RBC Heritage Odds to Make the Cut and Miss the Cut 2023
- Make and miss the cut odds are live for the RBC Heritage which tees off on Thursday, April 13
- Taylor Montgomery has lost 10.6 strokes with his irons in the last two events alone
- Don’t miss the complete list of make and miss the cut odds, plus a head-to-head matchup bet to target
For years the RBC Heritage was an afterthought for the PGA Tour’s elite. Scheduled right after the Masters, the game’s top players would usually skip the event in favor of some much needed rest following the season’s first Major.
But not this year. The RBC Heritage has been boosted to an elevated event, meaning the inflated $20 million purse is simply too much to ignore.
That means nearly all of the Tour’s top stars, minus Rory McIlroy, are at Harbour Town this week, and it’s our job to find which big names are most likely to make and miss the cut.
RBC Heritage Make the Cut Odds
Golfer | Odds to Make the Cut | Odds to Miss the Cut |
---|---|---|
Jon Rahm | -1200 | +550 |
Scottie Scheffler | -1100 | +500 |
Patrick Cantlay | -1100 | +500 |
Xander Schauffele | -600 | +350 |
Viktor Hovland | -550 | +330 |
Max Homa | -550 | +330 |
Cameron Young | -550 | +330 |
Tony Finau | -500 | +300 |
Sungjae Im | -500 | +300 |
Jordan Spieth | -500 | +300 |
Collin Morikawa | -500 | +300 |
Shane Lowry | -455 | +250 |
Tyrrell Hatton | -340 | +225 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick | -340 | +225 |
Justin Thomas | -340 | +225 |
Tom Kim | -310 | +210 |
Sam Burns | -310 | +210 |
Matt Kuchar | -295 | +200 |
Sahith Theegala | -275 | +190 |
Corey Conners | -275 | +190 |
Wyndham Clark | -250 | +175 |
Russell Henley | -250 | +175 |
Rickie Fowler | -245 | +170 |
Keegan Bradley | -245 | +170 |
Tommy Fleetwood | -210 | +150 |
Seamus Power | -210 | +150 |
Taylor Montgomery | -210 | +150 |
Keith Mitchell | -210 | +150 |
Justin Rose | -210 | +150 |
J.T. Poston | -210 | +150 |
Si Woo Kim | -195 | +140 |
Denny McCarthy | -195 | +140 |
Chris Kirk | -190 | +135 |
Fresh off his win at Augusta, Jon Rahm posts the shortest odds to make the weekend at -1200, and the longest odds to trunk slam at +550. Scottie Scheffler and Patrick Cantlay are right on his tail in those two categories, as well as the outright market, but if you scroll down to the bottom third of the oddsboard you’ll find our preferred candidate to go home early.
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Odds as of April 11 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Montgomery Most Likely to Trunk Slam
Success at Harbour Town is predicated on finding fairways and being dialed in with your irons. That hasn’t been Taylor Montgomery’s style as of late.
The 28-year-old ranks 151st in driving accuracy for the season, and has been an abject disaster both with his irons and around the green over the last two plus months.
Taylor Montgomery SG Approach Data – Last Six Measured Starts
Event | SG APP |
---|---|
Valero Texas Open | -6.5 |
The Players Championship | -4.1 |
Arnold Palmer Invitational | +1.9 |
Genesis Open | -1.2 |
Waste Management Phoenix Open | -0.2 |
Farmers Insurance Open | -1.7 |
Montgomery is fresh off losing 6.5 strokes on approach at the Valero, after dropping 4.1 strokes with his irons at the Players Championship. In total he’s lost strokes on approach in five of his past six measured events, and has logged just two tournaments all calendar year with positive ball striking numbers.
To make matters worse, he’s also lost strokes around the green in five of his past six starts. His saving grace has been his putter, but you simply can’t expect to find success at this tournament if you’re not striking the ball well.
Pick: Taylor Montgomery to Miss the Cut (+150)
Make the Cut Parlay
While we’re fading Montgomery this week, there’s a handful of golfers with decent odds we do like for our make the cut parlay. Reigning U.S. Open champ Matthew Fitzpatrick is at the top of that list, fresh off an impressive 10th place showing at the Masters.
Fitzpatrick is on record saying Harbour Town is one of his favorite courses on Tour, and the results back that up. He’s made the weekend in four of his past five visits, with three top-14 finishes.
Matthew Fitzpatrick hits it to inches on No. 12. #themasters pic.twitter.com/52YMUsb8cN
— The Masters (@TheMasters) April 6, 2023
Next up, we’ll add Sahith Theegala and Corey Conners. Theegala finished 9th at Augusta last week, and is riding a streak of 12 straight made cuts. Conners meanwhile, failed to make the cut for the first time in four tries at the Masters last week, but won at Valero the week before. He’s one of the purest ball strikers on the planet, and his game is perfectly suited for success at Harbour Town.
Finally, we’ll anchor our make the cut parlay with Justin Rose. The Englishman has found his game this season, winning at Pebble Beach and posting four additional top-20 finishes. He routinely gains strokes in every key metric and finished 14th at Harbour Town the last time he teed it up there.
Pick: Make the Cut Parlay (+263)
Matt Kuchar vs Corey Conners – H2H Matchup
Back to Conners now, as he’s also going to be a target in the head-to-head market. We’ll take him at +100 over Matt Kuchar, which feels like an insult given Conners superior talent at this point in their careers.
Conners ranks 21 spots higher than Kuchar in the World Golf Rankings, and boasts better strokes gained data in the following categories over the past 50 rounds: Tee-to-green, ball striking, off-the-tee and approach. He’s a significantly better scorer, and the only advantage for Kuchar is in the short game department.
Matt Kuchar vs Corey Conners H2H Odds
Golfer | Odds |
---|---|
Matt Kuchar | -120 |
Corey Conners | +100 |
Sure, Kuchar has great course history at Harbour Town with an abundance of quality finishes, but Conners track record here is also pretty impressive. He’s posted three straight top-21 finishes, with a fourth place result back in 2021. Conners should easily be the favorite in this matchup, so we should gladly pounce on him at even money.
Pick: Corey Conners (+100)
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