Odds to Make the Cut at 2021 British Open

By Chris Amberley in Golf
Published:

- You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2021 British Open
- Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
- See the odds to make and miss the cut for the top players below
Golf’s elite are in Sandwich, England this week for the season’s final Major. Royal St. George’s will play host to the 2021 British Open starting on Thursday (July 15th), and judging by the early weather forecast, plenty of carnage is going to ensue.
Sustained winds of 15 miles per hour are expected throughout the four day event, with gusts regularly reaching 22 mph. If that wasn’t enough of a wrench to throw at the players, word from the grounds is that the rough is absolutely gnarly.
A reporter for Open Radio this week said he hasn’t seen rough like this since Carnoustie in 1999. He also mentioned that Danny Willett could barely make contact with the ball from the thick grass after missing the fairway by just 8 yards.
All that to say, big names are going to be trunk slamming, and it’s our job to try and pinpoint which stars will make and miss the cut this week.
Odds to Make Cut and Miss Cut at 2021 British Open
Golfer | Odds to Make the Cut | Odds to Miss the Cut |
---|---|---|
Jon Rahm | -1200 | +800 |
Jordan Spieth | -1000 | +400 |
Rory McIlroy | -650 | +400 |
Xander Schauffele | -650 | +400 |
Dustin Johnson | -650 | +400 |
Justin Thomas | -550 | +350 |
Collin Morikawa | -550 | +350 |
Louis Oosthuizen | -550 | +350 |
Brooks Koepka | -480 | +400 |
Viktor Hovland | -400 | +275 |
Bryson DeChambeau | -400 | +275 |
Paul Casey | -400 | +275 |
Tyrrell Hatton | -400 | +275 |
Patrick Cantlay | -400 | +275 |
Tommy Fleetwood | -400 | +180 |
Shane Lowry | -400 | +250 |
Patrick Reed | -400 | +250 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick | -400 | +250 |
Tony Finau | -355 | +225 |
Daniel Berger | -355 | +225 |
Lee Westwood | -355 | +150 |
Scottie Scheffler | -330 | +225 |
Adam Scott | -330 | +200 |
Webb Simpson | -270 | +196 |
Harris English | -235 | +180 |
Marc Leishman | -225 | +168 |
Joaquin Niemann | -225 | +168 |
Robert Macintyre | -225 | +168 |
Cameron Smith | -225 | +150 |
Abraham Ancer | -210 | +158 |
Ian Poulter | -205 | +134 |
Sergio Garcia | -205 | +154 |
Jason Day | -205 | +154 |
Branden Grace | -200 | +150 |
Corey Conners | -200 | +134 |
Alex Noren | -176 | +134 |
Odds as of July 13th at DraftKings and FanDuel.
Beware of Bryson
The first big name we are fading to make the weekend is Bryson DeChambeau. The big hitting American has been vocal about the rough this week, saying if he finds it too often he’s not going to have a good chance.
"This is the first time I’ve taken my length to links golf and we’ll see how it plays." 🗣
Who's looking forward to seeing how @b_dechambeau tackles Royal St George's? ⛳️ pic.twitter.com/qcpSIZMCia
— The Open (@TheOpen) July 13, 2021
DeChambeau split with his long time caddie Tim Tucker just moments before his previous start and has a rocky track record at British Opens. He’s made just one of three cuts, and has yet to finish inside the top-50.
Also of concern is his short game. Yes, he’s an elite putter, but he’s struggled badly around the greens and has been awful with his wedges lately. Given how the last two British Opens held at Royal St. George’s yielded a sub 56% greens in regulation percentage, that could be a problem.
Not enough is being made of Bryson DeChambeau’s utter and total meltdown yesterday. He was *leading the US Open by himself* after nearly hitting an ace on No. 8 and managed to shoot a 77. pic.twitter.com/G4zOTeoTRu
— Will Brinson (@WillBrinson) June 21, 2021
DeChambeau has lost strokes around the green in four straight starts and ranks 143rd in this field in proximity on shots between 75-100 yards.
Pick: Bryson DeChambeau To Miss Cut (+275)
A Full Fade on Finau
Our next target to trunk slam is Tony Finau. The 31-year-old has an excellent track record at this tournament, but seems to have lost his game recently. He’s fresh off back-to-back missed cuts, and has failed to make the weekend in five of his past 10 starts.
Only 1 player finished in the top-ten at #TheOpen in both 2018 and 2019
Tony Finau
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) July 12, 2021
Fading Finau at a Major is usually a recipe for disaster, but this is not the type of course he typically excels at. Precision, not length, is mandatory at Royal St. George’s. Finau ranks 183rd in driving accuracy, and has lost a combined 4.9 strokes on approach over his past two tournaments.
Pick: Tony Finau To Miss Cut (+225)
Make the Cut Parlay
That’s enough doom and gloom for one article, now let’s focus on who will still be playing on the weekend. Alex Noren is one of only six players in the field to make every cut at this event since 2015 with a minimum of four appearances, and is just one start removed from a 4th place finish.
Flag Hunting 101 w/ Alex Noren! 🎯 #TeamCallaway
pic.twitter.com/6AyS0BKDCa— Callaway Golf (@CallawayGolf) May 15, 2021
He has results of 11th, 17th and 6th in his last three British Open appearances, and has gained strokes on and around the greens in six of his past eight starts.
Let’s pair him up with Branden Grace, who’s made four of his past five British Open cuts, and is fresh off back-to back top-7 finishes at the Memorial and the U.S. Open.
The perfect bounce for @BrandenGrace. 💥
Hole-out eagle! pic.twitter.com/CuDWoUsq2l
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) June 18, 2021
He already owns a victory this year, and is looking more and more like the player who used to be a staple on the leaderboard at the season’s most difficult Majors.
Next, let’s throw in Englishman Ian Poulter, who’s made five straight cuts on American soil, and finished one shot out of the playoff at the Scottish Open last week.
Ian Poulter, defying commentator predictions for years 👏#abrdnScottishOpen #RolexSeries pic.twitter.com/GFDuRbKdy1
— DP World Tour (@DPWorldTour) July 8, 2021
He fired a blistering 63 on Sunday, and this may be his last chance to make a serious run at the Claret Jug.
Speaking of Englishmen, Tyrrell Hatton will also be looking to be crowned Champion Golfer of the Year on home soil. Hatton has two top-6 results in his past four starts at this event, and has a world class tee-to-green game.
50 balls each to make a hole-in-one…
Step up @IanJamesPoulter and @TyrrellHatton. #HeroChallenge pic.twitter.com/meMPSrnYyh
— DP World Tour (@DPWorldTour) July 9, 2021
He ranks 17th in this field in ball striking, has gained at least 2.4 strokes with his irons in four of his past five events, and has gained strokes around the green in five straight outings.
Last but not least, is Harris English. The last time we saw him he was raising the trophy at the Travelers Championship, and the start prior to that he finished 3rd at the U.S. Open.
.@Harris_English is the 2021 @TravelersChamp winner!#TravelersChamp pic.twitter.com/l5uEVGe6XO
— Golf Channel (@GolfChannel) June 28, 2021
He’s made four of five career cuts at this event and is underpriced in the British Open odds at +7000.
Add it all up, and we’re looking at a handsome +538 parlay if all five of our golfers get through the cutline.

Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.