Updated Game of Thrones Odds After Episode 3: Jon Snow Now the Clear Favorite to Rule Westeros

• Game of Thrones‘ epic Battle of Winterfell has reached its conclusion
• With just three episodes to go, Jon Snow is currently the favorite to ultimately lead Westeros
• Get up-to-date with all of our Game of Thrones Season 8 odds

The Battle of Winterfell came and went in Episode 3 of Game of Thrones‘ eighth season. And surprisingly, there were no major deaths.

All of your favorites survived their encounter with the Night King, although their army is significantly weaker for their looming bout with Cersei Lannister.

We’ll kick this week off with the odds on Cersei’s eventual replacement.

Who Will Rule Westeros at the End of Game of Thrones?

*All odds taken 04/29/19

Jon’s run at the top of this list has reached its third week. And just like last week, we don’t buy it.

Yes he’s the rightful ruler, fit to sit on the Iron Throne. But he’s not a King. He’s a fighter. Even if he didn’t do a lot of that Sunday Night.

Jon Snow gets a D for the Battle of Winterfell. Dicked around on the dragon the whole time. Got it overrun by undead. Hid out for the rest. Hound also needs a big bounce back against Mountain next week.

— Tom E. Curran (@tomecurran) April 29, 2019

Arya’s heroics against the Night King have seen her shoot up the rankings. And the unborn and potentially non-existent Snow/Targaryen baby? Has gone from +2500 since Episode 1, to the sixth-best odds.

If you still aren’t taking our advice, can we sell you on Sansa Stark? She has gotten colder and colder towards Dany since she entered her life, and could take the throne in an effort to free the North.

👑 Sansa Stark for the Iron Throne
👇 Tyrion Lannister for Hand of the Queen
⚔️ Ser Brienne of Tarth as Lord Commander
👀 Arya Stark as Master of Whispers
📜 Samwell Tarley as Grand Maester
⚓️ Yara Greyjoy as Master of Ships

— Rachel Heine ✨ (@RachelHeine) April 29, 2019

If you don’t think that Gendry is actually a bastard, his price hasn’t changed following Episode 3.

When Will Cersei Lannister Die?

There are three options here for Cersei and we still don’t think she makes it out alive.

And after changing our tune last week, we stand by seeing Episodes 5 or 6 as the most likely for this to happen.

As you can see, the attention has turned to Cersei and Kings Landing now that the Night King is done and dusted.

Judging from the preview, Episode 4 looks like a lot of “tacking stock” and a bit of celebrating. Jon and Daenerys need to figure out where their numbers stand, and revel a bit in the Night King’s defeat. If they make it to Cersei’s doorstep, it’ll be at the end of Episode 4.

The Pick: Episode 5 or 6 (-600)

Who Will Kill Cersei Lannister?

So we think Cersei’s going down, but who’s going to do the deed?

Despite her being a co-favorite, we still aren’t looking Arya’s way. We’ve dug deep on Maggy the Frog’s prophecy already, and we’re standing by Jaime. He made it through the Battle of Winterfell, so he’s still in line to knock off his baby momma (gross).

https://twitter.com/itssscorii/status/1122906558730592256

Tyrion is looking like a good bet too at +700. His flourishing relationship with Sansa (we’ll get to that), gives him even more reason to want to end Cersei’s life. What better present for his former bride, than the end of a woman who has done nothing but torment her?

The Pick: Jaime Lannister (+150) or Tyrion Lannister (+700) 

Will Tyrion Ride a Dragon?

This one hasn’t changed since opening, and neither has our opinion.

Two things have strengthened our “No” stance as well. For one, there are now just two dragons left. True, Viserion wasn’t much of an option, but he definitely isn’t one now.

Sansa and Tyrion scenes are my new favorite thing. #GameofThrones pic.twitter.com/JkGQuuKRC0

— Jamie Jirak (@JamieCinematics) April 29, 2019

And the other? Tyrion seems to be (secretly) aligning himself with Sansa. While things are shifting on a more intimate level, what if Sansa’s relationship with Dany doesn’t heal? If the Mother of Dragons sees Tyrion aligning himself with the elder Stark girl, she could strip him of his duties.

No Daenerys means no dragon for the Lannister.

The Pick: No (-300)

Game of Thrones Head-to-Head Survival Odds

Getting Brienne of Tarth at +115 seems like a pretty good deal. Everyone had written her off as a casualty in the Battle of Winterfell after getting knighted. But she made it. So she can survive the last three episodes, right?

Well, if Sansa becomes a focal point over these last three episodes, there’s a very real likelihood that Brienne sacrifices herself for her.

Tormund is tied closely to Jon, whose greatest peril was the Night King. Now that he’s gone? Tormund can continue to go on about milking giants.

Now that that's over… #CleganeBowl 🔥#GetHype #GameofThrones pic.twitter.com/u5U37LChXD

— Thrones Facts | HOTD 🐉 (@Thrones_Facts) April 29, 2019

When it comes to The Mountain and the Hound? We think both are going down. But we agree with the odds saying  Gregor goes before Sandor.

Who Will Win CleganeBowl?

Carrying over from above, we think think both go, but Sandor gets the last word. He’s earned that after his rough ride at the Battle of Winterfell.

The Pick: Both Die or Are Destroyed (+225)

Game of Thrones Survival Odds

If you think Cersei isn’t making it out alive, this is the prop for you. This takes into account Maggy’s prophecy, pitting her head-to-head with both of her younger brothers.

Now that Jaime makes it out of Winterfell, he seems to be in the clear. There doesn’t seem to be a path that takes him back to Cersei AND erases their falling out. So there are two options here. He kills her, or she kills him.

As we discussed above, we still think Jaime is the favorite to finish off Cersei. That would mean he outlives her.

The plans for Tyrion are a little murkier, so we thinks this comes down to the twins.

The Pick: Cersei dies first (+120)