 68, 68 | +3300 |
Cameron Smith | T-6th | -6 | 69, 67 | +3300 |
Tiger Woods | T-8th | -5 | 71, 66 | +1800 |
Tyrrell Hatton | T-8th | -5 | 67, 70 | +5000 |
Charles Howell III | T-8th | -5 | 69, 68 | +6600 |
Kiradech Aphibarnrat | T-8th | -5 | 68, 69 | +10000 |
Richard Sterne | T-8th | -5 | 69, 68 | +12500 |
Odds taken Feb 22.
Dustin Johnson poised to take control of WGC-Mexico Championship
It is very hard to imagine Dustin Johnson throwing away an opportunity for his sixth career WGC title, having played a masterful first 36 holes.
He’s hit 30 of 36 greens and is the only golfer without a blemish on his card in the first two days.
Dustin Johnson: 11th round led/co-led in WGC career, 2nd-most all-time (Tiger Woods, 39).
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) February 22, 2019
If you bet Johnson at the +1000 odds he opened with to win the WGC-Mexico, you’re laughing. But you’re also aware you’re not getting paid out yet.
While this isn’t a major tournament, DJ has often disappointed fans with an inability to close out the biggest events in golf.
For those hoping he falters, keep in mind what he did at the WGC-HSBC Champions in late 2017, where he kicked away a six shot lead.
The highs and lows of Justin Rose's victory & Dustin Johnson's collapse at the WGC-HSBC Champions. pic.twitter.com/8KXOrolkiW
— Global Golf Post (@GlobalGolfPost) October 30, 2017
Bank on a Rory McIlroy bounce back on the weekend
First-round leader Rory McIlroy looked like he was going to run away with it following three birdies in his first four holes Friday. But then he missed a series of short putts, including a four-putt double-bogey on 9.
Drive for show, putt for dough, right?
Watch Rory McIlroy drop out of the lead after a 4-putt on the par-4 ninth hole. https://t.co/FOqmMj6VBo pic.twitter.com/Y5rJadw1Px
— Golf Central (@GolfCentral) February 22, 2019
He bounced back with a respectable 1-under, 35, on the back nine and finds himself in a tie for second.
Consider this his bad round for the week. It’d be shocking if the Ulsterman didn’t contend deep into Sunday and that’s who I would put a wager on.
He has three top-5 finishes in his last 3 tournaments.
Fun comparison between last week in LA and this week in Mexico from @McIlroyRory: “[My driver] was carrying like 255 [in LA]. This week you can carry a driver 370 if you hit it up in the air. Literally it's 100 yard difference between some shots. It's fun, it's fun."
— Rex Hoggard (@RexHoggardGC) February 22, 2019
Tiger Woods lurking six shots back of Dustin Johnson
In each of his first three events in 2019 Tiger Woods has started slowly and needed to play catch-up in a big way. His fantastic 5-under, 66, has helped his cause and has him within shouting distance of DJ.
Tiger Woods still making magic happen, what a fairway bunker shot pic.twitter.com/mvwR5fMT28
— CJ Fogler account may or may not be notable (@cjzero) February 22, 2019
His 18th hole, the 9th hole of the course, bunker shot on Friday was sublime, so expect more fireworks for the 18-time WGC champ.
His +1800 odds present decent, not great, value. But monitor that throughout the round, because if he starts slowly, that betting line will increase and that’s when you can jump on the big cat.
Best Live Value Picks at 2019 WGC-Mexico
- Cameron Smith (+3300): Everyone has been waiting for the talented young Aussie to break through in a big way. This could be his weekend.
- Justin Thomas (+5000): Sure, he’s eight back after a miserable 73. But he fired 62-64 last year here on the weekend to erase an 11-stroke deficit to get into a playoff with Phil Mickelson.
- Kiradech Aphibarnrat (+10000): The big fella has big-time game and is ready to make his mark on the PGA Tour. When he gets hot with the putter, look out. Amazing odds for a strong player just six strokes back.

Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.