2019 PGA Championship Props: First-Round Leader Odds, Wire-to-Wire Winner, Winning Margin & More

By Michael Harrison in Golf
Updated: March 27, 2020 at 1:33 pm EDTPublished:

- The 2019 PGA Championship tees off Thursday, May 16th
- You can bet on just about anything happening in this year’s tournament
- We have some fun prop bets to wager on for this annual tradition
The 101st PGA Championship is set to tee off Thursday with the deepest field in golf making it anybody’s guess who will emerge victorious.
Sportsbooks have a plethora of prop bets to wager on. We’ve included them below along with our expert picks for each.
PGA Championship 1st Round Leader Odds
Golfer | Odds |
---|---|
Tiger Woods | +1800 |
Dustin Johnson | +1800 |
Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
Rory McIlroy | +1800 |
Jon Rahm | +2500 |
Justin Rose | +2500 |
Rickie Fowler | +2800 |
Jason Day | +3300 |
Jordan Spieth | +3300 |
Francesco Molinari | +3300 |
*Odds taken 05/15/19.
Of the big names, Jon Rahm is a great name to consider since he’s third in first round scoring average this year. A great darkhorse candidate is Scott Piercy at +12500. He’s finished second and third in his last two individual events and played all 72 holes last week bogey-free.
Pick: Jon Rahm (+2500)
Tournament Finish Odds
Golfer | Top 5 Finish Odds |
---|---|
Rory McIlroy | +200 |
Dustin Johnson | +200 |
Brooks Koepka | +250 |
Tiger Woods | +275 |
Jon Rahm | +400 |
Justin Rose | +400 |
Rickie Fowler | +450 |
Jason Day | +450 |
Francesco Molinari | +500 |
Xander Schauffele | +550 |
For best value, I love Schauffele. He’s coming off a runner-up finish at the Masters last month. He has four top-6 finishes in eight career majors, with a pair of seconds and a sixth in his last four attempts.
👏 @XSchauffele's first 8 majors:
2019 Masters Tournament – T2
2018 PGA Championship – T35
2018 The Open Championship – T2
2018 U.S. Open – T6
2018 Masters Tournament – T50
2017 PGA Championship – CUT
2017 The Open Championship – T20
2017 U.S. Open – T5Will this be his week? pic.twitter.com/45f7FnUalx
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) May 14, 2019
Top Continental European
Golfer | Top Continental European Odds |
---|---|
Jon Rahm | +260 |
Francesco Molinari | +350 |
Sergio Garcia | +700 |
Henrik Stenson | +900 |
Rafa Cabrera Bello | +1600 |
This is the perfect time to wager on Sergio Garcia. In his three trips to Bethpage Black (two US Open’s, one Barclays Championship), he has a tie for third, fourth, and 10th on his resume.
In 1999, Sergio Garcia stood behind a tree, closed his eyes, and made a shot. Because sometimes, you just have to believe in the power of your own mind. Here’s to 20 years of imagination. @TheSergioGarcia#HereToCreate pic.twitter.com/Z0M05av2DI
— adidas (@adidas) May 13, 2019
If you want to show even more faith in the Spaniard, you can wager on him at +1400 to be top European but that list is more difficult than Continental European because it includes the likes of Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood.
Pick: Sergio Garcia (+700)
PGA Championship Cut Line Odds
Cut Line | Odds |
---|---|
Over 145 Shots | -110 |
Under 145 Shots | -120 |
This track is a par 70, so by picking over you’re selecting +6 or worse. The cut has only been that score once in the last decade at this tournament (2012).
Pick: Under 145 Shots (-120)
Leading 1st Round Score
What Will Be the Leading 1st Round Score? | Odds |
---|---|
Over 65.5 Strokes | -135 |
Under 65.5 Strokes | +105 |
Also only once in the last 10 years has the first round leading score been worse than 5-under par (4-under in 2017).
Pick: Under 65.5 Strokes (+105)
Lowest 18 Hole Score
What Will Be the Lowest 18 Hole Score? | Odds |
---|---|
Over 64.5 Strokes | -135 |
Under 64.5 Strokes | +105 |
There tends to be at least some player every year to go low and get themselves back into contention. This could be broken in the first round.
Pick: Under 64.5 Strokes (+105)
Players Finishing Under Par
How Many Players Will Finish Under Par? | Odds |
---|---|
Over 8.5 Players | -120 |
Under 8.5 Players | +110 |
Not since the 2008 edition of this event has this resulted in the under. Reminder, despite Bethpage Black being a brutal test at the two US Opens in 2002 and 2009 they were set up much more difficult than how the PGA of America likes to host their tournaments.
Pick: Over 8.5 Players (-120)
Will John Daly Be Given a Replacement Golf Cart?
Will Daly Be Given a Replacement Golf Cart? | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +400 |
No | -600 |
Odds strongly suggest Daly won’t be around for the weekend, and potentially may even pack it in before the first two rounds are over as he’s done in the past. Not enough time to need a replacement cart.
Pick: No (-600)
What does Tiger think about John Daly using a golf cart at the #PGAChamp?
