2019 Masters First Round Leader Odds: Can Spieth Lead for Fourth Time in Five Years?
By Michael Harrison in Golf
Updated: March 27, 2020 at 1:19 pm EDTPublished:
- The 83rd edition of the prestigious Masters tourmament tees off April 11th
- Jordan Spieth always get off to blazing starts at Augusta National
- Who are the best bets to be the first round leader?
The best tournament in golf is finally upon us as the Masters is back in our lives this week.
Before a champion can be crowned on Sunday, who might get out to the hottest start and take the lead after Round 1?
2019 Masters First Round Leader Odds
| Golfer | Odds to Lead 2019 Masters after 1st Round at Sportsbook 1 | Odds at Sportsbook 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | +1200 | +1200 |
| Dustin Johnson | +1600 | +1600 |
| Justin Rose | +2000 | +2000 |
| Tiger Woods | +2000 | +2200 |
| Jordan Spieth | +2200 | +2500 |
| Justin Thomas | +2200 | +2500 |
| Jon Rahm | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rickie Fowler | +2500 | +2500 |
| Brooks Koepka | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +3300 | +2500 |
| Francesco Molinari | +2800 | +3300 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +2800 | +3300 |
| Paul Casey | +3300 | +3300 |
| Jason Day | +3300 | +4000 |
| Phil Mickelson | +3300 | +4000 |
*Odds taken 04/08/19. Follow the link in the table above to see all options.
Rory McIlroy Historically Starts Slowly at Masters
Last year Rory McIlroy shot a 3-under, 69 in the first round, his lowest total after one day since 2011 (7 under), so despite his status as clear favorite, it might not be a slam dunk that he’ll be on top of the leaderboard early on.
Nothing like a good skip at @themasters! pic.twitter.com/eBgtiF8bxN
— Rory McIlroy (@McIlroyRory) April 8, 2019
Rory McIlroy’s Last 5 First Rounds at Masters
| Year | Score |
|---|---|
| 2018 | -3 (69) |
| 2017 | EVEN (72) |
| 2016 | -2 (70) |
| 2015 | -1 (71) |
| 2014 | -1 (71) |
If he is to contend for that elusive green jacket to become just the sixth man to complete the career grand slam, historically he’d better get off to a hot start. In his four career major titles, the Ulsterman hasn’t been further than a shot off the lead after day one in any of them.
Rory McIlroy’s 1st Round Position in 4 Major Victories
| Tournament | Score | Position |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 U.S. Open | -6 (65) | 1st |
| 2012 PGA Championship | -5 (67) | T-2nd |
| 2014 Open Championship | -6 (66) | 1st |
| 2014 PGA Championship | -5 (66) | T-4th |
There’s every reason to think he’ll be in the hunt on the second nine Sunday, but at relatively low +1200 odds, I’d pass on Rory.
Jordan Spieth Has Held 1st Round Lead in 3 of Last 4 Masters
He’s been on the longest prolonged slump of his career (no victories since 2017 Open Championship), but he’s shown signs through two rounds of competing at a few events this season including last week’s Valero Texas Open.
Last 5 Masters First Round Leaders
| Year | Leader | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Jordan Spieth | -6 (66) |
| 2017 | Charley Hoffman | -7 (65) |
| 2016 | Jordan Spieth | -6 (66) |
| 2015 | Jordan Spieth | -8 (64) |
| 2014 | Bubba Watson | -7 (65) |
There’s something about Augusta National that brings out the best in Spieth, and at +2500 odds, that could wind up being a steal. Bet Spieth with confidence.
Best cumulative score to par at @TheMasters last 5 years:@JordanSpieth -39@JustinRose99 -27@McIlroyRory -23@Paul_Casey -19@RickieFowler -14
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) April 8, 2019
Charley Hoffman Another Intriguing Name to Follow
While he realistically won’t find himself breaking through to win a major title, Charley Hoffman always finds his name on the first page of the Masters leaderboard in the early going. He’s also in great form too, finishing second in last week’s Valero Texas Open.
Charley Hoffman’s Last 4 First Rounds at Masters
| Year | Score | Position |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | -3 (69) | T-4th |
| 2017 | -7 (65) | 1st |
| 2016 | -1 (71) | T-13th |
| 2015 | -5 (67) | T-2nd |
He has very intriguing odds as well, as he’s listed at +4000 to be the first round leader. With his recent track record around Augusta National, that’s worth a wager.
2019 Masters 1st Round Leader Best Value Picks
- Matt Kuchar (+4000): Two wins this season with opening rounds of 63 and 64 respectively. Only one opening round worse than 69 (72) in 10 stroke play events. Runner-up at WGC-Dell Match play two weeks ago and T-7th last week. Tied second after first round in last year’s Masters.
- Kevin Kisner (+5000): Has held first round lead in two of last five majors (2017 PGA, 2018 Open Championship) Won his last tournament, the WGC-Dell Match Play.
- Gary Woodland (+5500): First round leader at latest major, the 2018 PGA. Six top-10 finishes on the season, including a pair of runner-ups.
Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.
