Tennessee vs Oklahoma Prediction, Player Props & Odds – CFB Week 4

• Tennessee battles Oklahoma in SEC College Football in Week 4
• The latest Tennessee vs OU odds favor the Vols by seven points
• Read below for Tennessee vs Oklahoma prediction, odds and player props

The college football world will have its eyes fixed on Norman, Oklahoma on Saturday, September 21, 2024, as the No. 6 ranked Tennessee Volunteers take on the No. 15 ranked Oklahoma Sooners in an SEC showdown.

This game marks Oklahoma’s first conference game as an SEC member, adding historical significance to an already enticing matchup. Both teams enter 3-0, although Tennessee has looked more dominant.

The Volunteers enter as 7-point favorites, with the over/under set at 57.5 points, according to BetMGM Sportsbook. The game will be broadcast on ABC, with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 PM EDT.

Tennessee vs Oklahoma Prediction

Tennessee has been dominant to start the season, outscoring their opponents 191-13 through three games. However, Oklahoma presents a tougher challenge, especially at home. The Sooners are 10-0 in their last 10 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against SEC opponents.

Oklahoma’s defense, led by linebacker Danny Stutsman (33 tackles), has been their strength, allowing just 11.3 points per game. They’ll need to slow down Tennessee’s high-powered offense, which averages 63.7 points per game, ranks 3rd in rushing (336.3 ypg), and 1st in scoring.

FBS Leader in Run Stops this season:

Danny Stutsman, Oklahoma: 18@OU_Football pic.twitter.com/OnfB8jh90u

— PFF College (@PFF_College) September 19, 2024

Tennessee quarterback Nico Iamaleava (48/67, 698 yds, 6 TD, 2 INT) has been efficient while running back Dylan Sampson (357 yds, 9 TD) leads a potent ground attack. The Vols’ receiving corps is deep and talented, with Dont’e Thornton Jr., Chris Brazzell II, Bru McCoy, and Squirrel White all posting 100+ receiving yards thus far.

On the other side, Oklahoma’s offense has struggled, ranking 114th in passing (166.3 ypg) and tied for 67th in rushing (159 ypg). Quarterback Jackson Arnold (54/86, 464 yds, 7 TD, 2 INT) leads the team in rushing (159 yds, 2 TD) but has been pressured often behind a shaky offensive line.

While Tennessee’s explosive offense and suffocating defense give them the edge on paper, don’t sleep on the Sooners. Oklahoma’s home-field advantage is not to be underestimated, and their knack for forcing turnovers (FBS-leading 10) could be the great equalizer in this matchup.

I’m predicting a Tennessee victory, but I believe Oklahoma will keep it closer than the experts think. The Sooners’ ball-hawking defense will create a few extra possessions for their offense, and the raucous crowd in Norman will make life difficult for the young Iamaleava.

TEN-OU Pick:

• Oklahoma +7 (-110)

Tennessee vs OU Player Props

College football player props are trickling out for the Tennessee vs Oklahoma showdown. Here are a couple bets I’ve locked in for this game:

Nico Iamaleava, Under 250.5 Passing Yards

Iamaleava has been impressive for Tennessee, but he hasn’t faced a true road test in a hostile environment yet. Oklahoma’s defense will be licking their chops at the opportunity to rattle the young quarterback and force him into mistakes.

With Tennessee’s balanced offensive attack and Oklahoma’s defensive tenacity, I believe Iamaleava will struggle to surpass the 250.5-yard mark through the air.

Dylan Sampson Over 100.5 Rushing Yards

Sampson has been an absolute workhorse for the Volunteers, averaging a whopping 119 rushing yards per game and 7.9 yards per carry. While Oklahoma’s defense has been stout against the run, allowing just 1.4 yards before contact, they haven’t faced a rushing attack as potent as Tennessee’s.

With the Volunteers’ offensive line paving the way, Sampson should have no trouble eclipsing the 100.5-yard barrier.

Tennessee vs Okalohma Odds

Tennessee is favored by 7 points with -275 moneyline odds, implying a 73.3% win probability. Oklahoma are +225 underdogs, indicating just a 30.8% chance to pull the upset, per the oddsmakers.

The total is set at 57.5 points, with even -110 juice on both sides. This suggests a high-scoring affair, which makes sense given these teams combine to average 97.4 ppg.

The Volunteers have been road favorites of 7+ points just twice under Josh Heupel, going 1-1 ATS. The Sooners haven’t been home underdogs since 2016, a streak of 27 straight games as favorites at Memorial Stadium.

Tennessee vs Oklahoma Head to Head

These storied programs have met just four times previously, with Oklahoma winning the last three matchups:

• Sep 12, 2015: Oklahoma 31, Tennessee 24 (2OT)
• Sep 13, 2014: Oklahoma 34, Tennessee 10
• Sep 7, 1968: Oklahoma 26, Tennessee 24
• Jan 1, 1939: Tennessee 17, Oklahoma 0

Their most recent meeting in 2015 was an instant classic. Tennessee led 17-0 late in the 4th quarter before Oklahoma stormed back to tie it. The Sooners ultimately prevailed 31-24 in double overtime.

However, a lot has changed since then. Josh Heupel, who quarterbacked Oklahoma to a national title in 2000, is now Tennessee’s head coach. He’ll be extra motivated to beat his alma mater, which let him go as OC in 2014.

Both teams look quite different now, with new quarterbacks and revamped rosters. Tennessee has the more experienced signal-caller in Nico Iamaleava, who shined in last year’s Citrus Bowl win over Iowa. Meanwhile, Oklahoma’s Jackson Arnold is still finding his footing as the full-time starter.