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Rutgers vs USC Prediction, Props & Odds for Friday Night Football

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in College Football

Published:


Miller Moss throwing pass
Oct 12, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; USC Trojans quarterback Miller Moss (7) throws a pass in the first half against the Penn State Nittany Lions United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images
  • USC is a hefty 13.5-point favorite over Rutgers in Week 9 college football action Friday night
  • Both teams are riding 3-game losing streaks
  • Read below for Rutgers vs USC betting line, prediction and pick

Two teams desperate for a win clash Friday night when the USC Trojans (3-4, 1-4 Big Ten) host the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-3, 1-3 Big Ten).

Both schools are riding three-game losing skids and sit Bottom 4 in the Big Ten standings.

In the first-ever meeting between these programs, the Trojans have been tabbed as hefty double-digit home favorites in the college football odds.

Who stops the slide? Read below for our Rutgers vs USC preview and best bet.

Rutgers vs USC Odds

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +13.5 (-105) +425 O 56.5 (-110)
USC Trojans -13.5 (-110) -650 U 56.5 (-110)

The Trojans, who boast a Top-40 offense in the nation in terms yards per game, are 13.5-point home favorites in a game featuring a total of 56.5.

Odds as of October 24 (9pm ET) at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promos before placing a bet on any Week 9 College Football matchup.

Kickoff is scheduled for 11pm ET at LA Memorial Coliseum, with FOX broadcasting the game.

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Trojans Can Score, Can’t Close

Imagine how USC’s inaugural run in the Big Ten would be playing out if they were just able to put teams away.

The Trojans are fifth in the conference scoring 30.3 points per game, and their passing attack, behind pivot Junior Miller Moss, churns out 288.6 pass yards per contest, good for 22nd in the nation.

But USC hasn’t been able to get either the final dagger score or a crucial stop this season. Last game was a recurring theme: the Trojans blew a 21-7 lead and lost 29-28 to Maryland, who had yet to win a Big Ten game.

The defense allowed the Terrapins to throw for 373 yards in the comeback win.

The Trojans have lost four games on the year, including the last three, after being ahead at the half in every game.

If there’s ever been a get-right opponent for them, it’s probably the Scarlet Knights, who have been absolutely lit on fire the last two games.

Last week, they lost 35-32 to UCLA, surrendering 383 passing yards to the Bruins, who ranked among college football’s worst passing offenses.

Prior to that, Wisconsin crushed them 42-7, running up 300 rush yards with almost zero resistance.

The Scarlet Knights are surrendering 385.3 yards of offense per game on the season, a lowly 90th in college football, and surrendering 22.3 points per contest, they are fourth-worst at points allowed in the Big Ten.

One way Rutgers could keep it close is if it can get the run game going. Powered by senior RB Kyle Monangai, who has totaled 845 rush yards and 10 TD’s on the year, the Scarlet Knights put up 190.3 yards per game on the ground, which ranks 38th.

USC is middle of the pack in run defense, allowing 138.1 yards per game.

Rutgers vs USC Prop Bets to Consider

It’s been a feast-or-famine type of season for Trojans’ receiver Ja’Kobi Lane. The 6-foot-4 sophomore has four games where he’s had at least 50 yards receiving, and three where he’s had 18 or less.

His receiving yards line at Caesars is set at a makeable 36.5, and considering the Scarlet Knights’ struggles in containing the pass, Lane could top this by halftime.

On the Rutgers’ side, there’s also decent odds for Monangai to score a TD (-137 at Caesars). In seven games, he has found paydirt 10 times, and has failed to find the end zone in just a single game.

USC isn’t exactly a run-stopping juggernaut: they’ve allowed 11 rushing scores on the year. There’s much more value in Monangai than Trojans RB Woody Marks, who comes in at -600 odds.

Finally, Moss’ passing yards line of 297.5 looks reachable, considering he just went for 336 against Maryland – the third time he’s topped 300 yards passing in a game this season.

However, game script might spoil the fun. On the assumption that Moss and the Trojans do expected damage early and often, there might not be a need to keep airing it out.

  • Pick: Lane OVER 36.5 receiving yards (-119)

Rutgers vs USC Prediction

Travel had to play a part in this spread, as Rutgers is traveling west across two time zones and will play a game that kicks off at 11pm ET.

The UCLA loss is an offensive outlier for Rutgers, who, prior to that game, had put up just 14 points across its previous two. On the year, the Scarlet Knights had cracked the 20-point plateau just once.

USC has had the far tougher slate, playing three ranked teams, winning one and losing the other two by a field goal each. I like their talent to rise in what should be a mismatch on the West coast.

  • Pick: USC -13.5 (-110)
Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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