2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 4th Round Odds, Predictions and Preview
By Chris Amberley in Golf
Published:
- Patrick Cantlay is the favorite to win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am after three rounds, despite being a shot behind the leaders
- Tom Hoge, Andrew Putnam and Beau Hossler share the 54-hole lead at -15, but both Cantlay and Jordan Spieth sit at -14
- See the updated odds below for Sunday’s final round
There’s three names atop the leaderboard after 54-holes at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, but oddsmakers are expecting a two horse race on Sunday.
Patrick Cantlay and Jordan Spieth enter the final round with the shortest and second shortest odds to win the tournament, despite each being a shot behind the leaders.
Tom Hoge, Andrew Putnam, and Beau Hossler are all one shot clear of Cantlay and Spieth, but you’d never know it by looking at their live odds.
Updated 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds
| Golfer | Position | Score | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cantlay | T-4th | -14 | +300 |
| Jordan Spieth | T-4th | -14 | +350 |
| Tom Hoge | T-1st | -15 | +450 |
| Andrew Putnam | T-1st | -15 | +700 |
| Beau Hossler | T-1st | -15 | +900 |
| Joel Dahmen | T-4th | -14 | +900 |
| Seamus Power | 7th | -13 | +1100 |
| Jason Day | T-8th | -11 | +3500 |
| Denny McCarthy | T-8th | -11 | +8000 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | T-10th | -10 | +13000 |
Odds as of Feb. 5th at DraftKings
Cantlay, the fourth ranked golfer in the world, boasted the shortest pre-tournament price at +750. Spieth meanwhile, began the week with the fourth shortest odds to take home the title. Cantlay and Spieth carry implied probabilities of 25% and 22% respectively to win on Sunday.
Living on the edge.@JordanSpieth is brave. 😅 pic.twitter.com/L9Y45qac0f
— PGA TOUR LIVE (@PGATOURLIVE) February 5, 2022
As for the current leaders, Hoge went off Thursday at +5000 to win, while Putnam could be had for +12500 before the week began. Hossler was on virtually nobody’s radar, including oddsmakers. His pre-tournament outright price was 250-1 on Thursday.
Side With Spieth at the Top
If the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am does come down to a battle between Cantlay and Spieth on the back nine on Sunday, I’m siding with Spieth.
His ball striking on Saturday was not only his best performance this season, but by the numbers it was his strongest since the third round of the U.S. Open last June.
It hadn’t update ld for the 18th when I did this. Was actually +5.31 APP
— Pat Mayo (@ThePME) February 6, 2022
The three-time major winner gained a ridiculous 5.31 strokes with his irons on the field, and led all players in strokes gained tee-to-green, ball striking and approach on Saturday. He fired a 9-under round of 63 at Pebble Beach, which was the lowest score of the day. Also working in his favor, a ridiculously strong track record at this event.
Only one back heading into the final day. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Ki4JOllweC
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) February 6, 2022
Spieth won here in 2017, and has finished third and ninth in the past two years at this tournament. Cantlay meanwhile, has back-to-back top-11 finishes at this event, but wasn’t nearly as impressive in round 3.
Patrick Cantlay posts 4-under 68 at Pebble Beach GL, his 26th consecutive par-or-better round on TOUR. Only Jon Rahm has a better active streak (29 rounds).
— PGA TOUR Communications (@PGATOURComms) February 5, 2022
The reigning FedEx Cup champion actually lost 2.29 strokes on approach to the field, and finished 141st in ball striking for the day. The scary thing about betting against him however, is that even on one of his worst outings of the year he still shot 68. His short game deserves all the credit for that score, as he ranked top-seven in both strokes gained around the green and putting.
When he puts it all together he’s nearly impossible to beat – see last year’s BMW Championship if you need any further proof, but let’s not forget about Spieth’s short game wizardry either.
📂 @JordanSpieth
📂 Magical shots
📂 Short game wizardryAdd another one to the archives. pic.twitter.com/zrM91u8L19
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) September 25, 2021
Pick: Jordan Spieth (+350)
2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Best Live Value Picks
- Seamus Power (+1300): He started the day with a five-shot lead before things went sideways at the Monterey Peninsula course. Nevertheless, he did set the 36-hole record at this tournament over the first two rounds, and has shot 65 or better in seven of his 15 competitive rounds this year. +1300 is too steep given he’s only two shots back.
- Dylan Frittelli (+25000): Taking a flier here on a player who’s been flushing his irons all week. Frittelli ranks sixth in the field in strokes gained approach through three rounds, and ninth in ball striking. His putting is the reason he’s five shots back, but if he can straighten that out on Sunday he can make some noise. He’s worth a sprinkle at +25000, especially if your book of choice offers a top-4 each way option.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
