Skip to content

Ad Disclosure

Opening College Football Round 1 Playoff Odds & Early Predictions

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Football

Published:


Georgia running back Trevor Etienne scoring a TD against the Texas Longhorns
Georgia running back Trevor Etienne (1) powers past Texas linebacker Anthony Hill Jr. (0) to score the game winning touchdown during overtime of the SEC championship game against Texas in Atlanta, on Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024.
  • The first-ever 12-team College Football Playoff bracket is set and odds are our for all four first-round games
  • All four home teams are favored, including #8 Ohio State (-6.5) against #9 Tennessee
  • Below, see the opening College Football Playoff Round 1 odds and early predictions

Conference championships have been decided and the selection committee has cemented the first-even 12-team College Football Playoff bracket. The top-four seeds, who receive byes to the quarterfinals, are the #1 Oregon Ducks, #2 Georgia Bulldogs, #3, Boise State Broncos, and #4 Arizona State Sun Devils. The four first-round games will feature the #12 Clemson Tigers at #5 Texas Longhorns, #11 SMU Mustangs at #6 Penn State Nittany Lions, #10 Indiana Hoosiers at #7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and #9 Tennessee at #8 Ohio State. The table below lists the opening odds for all four first-round matchups.

College Football Playoff: Round 1 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total Date/Time
#12 Clemson Tigers +12.5 (-110) +340 O 54.5 (-110) Saturday, Dec. 21
#5 Texas Longhorns -12.5 (-110) -450 U 54.5 (-110) 4 pm ET
Team Spread Moneyline Total Date/Time
#11 SMU Mustangs +8.5 (-110) +260 O 53.5 (-110) Saturday, Dec. 21
#6 Penn State Nittany Lions -8.5 (-110) -325 U 53.5 (-110) 12 pm ET
Team Spread Moneyline Total Date/Time
#10 Indiana Hoosiers +9.5 (-110) +250 O 53.5 (-110) Friday, Dec. 20
#7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -9.5 (-110) -310 U 53.5 (-110) 8 pm ET
Team Spread Moneyline Total Date/Time
#9 Tennessee Volunteers +6.5 (-102) +198 O 47.5 (-110) Saturday, Dec. 21
#8 Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5 (-120) -245 U 47.5 (-110) 8 pm ET

The opening lines for the quartet of first-round games are all 6.5 points or higher, with the home team heavily favored in all four matchups.

FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
Bet $5 & Get $250 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Must be 21+. T&C Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
BET $5
GET $250

BET NOW
Odds as of Dec. 8 at FanDuel and DraftKings. Claim the FanDuel promo code to bet on the 2024-25 College Football Playoff and bookmark the college football odds to see the latest lines. 

The latest national championship odds continue to favor Oregon (+320) and Georgia (+380) after the bracket reveal. Texas (+400), Ohio State (+450) and Penn State (+750) round out the top-five favorites. After Penn State, there is a fairly big drop to sixth-favorite Notre Dame (+1200) and then an even bigger drop to seventh-favorite Tennessee (+2500).

The longest shots on the board are SMU (+3000), Clemson (+4000), Arizona State (+4000), Indiana (+4000), and Boise State (+5000).

Early CFP Round 1 Predictions

Matchup Prediction
#12 Clemson at #5 Texas Clemson +12.5
#11 SMU at #6 Penn State SMU +8.5
#10 Indiana at #7 Notre Dame Indiana +9.5
#9 Tennessee at #8 Ohio State Tennessee +6.5

I was stunned at just how big the opening lines are for these games, and I lean to all four underdogs. Yes, home-field advantage will be a real thing in the Round 1 matchups, but every one of the better-seeded teams already has a straight-up loss on its home field this season.

Texas fell 30-15 to Georgia on Oct. 19 in a game when they were decidedly the second-best team on the field. Penn State lost 20-13 to Ohio State on Nov. 2, getting out-gained 358 to 270 yards in the process. Notre Dame lost 16-14 at home to Northern Illinois in a game that will go down as the single-most puzzling result of the season. And Ohio State lost its fourth straight iteration of The Game in Columbus against Michigan (20-13).

Bookmark the college football public betting splits to see where the early money is going on the first-round games and how the lines are shifting.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Politics Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling

Recommended Reading