2020 PGA Tour 3M Open Matchup Odds and Picks

By Michael Harrison in Golf
Updated: March 18, 2021 at 9:43 am EDTPublished:

- The 3M Open from TPC Twin Cities runs July 23rd-26th
- There’s a lack of star power at the event, but there’s still some big names teeing it up
- We’ve selected the best bets and value picks on tournament matchups below
The PGA Tour heads to Minnesota for the 3M Open with a lesser known field they’ve only attracted seven of the top 50 players in the world.
That doesn’t mean there’s a shortage of tournament matchup bets to wager on this week, including Dustin Johnson vs. Brooks Koepka and Tony Finau vs. Tommy Fleetwood.
Defending champion Matthew Wolff returns in search of his second consecutive crown and his tournament matchup is intriguing as well.
Dustin Johnson/Brooks Koepka Tournament Matchup Odds
Golfer | Odds at DraftKings |
---|---|
Dustin Johnson | -129 |
Brooks Koepka | +105 |
All odds taken July 22nd
DJ Coming off Two Wild Weeks
Dustin Johnson returned to form at the Travelers Championship, taking home his 21st PGA Tour title by one stroke over Kevin Streelman.
The success didn’t translate to Muirfield Village, as he shot consecutive rounds of 80 to miss the cut by a staggering 13 shots.
Dustin Johnson opened his round with a four-putt at the par-4 10th, his first four-putt since the 2019 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (R1/No. 12) and eighth of his career.
— PGA TOUR Communications (@PGATOURComms) July 16, 2020
So which DJ will show up this week? He’s the favorite in his matchup over Brooks Koepka, who recently admitted that his knee is still giving him troubles, which has resulted in just one finish better than 32nd in his last seven tournaments.
Johnson hadn’t been dominant prior to that victory in Hartford, with just two top ten finishes in his last 14 Tour events.
However, Koepka has been very erratic and the knee issues just aren’t going away anytime soon.
Brooks Koepka is still battling his knee injury at this week's 3M Open.
Our @SBurkowskiGC has more details in this @TaylorMadeGolf Golf Central Update. pic.twitter.com/UjDsaY6Va9
— Golf Central (@GolfCentral) July 21, 2020
The two horrible rounds not withstanding, you have to think that DJ will shake that off as he often does when faced with adversity and figure out his game, given that he won the tournament before his disaster at the Memorial.
Pick: Dustin Johnson (-129)
Matthew Wolff/Bubba Watson Tournament Matchup Odds
Golfer | Odds |
---|---|
Matthew Wolff | -110 |
Bubba Watson | -110 |
Wolff Poised for Another Run qt 3M Title
Both of these golfers haven’t exactly been lighting the world on fire as of late, but defending champion Matthew Wolff very nearly picked off his second career Tour win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Before that runner-up showing, his best finish in his previous seven events was a tie for 52nd.
He’s followed that with a missed cut and then a solid, if unspectacular showing at the Memorial Tournament, where he was T-22nd.

Bubba Watson has been all over the map who has even less propensity lately to play well, finally making the weekend at Muirfield Village for the first time in his last four events, where he was T-32nd. He also did not play this tournament when it debuted last year.
They both have shown that they’re capable of too many crooked results of late, but Wolff has been better and won this tournament last year, so at identical -110 odds, the choice is clear.
Pick: Matthew Wolff (-110)
Paul Casey/Lucas Glover Tournament Matchup Odds
Golfer | Odds |
---|---|
Paul Casey | -125 |
Lucas Glover | +105 |
Glover Has Been Remarkably Consistent
Since the PGA Tour returned to action, Lucas Glover has teed it up five times, making the cut in each one of those tournaments. Paul Casey, meanwhile, has only played two events with a T-32nd showing at the Travelers Championship and a missed cut at the Memorial Tournament.
While Casey offers more in the boom potential between the two of them, Glover’s consistency can’t be ignored, especially because you’re getting him at +105 odds in this tournament matchup.
In those five tournaments, he’s been T-38th, T-21st, T-20th, T-21st, T-23rd showing that he might be on the cusp for a big week.
Lucas Glover ranks since the PGA Tour season restart (among players with 10+ rounds):
Birdie average – 7th
Scoring average – 10th
SG Tee to Green – 11thShot 62 Sunday at 3M last year to finish tied for 7th.
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) July 20, 2020
His solid T-7 result last year at the 3M Open bodes well for him to keep the strong play going, with this being Casey’s debut in this event. Glover may not wow you with a sometimes leaky putter, but he’s gained strokes on the field tee-to-green in all five tournaments he’s contested in, so he’s a good bet in this matchup.
Pick: Lucas Glover (+105)

Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.