“I walked with a broken leg.” ?pic.twitter.com/v0r3PXrMse
— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) May 14, 2019
Will John Daly Be Seen Drinking Beer in His Golf Cart?
Will John Daly Be Seen Drinking Beer in His Golf Cart? | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +1200 |
No | -3300 |
While this would be legendary if it turned out yes, Daly has admitted only once has he drank while playing a tour event before, and that was in the clubhouse at Riviera in the 90’s.
Pick: No (-3300)
The agility displayed by John Daly here the moment he realized his beer fell over is truly breathtaking (via @MB_GolfHoliday) pic.twitter.com/7kOD7VQH6U
— UPROXX Sports (@UPROXXSports) April 12, 2017
Odds There Will Be a Hole in One
Will There Be a Hole in One? | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | -105 |
No | -125 |
Come on, don’t be sadistic. It’s more fun to bet on fireworks so lay cash on the bet that will yield more of a return.
Pick: Yes (-105)
1st Round Hole in One Odds
What Will Be a Hole in One in Round 1? | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +450 |
No | -700 |
You can’t be reckless though, so the smart hedge play would be to figure it won’t happen in specifically just the first round.
Pick: No (-700)
Odds an Albatross Will Be Registered
Will An Albatross Be Registered? | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +1200 |
No | -3300 |
Only three times in the entire 100 year history of the PGA Championship has this feat been accomplished. Despite the pretty strong odds to bet yes, resist the urge.
Pick: No (-3300)
Odds There Will Be a Playoff
Will There Be a Playoff? | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +350 |
No | -500 |
There hasn’t been a playoff at the PGA in eight years. This course, however, will likely hinder anybody’s ability to run away from the field so expect a jam packed leaderboard.
Pick: No (-500)
Odds on a Playoff Featuring 3 or More Players
Will There Be a Playoff Featuring 3 or More Players? | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +1000 |
No | -2000 |
Only once since the 1978 PGA has there been a three man playoff (Vijay Singh defeating Justin Leonard and Chris Dimarco in 2004).
Pick: No (-2000)
Winning 72 Hole Score Odds
What Will the Winning 72 Hole Score Be? | Odds |
---|---|
Over 271.5 Shots | -150 |
Under 271.5 Shots | +120 |
As noted, the PGA of America tends to be more lenient in their golf course setup. However, expecting the champion to shoot 9-under or better on this golf course might be too tall a task.
Pick: Over 271.5 Shots (-150)
Winning Margin Odds
Winning Margin | Odds |
---|---|
4 Shots or More | +325 |
Exactly 3 shots | +450 |
Exactly 2 shots | +350 |
Exactly 1 shot | +250 |
Playoff needed to determine winner | +350 |
In the last twelve PGA Championships, the winning margin has been two strokes or less in nine instances. Of those, two stroke wins have been most common with five.
Pick: Exactly 2 shots (+350)
Wire-to-Wire Winner Odds
Will There Be a Wire to Wire Winner? | Odds |
---|---|
Yes | +1200 |
No | -3300 |
Only three times ever (not including ties) has there been a wire-to-wire PGA champ, and not since Hal Sutton in 1983.
Pick: No (-3300)
Winning Nationality Odds
What Will Be the Nationality of the Winner? | Odds |
---|---|
USA | -140 |
The Field | +110 |
Six of the top nine players teeing it up are American, with the exceptions being Justin Rose, Rory McIlroy, and Francesco Molinari. In recent years this is virtually split, with the field actually winning six of the last eleven editions.
Pick: The Field (+110)
Against the Field Props
Two Players Against the Field | Odds |
---|---|
D. Johnson/B. Koepka wins PGA | +450 |
Field Wins PGA | -700 |
Amazingly DJ somehow has only one career major championship. Koepka has three in his last seven (didn’t play 2018 Masters). Still much more wise to bet against them.
Pick: Field Wins PGA (-700)
Tournament Matchups
Dustin Johnson vs Rory McIlroy Odds
Dustin Johnson vs Rory McIlroy | Odds |
---|---|
Dustin Johnson | -120 |
Rory McIlroy | -110 |
Rory has been absolutely ridiculous this season, with the Masters being his only tournament outside the top-10. He’s won the Players Championship this year while DJ picked off the WGC-Mexico Championship. McIlroy is first in strokes gained tee to green and total strokes gained.
Pick: Rory McIlroy (-110)
96 TOUR wins and 19 major championships between these two.@TigerWoods x @McIlroyRory #LiveUnderPar pic.twitter.com/8WW6RhBR5w
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) May 14, 2019
Brooks Koepka vs Justin Rose Odds
Brooks Koepka vs Justin Rose | Odds |
---|---|
Brooks Koepka | -120 |
Justin Rose | -110 |
Koepka has just one finish worse than 13th in his last seven majors, while Rose has four instances in that same span.
Pick: Brooks Koepka (-120)

Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.