Texas vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds, Spread and Picks

• The Texas Longhorns are 2.5-point road favorites as they visit the Kansas State Wildcats
• KState crushed Oklahoma State 48-0 last game; Texas’ last loss was to the same Cowboys
• See below for odds, analysis and our betting prediction

The Kansas State Wildcats are coming off an obliteration of the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

So maybe it’s a little odd that their next opponent, the Texas Longhorns, are 2.5-point road favorites after losing to the same Oklahoma State team two weeks ago.

Nonetheless, it’s a crucial Big 12 tilt, as the Wildcats (6-2, 4-1 Big 12) sit in second in the conference, trailing only the 8-0 TCU Horned Frogs.

Texas (5-3, 3-2 Big 12) can throw the battle for second and a berth in the Conference Championship game into more chaos with a win.

It all gets underway Saturday (November 5) from Bill Snyder Family Stadium at 7pm ET, in a game that can be seen on FS1.

Texas vs Kansas State Odds

Odds as of Nov 3 from Barstool Sporstbook. And don’t forget to check out the Barstool Sportsbook promo code 

Weather shouldn’t play a factor in this one, with clear, sunny skies and 57 degrees when this one kicks off.

Longhorns’ Betting Outlook

Texas has had a bye week to stew and review what went wrong in their 41-34 loss to Oklahoma State.

The Longhorns had built up a 31-17 lead with under four minutes to play before halftime, and were outscored 24-3 the rest of the way, including just three points after halftime.

KENDAL DANIELS SEALS IT. pic.twitter.com/HQkLCMHIwF

— Pistols Firing (@pistolsguys) October 22, 2022

It was a rough outing for Longhorns’ QB Quinn Ewers, who was 19-for-49 for 319 yards. He threw a pair of scores, but was also intercepted three times. Ewers had thrown just two interceptions across his previous four starts.

Bijan Robinson was a standout in the loss, carrying 24 times for 140 yards and touchdown. It was the sixth straight game Robinson has crossed 100+ yards rushing. He also added a 41-yard TD catch.

Bijan Robinson might mess around and go top 15 pic.twitter.com/WBt3l7c19e

— Nico (@elitetakes_) October 22, 2022

On the other side of the ball, Texas’ rush defense is going to be put to the test against a powerhouse Kansas State running attack. The Longhorns currently rank 21st in yards per rush (3.32) and 35th in rush yards allowed at 121.6 per game.

Wildcats’ Betting Outlook

It was supposed to be a must-see matchup featuring two ranked teams, but no. 22  Kansas State turned it into a rout, crushing 9th-ranked Oklahoma State 48-0. That was the most lopsided shutout victory by any team facing a top-10 opponent since 1966.

While their 11th-ranked running game still did damage, it was the surprising uptick in the passing game that overwhelmed the Cowboys.

3️⃣8️⃣-yard touchdown for @KStateFB 🎯

Will Howard ➡️ Kade Warner 👏 pic.twitter.com/ATrcryUw2n

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) October 29, 2022

Will Howard, who stepped in for an injured Adrian Martinez, was 21-for-37 for 296 yards and a four TD passes. That’s the same number of TD tosses Martinez has in seven games this season.

Malik Knowles was the top receiver, hauling in eight balls for 113 yards, while Kade Warner had five grabs for 97 yards and a pair of scores.

Deuce Vaughn. GONE.

(via @CFBONFOX) pic.twitter.com/Et6j5zsTzW

— The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) October 29, 2022

Deuce Vaughn rushed 22 times for 158 yards and a score, as the Wildcats churned out 199 yards on the ground. Deuce also had a TD catch.

Defensively, they limited what had been a strong OK State offense to just 217 total yards, at 3.4 yards per play. A top-20 passing team, KState held the Cowboys to just 163 yards passing for the game.

Texas vs Kansas State Pick

No word yet on who will be under center for Kansas State, as it appears Martinez (leg) might be ready to return.

Despite winning the last two in Manhattan, and taking five straight overall, the Longhorns have not been a great bet against the spread at Kansas State, posting a 1-8 ATS mark in their last nine trips.

Meanwhile, the Wildcats have been a sturdy wager in 2022, going 5-2-1 ATS in eight games this season.

I made the mistake of betting against Kansas State as an underdog last week — let’s not make the same mistake in Week 10.

The Pick:

• Kansas State +2.5 (-106); 1 unit to win 0.94 units
• Week 9 NCAAF Record: 0-1: Overall: 4-5 ATS, 1-0 ML, 1-1 o/u; -0.45 units