Texas State vs Troy Prediction, Pick & Odds (Thursday, Oct. 3)

• We’ve made our Texas State vs Troy prediction for Thursday Night CFB
• The latest college football odds favor the Bobcats by two scores under the lights
• Read below for Texas State vs Troy prediction, pick and odds for Thursday

The Texas State Bobcats (2-2) head to the Yellowhammer State for a Thursday night Sun Belt showdown against the Troy Trojans (1-4) at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EDT on ESPNU.

Oddsmakers have pegged the Bobcats as 13-point road favorites, with the over/under total sitting at 56.5 points. The total has climbed near;y three full points since opening, suggesting sharps expect a shootout under the lights in Troy.

Here is our Troy vs Texas State prediction for Thursday Night College Football.

Texas State vs Troy Prediction

If you’re looking for offensive fireworks, this Texas State vs Troy tilt should deliver. The Bobcats have been lighting up the scoreboard, averaging an impressive 37 points per game.

Quarterback Jordan McCloud leads the charge, already throwing for 1,141 yards and 12 TDs in just four games. His dynamic receiving duo of Jaden Williams and Joey Hobert have combined for 557 yards and seven scores.

Jordan McCloud SHEESH pic.twitter.com/JYgoeKVHua

— Unnecessary Roughness (@UnnecRoughness) September 13, 2024

Meanwhile, the Trojans have struggled defensively, giving up 25.8 points and 363 yards per contest. They just allowed 13 points to a Louisiana-Monroe squad that ranks near the bottom of the FBS offensively. If ULM can score on Troy, imagine what the high-powered Bobcats might do.

But don’t sleep on Troy’s offense. While inconsistent, they’ve shown flashes of explosiveness, hanging 38 points on Florida A&M in their lone win. Even in last week’s loss to ULM, they still racked up over 350 yards of total offense.

The recipe is there for a classic Sun Belt shootout. Texas State’s offense should feast against Troy’s miserable defense, while the Trojans have enough firepower to keep pace in a track meet.

I’m not overthinking this one. Take the over 56.5 points in what should be an entertaining, back-and-forth affair. Don’t be surprised if this total hits by the end of the third quarter.

Thursday CFB Pick:

• Over 56.5 Points (-115 at )

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Texas State vs Troy Odds

The Bobcats enter as 13-point road favorites, with an implied 52.4% probability of covering. Troy’s +380 moneyline gives them just a 20% chance of an outright upset.

The real story is the total, which has jumped from 54 to 56.5 points since opening. That’s a clear signal that sharps expect fireworks. With Texas State’s explosive offense and Troy’s defensive woes, it’s easy to see why.

The over has hit in five of Texas State’s last seven games, while Troy has seen the under cash in four of their last six. However, given how these teams match up, those trends may not matter much. This game has all the makings of an old-fashioned Sun Belt shootout.

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Odds as of October 2, 2024, at ESPN Sportsbook. Take Advantage the ESPN Bet promo code to bet on Thursday Night CFB action.

Texas State vs Troy Head to Head

Troy has dominated this matchup recently, winning seven of the last nine meetings straight up. However, Texas State has covered the spread in four of those nine contests.

Here’s a look at the recent results: