Updated Game of Thrones Odds After Episode 1: Odds Jaime Kills Cersei & More

• Season 8 of Game of Thrones debuted on Sunday evening
• With just five episodes to go, some of our best Game of Thrones props are moving
• Keep up-to-date with everything going on in Westeros

Episode 1 of Game of Thrones’ eighth season is in the books.

And while for those of you in death pools you may be disappointed that nobody died, plenty still happened.

We have the evolving feud between Daenerys Targaryen and Sansa Stark, and Sam’s revelation to Jon Snow about his lineage. Then there’s the weird body-part pinwheel left at the wall by the Night King.

The shade between Sansa and Daenerys is sooo delicious #GameofThrones

— FilmFatale_NYC 🇭🇹 🇩🇴 🇺🇸 (@FilmFatale_NYC) April 15, 2019

And the super-awkward note things ended on between Jaime Lannister and Bran Stark.

With one episode down and five to go, some of Game of Thrones’ most popular betting props have been updated. Let’s review the changes.

What Episode Will Cersei Lannister Die?

*Odds taken 04/15/2019

An early-season death has been all-but ruled out at +5000.

When we first discussed the possibility, we liked Episodes 3 and 4. Things haven’t changed, as Episodes 5 and 6 offer no value.

The Pick: Episode 3 or 4 (+400)

Who Will Kill Cersei Lannister?

Don’t like those four? Don’t worry, there are plenty of options in sportsbooks.

Before the season, we went with Jaime Lannister. Going in-depth on Maggy the Frog’s prophecy, he makes the most sense.

We still see this as a fitting end for Game of Thrones’ most cringe-worthy couple.

The Pick: Jaime Lannister (+140)

Game of Thrones Survival Odds

One sportsbook carried the original odds, while another has added a handful of characters to track for five episodes.

Ahead of the season, Jon Snow was listed at +100 to die. As things have transpired, Jon’s status is murky. He seems to have the support of the Starks, but not many others in the North.

Could a double-cross be on the way?

Can we get a spin-off show called castle chasers where it’s just Bronn doing a bunch of side quests in the hopes of receiving his castle one day #GameofThrones #GOT8

— Louie Vultra (@Louie_Volta) April 15, 2019

The two with plus odds are the most interesting. Many pegged Bronn as surviving, as he has that long-standing goal of riding off into the sunset. But now he’s been sent after Cersei’s brothers.

The odds he survives that? They aren’t high. He may get one of them, but this may be a one-way trip.

As for the Night King, he’s worth it if you think he makes it to the end.

What Will Bran Warg into Next?

Bran didn’t do any Warging in Episode 1. He did, however, provide excellent comedic relief.

Bran is the comedic relief we all need on @GameOfThrones #GameofThrones

— Cambria Brockman (@cambriabrockman) April 15, 2019

Before, Raven and Wolf were both +200. Now Raven is +125.

Neither of the Direwolves were seen in Episode 1. Unless you think Ghost became Daenerys’ coat.

https://twitter.com/Batman_af/status/1117755037156020224

But with the value dwindling on Raven, what if we go off the board? What if Bran Warg’s into Jaime Lannister in Episode 2?

Is it just me who thinks this is Bran being a creepy warg? pic.twitter.com/bIypQ87r8a

— Nicolette Burgess (@allmyownhare) April 15, 2019

While it’s unlikely, he would be able to travel back to the moment Cersei pulled her support from the North. Or, even if it’s odd, the moment Jaime pushed him from the tower. We still think Raven is most likely, but human is our dark horse.

The Pick: Raven (+125) or Human (+300)

Game of Thrones Head-to-Head Survival Odds

While the first episode didn’t do much for results, it solidified some character’s standings in these odds.

Even though we didn’t see Brienne of Tarth (+220), we’d take her over Tormund. The battle is coming to Winterfell and Tormund has to make the trek from the wall. We can see Brienne sacrificing herself to save Sansa.

The Red Witch seems like someone who will come back late in the season, once all the fighting is done.

The other one to take is Davos Seasworth over Melisandre. The Red Witch seems like someone who will come back late in the season, once all the fighting is done. Her fate seems to be linked, in part, to Varys’ and Davos’ proximity to the action  will have him in danger.

Who Will Rule Westeros?

Don’t like any of the names? Head over other sportsbooks, where they list nearly the entire Game of Thrones roster.

First of all, we aren’t sure why Petyr Baelish showed up here. Granted there is a theory gaining steam that Baelish faked his own death, but his odds are better than the Night King’s.

Further suggesting that Littlefinger is aware of the Faceless Men is his smirk when he hears Arya say to Brienne that “no one” trained her with a sword. It seems that, as usual, Littlefinger knows more than he is letting on.

That’s some serious money coming in on a man kept alive by fan theories.

Will Jon Snow Win the Game of Thrones?

Jon’s odds got slightly worse following the first episode. There was really nothing to impact them either way, as we already knew what Sam told him.

