Opening College Football Round 1 Playoff Odds & Early Predictions

By Sascha Paruk in College Football
Published:

- The first-ever 12-team College Football Playoff bracket is set and odds are our for all four first-round games
- All four home teams are favored, including #8 Ohio State (-6.5) against #9 Tennessee
- Below, see the opening College Football Playoff Round 1 odds and early predictions
Conference championships have been decided and the selection committee has cemented the first-even 12-team College Football Playoff bracket. The top-four seeds, who receive byes to the quarterfinals, are the #1 Oregon Ducks, #2 Georgia Bulldogs, #3, Boise State Broncos, and #4 Arizona State Sun Devils. The four first-round games will feature the #12 Clemson Tigers at #5 Texas Longhorns, #11 SMU Mustangs at #6 Penn State Nittany Lions, #10 Indiana Hoosiers at #7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and #9 Tennessee at #8 Ohio State. The table below lists the opening odds for all four first-round matchups.
College Football Playoff: Round 1 Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total | Date/Time |
---|---|---|---|---|
#12 Clemson Tigers | +12.5 (-110) | +340 | O 54.5 (-110) | Saturday, Dec. 21 |
#5 Texas Longhorns | -12.5 (-110) | -450 | U 54.5 (-110) | 4 pm ET |
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total | Date/Time |
#11 SMU Mustangs | +8.5 (-110) | +260 | O 53.5 (-110) | Saturday, Dec. 21 |
#6 Penn State Nittany Lions | -8.5 (-110) | -325 | U 53.5 (-110) | 12 pm ET |
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total | Date/Time |
#10 Indiana Hoosiers | +9.5 (-110) | +250 | O 53.5 (-110) | Friday, Dec. 20 |
#7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -9.5 (-110) | -310 | U 53.5 (-110) | 8 pm ET |
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total | Date/Time |
#9 Tennessee Volunteers | +6.5 (-102) | +198 | O 47.5 (-110) | Saturday, Dec. 21 |
#8 Ohio State Buckeyes | -6.5 (-120) | -245 | U 47.5 (-110) | 8 pm ET |
The opening lines for the quartet of first-round games are all 6.5 points or higher, with the home team heavily favored in all four matchups.

The latest national championship odds continue to favor Oregon (+320) and Georgia (+380) after the bracket reveal. Texas (+400), Ohio State (+450) and Penn State (+750) round out the top-five favorites. After Penn State, there is a fairly big drop to sixth-favorite Notre Dame (+1200) and then an even bigger drop to seventh-favorite Tennessee (+2500).
The longest shots on the board are SMU (+3000), Clemson (+4000), Arizona State (+4000), Indiana (+4000), and Boise State (+5000).
Early CFP Round 1 Predictions
Matchup | Prediction |
---|---|
#12 Clemson at #5 Texas | Clemson +12.5 |
#11 SMU at #6 Penn State | SMU +8.5 |
#10 Indiana at #7 Notre Dame | Indiana +9.5 |
#9 Tennessee at #8 Ohio State | Tennessee +6.5 |
I was stunned at just how big the opening lines are for these games, and I lean to all four underdogs. Yes, home-field advantage will be a real thing in the Round 1 matchups, but every one of the better-seeded teams already has a straight-up loss on its home field this season.
Texas fell 30-15 to Georgia on Oct. 19 in a game when they were decidedly the second-best team on the field. Penn State lost 20-13 to Ohio State on Nov. 2, getting out-gained 358 to 270 yards in the process. Notre Dame lost 16-14 at home to Northern Illinois in a game that will go down as the single-most puzzling result of the season. And Ohio State lost its fourth straight iteration of The Game in Columbus against Michigan (20-13).
Bookmark the college football public betting splits to see where the early money is going on the first-round games and how the lines are shifting.
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.