Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks, Odds & Predictions for 2025

• The Arnold Palmer Invitational tees off Thursday, March 6th, 2025
• Scottie Scheffler is the heavy +330 favorite to win this tournament for the third time in four years
• See the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, picks, and best value bets below

The PGA Tour heads to famed Bay Hill Club and Lodge for the fourth signature event on the calendar, the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational. This limited field will have a cut of the top-50 players after two rounds, or anyone within ten strokes of the leader. Scottie Scheffler is the defending champion, having defeated Wyndham Clark by five shots in 2024. He also took the title in 2022, and returns having not won yet in three starts in 2025.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds 2025

Scheffler is a heavy +330 favorite, followed by 2018 champion Rory McIlroy, who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this season. Two-time major champ in 2024 Xander Schauffele will tee it up for the first time this year, following a rib injury, and he’s the third choice to emerge victorious. Ludvig Aberg and Collin Morikawa round out the top-five.

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Can Viktor Hovland Break Out of Funk?

Since winning the final two tournaments to claim the FedEx Cup in 2023, Viktor Hovland hasn’t been able to reach the pinnacle of success he displayed less than two years ago. It’s not as if he’s fallen completely off a cliff, with a third place showing at the 2024 PGA Championship, and a T-2nd at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

Past Five Arnold Palmer Invitational Winners

However, he hasn’t been on top of his game, which is why his odds to claim the title are +5500. He’s been very solid at this venue, which makes me consider him at his solid price. In 2022, he was runner-up at the API, then a year later, T-10th. In his last twelve spins around Bay Hill, Hovland is third in total strokes gained and ball striking and eighth tee-to-green. Two tourneys ago at Pebble Beach, the Norwegian posted a respectable T-22nd, so perhaps great days on the horizon for him again.

Arnold Palmer Invitational 2025 Picks & Value Bets

1. Akshay Bhatia +7500: Akshay Bhatia has been is coming off back-to-back strong tournaments, where he posted top-10’s on both occasions, ranking eighth in strokes gained: tee-to-green. In his last eight starts around the world, Bhatia has wound up with a top-10 half the time, with his worst finish T-37th.
2. Sahith Theegala +10000: This feels a little bit of a misprice, given Sahith Theegala has been T-14th and T-6th the last two years at this event, ranking third in total strokes gained in the process. He’s coming off a top-20 outing in his last time teeing it up at the Genesis Invitational.
3. Harris English +14000: Very intriguing odds for a golfer who won just three starts ago at the Farmers Insurance Open. What makes him even more appealing is that he was runner-up at this tournament in 2023, ranking fifth in total strokes gained the last twelve rounds at Bay Hill.