What might have contributed to the slight dip, is his reluctance to believe Sam. Jon has never been concerned with power. His willingness to abdicate his Northern crown in search of support against the Night King shows that.

https://twitter.com/mradipta_/status/1117755648412794880

Whether or not he’s the rightful heir, he doesn’t seem to care.

Daenerys’ odds fell fairly significantly, although if she survives, they may have gotten better. At least when he first heard the news, Jon still considered her his Queen. The biggest tell on her odds will be how Jon handles things the next few episodes.

If they can’t agree on who assumes the throne, however, maybe the default answer is their child.

We don’t even know if Dany is pregnant (or if she will be), but if they keep visiting that waterfall it could definitely happen. Keep in mind the odds say “at the end of Season 8”. There’s no telling whether or not there will be a time jump, so it’s a worthwhile guess.

And, if you’re into that dark, catastrophic future? The Night King is still there to make you money.

The Picks: Jon Snow (+225), Night King (+1500), Jon and Dany’s Baby (+2500)

Will Arya Wear Little Finger’s Face?

This is an interesting one, and we can see both sides. On one hand, why would it be necessary? With the attention of Westeros turned towards the Night King, Lord Baelish would’ve had little to do with that whether he was alive or dead.

On the other, how many people know that he’s dead? If Arya is intent to continue crossing names off her list, eventually wearing Little Finger’s face could get her close to Cersei.

While we don’t think he’ll sit on the Iron Throne, this isn’t the last we’ve seen of Little Finger.

The Pick: Yes (+200)

Will Gendry Be Confirmed as Cersei’s Son?

The Gendry theory is interesting, and would add another layer to the battle for the Iron Throne.

Could Cersei have actually banished an infant Gendry, out of disdain for carrying Robert Baratheon’s child? It’s certainly possible.

This is something people have ignored with all the attention paid to Jon, Daenerys and the Night King.

Personally, we’re all for it, and all the signs seem to be there. There’s too much intrigue around Gendry for it not to mean anything.

The Pick: Yes (+450)

Will Tyrion Be Proven to Have a Secret Plot with Cersei?

When it comes to theories, this one seems to be a reach.

Yes, Cersei seems to account for everything, always having something on the go. And yes, Tyrion has a sly nature about him, and always has a contingency plan. They also enjoyed a private chat before Cersei “agreed” to aid the North in battle.

It should also be noted that EVERY Targaryen child on this show, had their mom die giving birth to them.

Who else did that happen to… pic.twitter.com/5AaGczWQnX

— Waiting to Oxtail (@ThatDudeMCFLY) April 15, 2019

But these aren’t siblings that have to overcome a simple disagreement. Cersei has hated Tyrion his entire life, holding him responsible for their mother’s death.

It would be a big character deviation, and a stunner, for these two to come together.

The Pick: No (-200)

Will Tyrion Ride a Dragon?

This is something that created a bit of a stir in Episode 1. Many fans were a bit put-off by how willing Daenerys was to let Jon ride Rhaegal. If their relationship is going to continue to flourish though, it looks like Jon will get more chances.

Things don’t look so rosy for Tyrion, however.

Tyrion watching Jon ride the dragons with Daenerys pic.twitter.com/r3G2AcZdTf

— Free Agent (@Chocolate_Gram) April 15, 2019

If there were still three dragons, we’d say yes. But at this point, whether Viserion is a wight or an Ice Dragon, the humans only have two.

Unless he saddles up alongside Dany, he won’t get too many opportunities.

The Pick: No (-300)

Our Other Game of Thrones Season 8 Coverage:

• Yara Favored to be First Greyjoy to Perish in Game of Thrones Season 8
• Odds Say Arya Will be the First Stark to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
• Odds to Be Dead at the End of Game of Thrones Season 8: Jon Snow Favored to Survive; Odds Split on Daenerys
• The Mountain Favored to Die Before The Hound in Game of Thrones
• Arya Stark Props: Odds Say Arya Won’t Complete Her Kill List in Season 8 of GoT
• Cersei Lannister Season 8 Props: Odds Say She is Pregnant, Will Be Killed by Arya
• Odds Say Bran Stark is Not the Night King in Game of Thrones
• Game of Thrones Odds: Jon Snow Listed as Favorite to Kill the Ice Dragon
• Head-to-Head Odds to Perish 1st in Game of Thrones Season 8
• Jon Snow or Bran Stark? Odds to Rule Westeros at End of Game of Thrones Season 8
• Yara Greyjoy Favored to Perish First in Game of Thrones Season 8
• Cersei Favored to be First Lannister to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
• You Can Bet on the First & Last Person to Speak in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
• Odds Say Rhaegal Will Be First Dragon to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
• Over/Under Number of People Arya Stark Kills in Season 8 Set at 3.5; Odds Say Cersei is First
• You Can Bet on What Bran Stark Will Warg into Next in Game of Thrones Season 8
• Odds Say the Night King Will Be Confirmed as a Stark in Season 8 Game of Thrones
• Odds Favor Jaime Lannister Killing Cersei in Season 8 of Game of Thrones, Arya Listed at 5-2 Odds
• Odds Say Cersei Lannister Won’t Give Birth Birth Before End of Game of Thrones